Public Data Dawgs research. Saved quotes, not guaranteed current offers. No contest picks submitted.
64 candidates. Keep, downgrade, hold and scratch are screening decisions; scratched/held rows are not active recommendations.
1. Ball State +36 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Ball State Cardinals at Northwestern Wildcats · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 8.2 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 10 mph, gust 15 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 62–66 F. Sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +36. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Ball State receiving MORE than +36 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858482
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 9:46 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/LOT/73,82/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 9:46 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/LOT/73,82
Result: pending
2. USF +7 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · South Florida Bulls at UTSA Roadrunners · spread · Oct 8, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 7.2 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: Indoor: Alamodome; no outdoor field-weather adjustment. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +7. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: USF receiving MORE than +7 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401862794
Result: pending
3. Vanderbilt +10.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Ole Miss Rebels at Vanderbilt Commodores · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 7.1 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 10 mph, gust 16.1 mph, precipitation chance 19%; temperature 82–84 F. Slight chance rain showers. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. INJURY HOLD: poster flags Vanderbilt QB flag; verify current availability before considering. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +10.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Vanderbilt receiving MORE than +10.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856718
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/OHX/49,56/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/OHX/49,56
Result: pending
4. Hawaii +21.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Arizona State Sun Devils · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 10:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 7.1 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: KICKOFF CORRECTION: Oct 10, 10:30 PM ET per current DRatings schedule. Prior saved 9:30 PM ET and the weather window below are archived, NOT clearance for the corrected time; refresh full window. WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 13.8 mph, precipitation chance 9%; temperature 83–89 F. Partly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +21.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Hawaii receiving MORE than +21.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856808
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 6:53 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PSR/164,56/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 6:53 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PSR/164,56
Result: pending
5. Pitt −4 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · North Carolina Tar Heels at Pittsburgh Panthers · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 6.8 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 9.2 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 64–68 F. Mostly sunny / sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. INJURY HOLD: poster flags Pitt QB out; verify current availability before considering. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −4. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Pitt giving FEWER than 4 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858256
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 2:21 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PBZ/77,66/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 2:21 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PBZ/77,66
Result: pending
6. Liberty −13.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Sam Houston Bearkats at Liberty Flames · spread · Oct 8, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 6.3 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 10.4 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 67–75 F. Mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −13.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Liberty giving FEWER than 13.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401870766
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 10:30 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/RNK/101,76/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 10:30 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/RNK/101,76
Result: pending
7. James Madison −8.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · James Madison Dukes at Georgia Southern Eagles · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 6.3 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 16 mph, gust 26.5 mph, precipitation chance 61%; temperature 67–72 F. Rain showers and thunderstorms likely. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −8.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: James Madison giving FEWER than 8.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401869949
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 8:32 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/CHS/20,53/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 8:32 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/CHS/20,53
Result: pending
8. San Diego State +13.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · San Diego State Aztecs at Oregon State Beavers · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 6.1 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 9 mph, gust 18.4 mph, precipitation chance 4%; temperature 64–66 F. Mostly sunny / sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +13.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: San Diego State receiving MORE than +13.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401860902
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 10:41 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PQR/84,64/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 10:41 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PQR/84,64
Result: pending
9. Maryland +35 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Maryland Terrapins at Ohio State Buckeyes · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 6 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 8 mph, gust 13.8 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 69–73 F. Mostly sunny / partly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +35. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Maryland receiving MORE than +35 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858483
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 6:08 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/ILN/84,83/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 6:08 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/ILN/84,83
Result: pending
10. Utah −15 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Kansas Jayhawks at Utah Utes · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 10:15 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 5.8 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 13 mph, gust 28.8 mph, precipitation chance 44%; temperature 66–69 F. Chance showers and thunderstorms. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −15. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Utah giving FEWER than 15 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856827
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 2:31 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SLC/102,175/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 2:31 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SLC/102,175
Result: pending
11. UCF +9.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · UCF Knights at Oklahoma State Cowboys · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 5.4 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 8 mph, gust 15 mph, precipitation chance 1%; temperature 74–81 F. Sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +9.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: UCF receiving MORE than +9.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856824
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 2:27 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/OUN/114,123/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 2:27 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/OUN/114,123
