NFL · what we know about the league, and what we do not

The NFL work. Pup

Play-level aggregates, power ratings and the deterministic calculators — the analysis side of the site, as opposed to the games you play against other people. Every card below is an NFL surface in /data/surfaces.json, with its own tier and machine access read from the file. The belief scoreboard is not here on purpose: what models believe and how our pre-registered calls grade are kept apart, and both live on Receipts.

No oracle lives here. These are dated 2026 inputs. EPA is descriptive, not predictive; nfelo is a faithful mirror of a named upstream model, not evidence that model forecasts well; the calculators are arithmetic. Nothing on this page has established betting profitability.

What is live

One card per NFL surface in the map, rendered from the file — the count is the file's. A collar means the surface earned one; the criteria are in receipts-method.md, and each collar certifies only what its audit entry says it certifies.

reading /data/surfaces.json…
Loading the NFL surfaces…

Under construction

The NFL work that is blocked, rendered from /data/pound-tools.json — the same rows the DawgHouse shelf renders, from the same file, so the two cannot disagree. Each card keeps its exact blocker and its minimum path back, because "not built yet" without a reason is how work quietly disappears. None of them has a control: a card that says it is not built is honest, a live-looking one that silently fails is not.

The NFL work for machines

Read the files, not the cards.

This hub is a directory over surfaces that already exist. It publishes no data of its own, so it has no row in the map.