{
 "as_of": "2026-08-08",
 "source": "Upstream sources we consume — GitHub repositories and package metadata inspected 2026-08-08, plus named third-party content sources.",
 "tier": "pound",
 "graded": false,
 "note": "License status is an implementation gate, not legal advice. Public code without a verified reusable license is not copied or repackaged, and a reference-only source is not republished in any form.",
 "data": [
  {
   "id": "538-classic",
   "creator": "FiveThirtyEight",
   "repository": "fivethirtyeight/nfl-elo-game",
   "upstream_commit": "fbec1afa38ece5befe24fb21be8ddba8eb160fe6",
   "version": null,
   "captured_at": "2026-08-08",
   "license": "MIT",
   "license_status": "verified-license-file",
   "integration_mode": "reimplementation",
   "data_status": "historical reproduction and prospective 2026 forecasts published",
   "notes": "Permanent simple benchmark. All 16,810 official probabilities reproduce within 0.0002 percentage point; that is a mathematics check, not evidence of current predictive skill."
  },
  {
   "id": "nfelodcm",
   "creator": "Robert Greer",
   "repository": "greerreNFL/nfelodcm",
   "upstream_commit": "aa6660855758e2e508c37fe38c9066f06c583ac9",
   "version": "0.2.21",
   "captured_at": "2026-08-07",
   "license": "MIT",
   "license_status": "verified-package-metadata",
   "integration_mode": "direct",
   "data_status": "pinned in the scheduled canonical schedule workflow",
   "notes": "Typed loader for the shared NFL schedule backbone. The public output records the exact nflverse/nfldata source commit and omits market columns without book and observation-time provenance."
  },
  {
   "id": "nfeloml",
   "creator": "Robert Greer",
   "repository": "greerreNFL/nfeloml",
   "upstream_commit": "b96bbc78abfbd4253230bb388c531728b042aa93",
   "version": "0.1.11",
   "captured_at": "2026-08-07",
   "license": "MIT",
   "license_status": "verified-package-metadata",
   "integration_mode": "pending",
   "data_status": "not installed in the static-site workflow",
   "notes": "Lawful inference primitive for EP, EPA and WP. Independent calibration has not been run by Data Dawgs."
  },
  {
   "id": "nfelo",
   "creator": "Robert Greer",
   "repository": "greerreNFL/nfelo",
   "upstream_commit": "d46e31d2ae398116eb747e9ddbde06d1019d555a",
   "version": "4.3.1",
   "captured_at": "2026-09-04",
   "license": null,
   "license_status": "unverified-no-license-file",
   "integration_mode": "output",
   "data_status": "public output mirrored daily by nfelo-refresh.yml",
   "notes": "Do not copy code. Data Dawgs consumes public output and publishes its own validation; the existing backtest overlaps the model optimization window."
  },
  {
   "id": "nfeloqb",
   "creator": "Robert Greer",
   "repository": "greerreNFL/nfeloqb",
   "upstream_commit": "d1958ddff4607bf28e495ac03489e41f81e38a1d",
   "version": null,
   "captured_at": "2026-08-07",
   "license": null,
   "license_status": "unverified-no-license-file",
   "integration_mode": "pending",
   "data_status": "public output exists; canonical adapter not built",
   "notes": "No code reuse. QB context remains optional until an output adapter and independent out-of-sample test exist."
  },
  {
   "id": "nfelosrs",
   "creator": "Robert Greer",
   "repository": "greerreNFL/nfelosrs",
   "upstream_commit": "527b28fb75f9b1c457d3983e91e9b6ea4188acee",
   "version": null,
   "captured_at": "2026-08-07",
   "license": null,
   "license_status": "unverified-no-license-file",
   "integration_mode": "pending",
   "data_status": "no canonical Data Dawgs output",
   "notes": "Methodology may be independently implemented; upstream code may not be copied without permission."