Result: pending
12. BYU −10.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Iowa State Cyclones at BYU Cougars · spread · Oct 9, 2026, 10:15 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 5.1 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 7 mph, gust 12.7 mph, precipitation chance 3%; temperature 70–75 F. Mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −10.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: BYU giving FEWER than 10.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856826
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 2:31 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SLC/106,152/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 2:31 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SLC/106,152
Result: pending
13. Arizona −3 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Arizona Wildcats at West Virginia Mountaineers · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 4.8 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 9.2 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 64–69 F. Mostly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. INJURY HOLD: poster flags Arizona WR flag; verify current availability before considering. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −3. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Arizona giving FEWER than 3 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856823
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 2:21 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PBZ/83,31/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 2:21 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PBZ/83,31
Result: pending
14. Wyoming +6.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Wyoming Cowboys at San José State Spartans · spread · Oct 9, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 4.7 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 8 mph, gust 13.8 mph, precipitation chance 2%; temperature 70–78 F. Mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +6.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Wyoming receiving MORE than +6.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401864519
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 4:26 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/MTR/100,81/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 4:26 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/MTR/100,81
Result: pending
15. FIU −4.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — scratch
College football · New Mexico State Aggies at Florida International Panthers · spread · Oct 7, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 4.6 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Scratched
Screen: SCRATCH FOR CURRENT BOZO BOYZ WEEK: Oct 7 kickoff falls outside the live Oct 8–12 slate. Retained in archive; prior research follows. WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 3 mph, gust 6.9 mph, precipitation chance 88%; temperature 79–81 F. Showers and thunderstorms. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −4.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: FIU giving FEWER than 4.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401871066
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 8:02 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/MFL/103,49/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 8:02 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/MFL/103,49
Result: pending
16. Stanford +37.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Stanford Cardinal at Notre Dame Fighting Irish · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 4.6 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 10 mph, gust 18.4 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 70–71 F. Sunny / mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +37.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Stanford receiving MORE than +37.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858257
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/IWX/30,64/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/IWX/30,64
Result: pending
17. Old Dominion +9.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Old Dominion Monarchs at App State Mountaineers · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 4.5 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 8 mph, gust 12.7 mph, precipitation chance 9%; temperature 64–65 F. Partly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +9.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Old Dominion receiving MORE than +9.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401869843
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 10:30 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/RNK/17,16/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 10:30 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/RNK/17,16
Result: pending
18. Louisiana (ULL) +1.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 4.4 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 15 mph, gust 20.7 mph, precipitation chance 36%; temperature 72–80 F. Chance showers and thunderstorms. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +1.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Louisiana (ULL) receiving MORE than +1.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401869965
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 7:30 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SHV/114,69/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 7:30 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SHV/114,69
Result: pending
19. Indiana −7.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Indiana Hoosiers at Nebraska Cornhuskers · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 3.8 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 17 mph, gust 31.1 mph, precipitation chance 1%; temperature 70–76 F. Sunny. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −7.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Indiana giving FEWER than 7.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858481
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 11:05 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/OAX/56,40/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 11:05 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/OAX/56,40
Result: pending
20. Minnesota −2.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Minnesota Golden Gophers at Purdue Boilermakers · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 3.8 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 6 mph, gust 12.7 mph, precipitation chance 4%; temperature 64–69 F. Mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −2.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Minnesota giving FEWER than 2.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858486
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 10:45 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/IND/30,98/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 10:45 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/IND/30,98
Result: pending
21. East Carolina −10 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Rice Owls at East Carolina Pirates · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 3.5 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 10 mph, gust 15 mph, precipitation chance 4%; temperature 75–77 F. Mostly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −10. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: East Carolina giving FEWER than 10 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401862797
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 8:41 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/MHX/30,94/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 8:41 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/MHX/30,94
Result: pending
22. Georgia +1.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Georgia Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 3.4 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 20 mph, gust 28.8 mph, precipitation chance 56%; temperature 70–76 F. Chance rain / rain showers likely. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +1.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Georgia receiving MORE than +1.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856712
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 7:06 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/BMX/33,69/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 7:06 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/BMX/33,69
Result: pending
