The DawgHouse · Worker tools live 2026-08-07 · forecasts locked 2026-08-08

Tools that show their work. The DawgHouse

The shelf of blocked work: every entry keeps its exact blocker and its minimum path back. Missing data, licensing limits and ungraded claims stay visible. The deterministic calculators moved to Calculators, the College Football roadmap to the CFB Lab, and the model scoreboard and upstream provenance to Receipts as of 2026-08-09.

No oracle lives here. Current game numbers are dated 2026 inputs. Nothing on this page has established betting profitability, and the multi-model system has not yet been graded prospectively.

The shelf

Nothing disappears because it is hard: only blocked work lives here, and every entry keeps its exact blocker and minimum path back. The complete NFL tools left the shelf on 2026-08-09 — they work where they live. The full inventory, complete rows included, stays machine-readable in /data/pound-tools.json.

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The same evidence for machines

Assistants should read deterministic state, not scrape the cards above. The model scoreboard and upstream provenance render in Receipts, the deterministic calculators with their contracts on calculators.html, and the College Football roadmap with the live CFB tool roster on cfb.html, as of 2026-08-09.

/data/pound-tools.json — full inventory: NFL tools (delivery status, blockers) plus evidence-backed College Football lifecycle under cfb_roadmap and kind:"roadmap-idea" entries. A card's candidate_mcp_tools names are reservations; which of them are callable is settled by the live roster in /data/surfaces.json, not by the card.
/data/upstream-models.json — repository, commit, license status and integration mode.
/data/nfl-schedule.json — validated canonical 2026 schedule, exact upstream commit and snapshot hash.
/data/model-receipts.json — 544 append-only prospective receipts across nfelo and 538 Classic; none graded yet.
/data/538-classic.json + /data/538-classic-methodology.md — reproduced mathematics, 2026 team state, forecasts, provenance and limits.
/data/nfelo.json — the dated nfelo source behind its normalized receipts.
dd_analyze_matchup — live Worker tool for the current matchup view.

The AI explains these outputs. It does not invent the underlying number, fill nulls or promote an ungraded tool.