  },
  {
   "id": "nfelohfa",
   "creator": "Robert Greer",
   "repository": "greerreNFL/nfelohfa",
   "upstream_commit": "fe4e41899b94e465d583e4c919ff39840dc64aa6",
   "version": null,
   "captured_at": "2026-08-07",
   "license": null,
   "license_status": "unverified-no-license-file",
   "integration_mode": "pending",
   "data_status": "no canonical Data Dawgs output",
   "notes": "The DawgHouse includes an independent transparent HFA calculator, not copied upstream code."
  },
  {
   "id": "nfelounits",
   "creator": "Robert Greer",
   "repository": "greerreNFL/nfelounits",
   "upstream_commit": "626415483728ec3ee3c9d8af21a373ed9a498d8b",
   "version": null,
   "captured_at": "2026-08-07",
   "license": null,
   "license_status": "research-and-educational-language-only",
   "integration_mode": "pending",
   "data_status": "public repository; Data Dawgs output not built",
   "notes": "Not an OSI software license. Performance figures are upstream claims until independently replicated on fixed samples."
  },
  {
   "id": "nfelomarket-data",
   "creator": "Robert Greer",
   "repository": "greerreNFL/nfelomarket_data",
   "upstream_commit": "d78bca3c4b6ef4a3ddc52ab07534a47a9292647c",
   "version": null,
   "captured_at": "2026-08-07",
   "license": null,
   "license_status": "unverified-no-license-file",
   "integration_mode": "pending",
   "data_status": "no licensed live feed configured",
   "notes": "The independent odds/vig contract is live in the browser; a lawful timestamped market feed is still missing."
  },
  {
   "id": "nfelotranslation",
   "creator": "Robert Greer",
   "repository": "greerreNFL/nfelotranslation",
   "upstream_commit": "5cf05b54063e10085146e358e91b90193f1ef8c5",
   "version": "0.2.2",
   "captured_at": "2026-08-07",
   "license": null,
   "license_status": "unverified-no-license-declaration",
   "integration_mode": "reimplementation",
   "data_status": "independent normal-model approximation available",
   "notes": "The DawgHouse implementation uses Data Dawgs published normal-margin parameters and does not copy upstream package code or fitted key-number distributions."
  },
  {
   "id": "wepa",
   "creator": "Robert Greer",
   "repository": "greerreNFL/wepa",
   "upstream_commit": "e11013e5ae8e7c94117006a8b7ef501dd51c299a",
   "version": "v3",
   "captured_at": "2026-08-07",
   "license": null,
   "license_status": "unverified-no-license-file",
   "integration_mode": "pending",
   "data_status": "no canonical Data Dawgs output",
   "notes": "A lawful original implementation needs a declared specification and out-of-sample comparison with ordinary EPA."
  },
  {
   "id": "nfl-cover-probability",
   "creator": "Robert Greer",
   "repository": "greerreNFL/nfl_cover_probability",
   "upstream_commit": "97c8542480a96666109c422682c72e3b7dd6ca4d",
   "version": null,
   "captured_at": "2026-08-07",
   "license": null,
   "license_status": "unverified-no-license-file",
   "integration_mode": "reimplementation",
   "data_status": "independent pregame normal-model calculator available",
   "notes": "The upstream repository describes a live-game ML model. The DawgHouse does not copy it and clearly labels its simpler pregame approximation."
  },
  {
   "id": "etr",
   "creator": "Establish The Run",
   "repository": null,
   "homepage": "https://establishtherun.com",
   "upstream_commit": null,
   "version": "2026 Draft Kit Pro",
   "captured_at": "2026-07-28",
   "license": null,
   "license_status": "proprietary-subscription-content",
   "integration_mode": "reference-only",
   "data_status": "not republished; /data/strategy.md is a dated synthesis, not their content",
   "notes": "A subscription product. Their rankings, projections and articles are not mirrored, proxied or cached here, and no Data Dawgs page requests anything from their servers. The captured date is when the synthesis was written; they update daily, so treat player-level calls as stale and the structural arguments as ageing better."
  }
 ],
 "tier_meaning": "The DawgHouse (formerly The Pound) — shelved, with the reason attached.",
 "built": "2026-09-04",
 "canonical_url": "https://datadawgs216.com/data/upstream-models.json"
}