23. UConn +3.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · UConn Huskies at Temple Owls · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 3.4 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 9.2 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 68–70 F. Mostly sunny / partly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +3.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: UConn receiving MORE than +3.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401861964
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 4:31 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PHI/50,76/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 4:31 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PHI/50,76
Result: pending
24. Marshall −2.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Marshall Thundering Herd · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 3.2 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 7 mph, gust 12.7 mph, precipitation chance 8%; temperature 64–70 F. Partly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −2.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Marshall giving FEWER than 2.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401869943
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 7:48 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/RLX/34,68/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 7:48 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/RLX/34,68
Result: pending
25. Fresno State +6 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Boise State Broncos at Fresno State Bulldogs · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 10:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.8 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 11.5 mph, precipitation chance 5%; temperature 73–82 F. Partly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +6. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Fresno State receiving MORE than +6 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401860901
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 10:57 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/HNX/54,103/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 10:57 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/HNX/54,103
Result: pending
26. Buffalo +19.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Buffalo Bulls at Toledo Rockets · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.7 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 9 mph, gust 16.1 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 67–69 F. Sunny / mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +19.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Buffalo receiving MORE than +19.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401866437
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/CLE/17,66/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/CLE/17,66
Result: pending
27. Texas −8 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners (Cotton Bowl, neutral site) · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.6 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 13.8 mph, precipitation chance 6%; temperature 82–83 F. Mostly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −8. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Texas giving FEWER than 8 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856717
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 7:06 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/FWD/91,104/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 7:06 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/FWD/91,104
Result: pending
28. UNLV +3.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · North Dakota State Bison at UNLV Rebels · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.6 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: Indoor: Allegiant Stadium; no outdoor field-weather adjustment. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +3.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: UNLV receiving MORE than +3.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401864518
Result: pending
29. Navy −2.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Navy Midshipmen · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.6 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 7 mph, gust 10.4 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 67–68 F. Mostly cloudy / partly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −2.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Navy giving FEWER than 2.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401862799
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 10:53 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/LWX/114,78/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 10:53 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/LWX/114,78
Result: pending
30. Virginia −9.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Syracuse Orange at Virginia Cavaliers · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.5 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 3 mph, gust 6.9 mph, precipitation chance 7%; temperature 59–67 F. Mostly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −9.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Virginia giving FEWER than 9.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858258
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 10:53 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/LWX/50,26/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 10:53 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/LWX/50,26
Result: pending
31. UTEP +9.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Nevada Wolf Pack at UTEP Miners · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.4 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 10.4 mph, precipitation chance 3%; temperature 77–80 F. Sunny / mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +9.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: UTEP receiving MORE than +9.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401864517
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/EPZ/99,56/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/EPZ/99,56
Result: pending
32. USC +1.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · USC Trojans at Penn State Nittany Lions · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.2 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 2 mph, gust 6.9 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 53–60 F. Partly cloudy / mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +1.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: USC receiving MORE than +1.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858485
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 8:06 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/CTP/69,58/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 8:06 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/CTP/69,58
Result: pending
33. Charlotte +27.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Charlotte 49ers at North Texas Mean Green · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.2 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 11.5 mph, precipitation chance 6%; temperature 80–81 F. Mostly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +27.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Charlotte receiving MORE than +27.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401862796
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 7:06 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/FWD/76,123/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 7:06 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/FWD/76,123
Result: pending
34. Washington State +3.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · Washington State Cougars at Utah State Aggies · spread · Oct 9, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 7 mph, gust 13.8 mph, precipitation chance 1%; temperature 67–75 F. Clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +3.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Washington State receiving MORE than +3.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401860922
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 2:31 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SLC/109,220/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 2:31 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SLC/109,220
Result: pending
35. South Carolina +14 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread) — hold
College football · South Carolina Gamecocks at Florida Gators · spread · Oct 10, 2026, 12:45 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2 points — Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 13 mph, gust 20.7 mph, precipitation chance 67%; temperature 81–82 F. Chance / likely showers and thunderstorms. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +14. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: South Carolina receiving MORE than +14 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.
Source: ESPN current event / venue · Oct 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET · https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856714
Source: NWS hourly forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 7:51 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/JAX/42,32/forecast/hourly
Source: NWS grid wind gust forecast · Oct 4, 2026, 7:51 PM ET · https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/JAX/42,32
Result: pending
36. South Florida Bulls / UTSA Roadrunners: over research hold — hold
College football · South Florida Bulls at UTSA Roadrunners · total · Oct 8, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 3.2 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 55.2 versus observed base-market reference 52, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: Indoor: Alamodome; no outdoor field-weather adjustment. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 52, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/3
Result: pending
37. Washington State Cougars / Utah State Aggies: over research hold — hold
College football · Washington State Cougars at Utah State Aggies · total · Oct 9, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 3.3 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 46.8 versus observed base-market reference 43.5, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 7 mph, gust 13.8 mph, precipitation chance 1%; temperature 67–75 F. Clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 43.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/4
Result: pending
38. Arizona Wildcats / West Virginia Mountaineers: under research hold — hold
College football · Arizona Wildcats at West Virginia Mountaineers · total · Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.9 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 58.1 versus observed base-market reference 61, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. Existing menu flags Arizona WR availability. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 9.2 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 64–69 F. Mostly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 61, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
39. Wake Forest Demon Deacons / NC State Wolfpack: under research hold — hold
College football · Wake Forest Demon Deacons at NC State Wolfpack · total · Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.2 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 57.8 versus observed base-market reference 60, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 60, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
40. Sacramento State Hornets / Bowling Green Falcons: over research hold — hold
College football · Sacramento State Hornets at Bowling Green Falcons · total · Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 44.5 versus observed base-market reference 42.5, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. Both-team injury listings flag multiple Sacramento State skill players and Bowling Green RB/WR availability; some report notes refer to prior games. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 42.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
41. Ball State Cardinals / Northwestern Wildcats: under research hold — hold
College football · Ball State Cardinals at Northwestern Wildcats · total · Oct 10, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.6 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 50.4 versus observed base-market reference 53, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 10 mph, gust 15 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 62–66 F. Sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 53, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
42. South Carolina Gamecocks / Florida Gators: under research hold — hold
College football · South Carolina Gamecocks at Florida Gators · total · Oct 10, 2026, 12:45 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.6 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 59.9 versus observed base-market reference 62.5, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 13 mph, gust 20.7 mph, precipitation chance 67%; temperature 81–82 F. Chance / likely showers and thunderstorms. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 62.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
43. Buffalo Bulls / Toledo Rockets: under research hold — hold
College football · Buffalo Bulls at Toledo Rockets · total · Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 3.4 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 51.6 versus observed base-market reference 55, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 9 mph, gust 16.1 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 67–69 F. Sunny / mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 55, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
44. Duke Blue Devils / Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: over research hold — hold
College football · Duke Blue Devils at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · total · Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.1 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 51.6 versus observed base-market reference 49.5, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 49.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
45. Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners (Cotton Bowl, neutral site): over research hold — hold
College football · Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners (Cotton Bowl, neutral site) · total · Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.5 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 41.5 versus observed base-market reference 39, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 13.8 mph, precipitation chance 6%; temperature 82–83 F. Mostly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 39, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
46. Houston Cougars / Kansas State Wildcats: under research hold — hold
College football · Houston Cougars at Kansas State Wildcats · total · Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.4 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 54.1 versus observed base-market reference 56.5, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 56.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
47. Tulsa Golden Hurricane / Navy Midshipmen: over research hold — hold
College football · Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Navy Midshipmen · total · Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.9 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 51.4 versus observed base-market reference 48.5, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 7 mph, gust 10.4 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 67–68 F. Mostly cloudy / partly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 48.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
48. Tennessee Volunteers / Arkansas Razorbacks: over research hold — hold
College football · Tennessee Volunteers at Arkansas Razorbacks · total · Oct 10, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 4 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 55 versus observed base-market reference 51, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 51, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
49. San Diego State Aztecs / Oregon State Beavers: under research hold — hold
College football · San Diego State Aztecs at Oregon State Beavers · total · Oct 10, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.2 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 53.8 versus observed base-market reference 56, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 9 mph, gust 18.4 mph, precipitation chance 4%; temperature 64–66 F. Mostly sunny / sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 56, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
50. North Dakota State Bison / UNLV Rebels: over research hold — hold
College football · North Dakota State Bison at UNLV Rebels · total · Oct 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.2 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 51.2 versus observed base-market reference 49, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: Indoor: Allegiant Stadium; no outdoor field-weather adjustment. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 49, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
51. James Madison Dukes / Georgia Southern Eagles: under research hold — hold
College football · James Madison Dukes at Georgia Southern Eagles · total · Oct 10, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.3 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 52.7 versus observed base-market reference 55, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 16 mph, gust 26.5 mph, precipitation chance 61%; temperature 67–72 F. Rain showers and thunderstorms likely. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 55, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
52. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns / Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: over research hold — hold
College football · Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · total · Oct 10, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.3 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 50.3 versus observed base-market reference 48, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 15 mph, gust 20.7 mph, precipitation chance 36%; temperature 72–80 F. Chance showers and thunderstorms. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 48, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
53. Tampa Bay Buccaneers / Dallas Cowboys: over research hold — hold
NFL · Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys · total · Oct 8, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
Base bet: 47.5 at -110 · DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ) · quoted Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 3.2 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 50.7 versus observed base-market reference 47.5, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 47.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4
Source: DraftKings Network public board · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/
Result: pending
54. Cincinnati Bengals / Miami Dolphins: over research hold — hold
NFL · Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins · total · Oct 11, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Base bet: 41.5 at -115 · DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ) · quoted Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 6.3 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 47.8 versus observed base-market reference 41.5, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. MAJOR FLAG: Chase concussion and Higgins adductor injury confirmed by Bengals after Oct 4; model incorporation unverified. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 41.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/7
Source: DraftKings Network public board · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/
Result: pending
55. San Francisco 49ers / Seattle Seahawks: under research hold — hold
NFL · San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks · total · Oct 11, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Base bet: 47.5 at -115 · DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ) · quoted Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.8 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 44.7 versus observed base-market reference 47.5, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 47.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/7
Source: DraftKings Network public board · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/
Result: pending
56. Detroit Lions / Arizona Cardinals: under research hold — hold
NFL · Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals · total · Oct 11, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Base bet: 53.5 at -105 · DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ) · quoted Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 4.3 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 49.2 versus observed base-market reference 53.5, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 53.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/7
Source: DraftKings Network public board · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/
Result: pending
57. Buffalo Bills / Los Angeles Rams: under research hold — hold
NFL · Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams · total · Oct 12, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 6.7 points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 46.8 versus observed base-market reference 53.5, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. Recheck Bills DJ Moore, Ed Oliver and Dee Alford; Rams defensive and TE availability also unresolved. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 53.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/8
Source: DraftKings Network public board · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/
Result: pending
58. Indiana moneyline — research hold — hold
College football · Indiana Hoosiers at Nebraska Cornhuskers · moneyline · Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 2.54 percentage points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: DRatings win estimate minus break-even probability at observed -290. Unadjusted single-model screen, not ROI. Aggregator book identity unverified; shopping reference only.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: Wind watch in existing Data Dawgs forecast; both-team injury entries contain stale opponent references. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Full QB, injury, suspension and positional-cluster clearance is incomplete. Dated Data Dawgs weather (Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET): WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 17 mph, gust 31.1 mph, precipitation chance 1%; temperature 70–76 F. Sunny. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Only an actual offered moneyline from −200 through −500, after screening and price refresh. The comparison price is not a standing approval; never pay worse merely to enter the band.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
59. Bowling Green moneyline — research hold — hold
College football · Sacramento State Hornets at Bowling Green Falcons · moneyline · Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 4.07 percentage points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: DRatings win estimate minus break-even probability at observed -275. Unadjusted single-model screen, not ROI. Aggregator book identity unverified; shopping reference only.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: Multiple Sacramento State RB/WR/TE listings and Bowling Green RB/WR flags need current confirmation. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Full QB, injury, suspension and positional-cluster clearance is incomplete. Kickoff-window weather/roof clearance remains unverified. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Only an actual offered moneyline from −200 through −500, after screening and price refresh. The comparison price is not a standing approval; never pay worse merely to enter the band.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
60. East Carolina moneyline — research hold — hold
College football · Rice Owls at East Carolina Pirates · moneyline · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 0.94 percentage points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: DRatings win estimate minus break-even probability at observed -360. Unadjusted single-model screen, not ROI. Aggregator book identity unverified; shopping reference only.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: Small model margin; no verified book-specific quote. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Full QB, injury, suspension and positional-cluster clearance is incomplete. Dated Data Dawgs weather (Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET): WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 10 mph, gust 15 mph, precipitation chance 4%; temperature 75–77 F. Mostly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Only an actual offered moneyline from −200 through −500, after screening and price refresh. The comparison price is not a standing approval; never pay worse merely to enter the band.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
61. Oregon moneyline — research hold — hold
College football · UCLA Bruins at Oregon Ducks · moneyline · Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Base bet: Not supplied
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 0.93 percentage points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: DRatings win estimate minus break-even probability at observed -420. Unadjusted single-model screen, not ROI. Aggregator book identity unverified; shopping reference only.
Alternate offer: Not supplied
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: Price-sensitive: −420 has a small model margin, while −470 does not. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Full QB, injury, suspension and positional-cluster clearance is incomplete. Kickoff-window weather/roof clearance remains unverified. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Only an actual offered moneyline from −200 through −500, after screening and price refresh. The comparison price is not a standing approval; never pay worse merely to enter the band.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5
Result: pending
62. Cincinnati moneyline — research hold — hold
NFL · Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins · moneyline · Oct 11, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Base bet: Moneyline at -355 · DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ) · quoted Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 1.18 percentage points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: DRatings win estimate minus break-even probability at observed -355. Unadjusted single-model screen, not ROI. DraftKings Network quote requires direct-book refresh.
Alternate offer: Moneyline at -355 · DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ) · quoted Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: MAJOR FLAG: Chase concussion and Higgins adductor injury; model incorporation unverified. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Full QB, injury, suspension and positional-cluster clearance is incomplete. Kickoff-window weather/roof clearance remains unverified. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Only an actual offered moneyline from −200 through −500, after screening and price refresh. The comparison price is not a standing approval; never pay worse merely to enter the band.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/7
Source: DraftKings Network public moneyline quote · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/
Result: pending
63. Detroit moneyline — research hold — hold
NFL · Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals · moneyline · Oct 11, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Base bet: Moneyline at -218 · DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ) · quoted Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 5.85 percentage points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: DRatings win estimate minus break-even probability at observed -218. Unadjusted single-model screen, not ROI. DraftKings Network quote requires direct-book refresh.
Alternate offer: Moneyline at -218 · DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ) · quoted Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: Both-team current QB/injury clearance and roof status remain unresolved. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Full QB, injury, suspension and positional-cluster clearance is incomplete. Kickoff-window weather/roof clearance remains unverified. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Only an actual offered moneyline from −200 through −500, after screening and price refresh. The comparison price is not a standing approval; never pay worse merely to enter the band.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/7
Source: DraftKings Network public moneyline quote · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/
Result: pending
64. Baltimore moneyline — research hold — hold
NFL · Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons · moneyline · Oct 11, 2026, 8:20 PM ET
Base bet: Moneyline at -205 · DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ) · quoted Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Data Dawgs edge estimate: 0.79 percentage points — Data Dawgs arithmetic: DRatings win estimate minus break-even probability at observed -205. Unadjusted single-model screen, not ROI. DraftKings Network quote requires direct-book refresh.
Alternate offer: Moneyline at -205 · DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ) · quoted Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Quote status: Started / archived
Screen: HOLD: MAJOR FLAG: Lamar Jackson ankle injury plus other Ravens injuries. Atlanta still plays tonight; re-screen after that game. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Full QB, injury, suspension and positional-cluster clearance is incomplete. Kickoff-window weather/roof clearance remains unverified. · checked Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Worst acceptable offer: Only an actual offered moneyline from −200 through −500, after screening and price refresh. The comparison price is not a standing approval; never pay worse merely to enter the band.
Source: DRatings public projection; retrieval time only · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/7
Source: DraftKings Network public moneyline quote · Oct 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/
Result: pending