{ "title": "The Bozo Menu · Oct 5 expanded scan · 29 new holds · no cleared shortlist", "week": "2026-10-05", "revision": 3, "published_at": "2026-10-05T15:04:51.808Z", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-31T08:26:39.636Z", "status": "published", "scope": "Public Data Dawgs research. Saved quotes, not guaranteed current offers. No contest picks submitted.", "candidates": [ { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 8.2 }, "event": "Ball State Cardinals at Northwestern Wildcats", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-ball-state", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 1, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 10 mph, gust 15 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 62–66 F. Sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +36. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Ball State +36 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858482" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T01:46:01Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/LOT/73,82/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T01:46:01Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/LOT/73,82" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Ball State receiving MORE than +36 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 7.2 }, "event": "South Florida Bulls at UTSA Roadrunners", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-usf", "kickoff": "2026-10-08T23:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 2, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: Indoor: Alamodome; no outdoor field-weather adjustment. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +7. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "USF +7 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401862794" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: USF receiving MORE than +7 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 7.1 }, "event": "Ole Miss Rebels at Vanderbilt Commodores", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-vanderbilt", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T19:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 3, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 10 mph, gust 16.1 mph, precipitation chance 19%; temperature 82–84 F. Slight chance rain showers. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. INJURY HOLD: poster flags Vanderbilt QB flag; verify current availability before considering. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +10.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Vanderbilt +10.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856718" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T00:26:31Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/OHX/49,56/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T00:26:31Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/OHX/49,56" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Vanderbilt receiving MORE than +10.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 7.1 }, "event": "Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Arizona State Sun Devils", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-hawaii", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T02:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 4, "reason": "KICKOFF CORRECTION: Oct 10, 10:30 PM ET per current DRatings schedule. Prior saved 9:30 PM ET and the weather window below are archived, NOT clearance for the corrected time; refresh full window. WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 13.8 mph, precipitation chance 9%; temperature 83–89 F. Partly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +21.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Hawaii +21.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856808" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T22:53:11Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PSR/164,56/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T22:53:11Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PSR/164,56" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Hawaii receiving MORE than +21.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 6.8 }, "event": "North Carolina Tar Heels at Pittsburgh Panthers", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-pitt", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 5, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 9.2 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 64–68 F. Mostly sunny / sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. INJURY HOLD: poster flags Pitt QB out; verify current availability before considering. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −4. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Pitt −4 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858256" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T18:21:42Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PBZ/77,66/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T18:21:42Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PBZ/77,66" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Pitt giving FEWER than 4 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 6.3 }, "event": "Sam Houston Bearkats at Liberty Flames", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-liberty", "kickoff": "2026-10-08T23:00:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 6, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 10.4 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 67–75 F. Mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −13.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Liberty −13.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401870766" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T02:30:37Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/RNK/101,76/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T02:30:37Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/RNK/101,76" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Liberty giving FEWER than 13.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 6.3 }, "event": "James Madison Dukes at Georgia Southern Eagles", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-james-madison", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T23:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 7, "reason": "WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 16 mph, gust 26.5 mph, precipitation chance 61%; temperature 67–72 F. Rain showers and thunderstorms likely. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −8.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "James Madison −8.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401869949" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T00:32:01Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/CHS/20,53/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T00:32:01Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/CHS/20,53" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: James Madison giving FEWER than 8.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 6.1 }, "event": "San Diego State Aztecs at Oregon State Beavers", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-san-diego-state", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T22:00:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 8, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 9 mph, gust 18.4 mph, precipitation chance 4%; temperature 64–66 F. Mostly sunny / sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +13.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "San Diego State +13.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401860902" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T02:41:17Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PQR/84,64/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T02:41:17Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PQR/84,64" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: San Diego State receiving MORE than +13.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 6 }, "event": "Maryland Terrapins at Ohio State Buckeyes", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-maryland", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T20:15:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 9, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 8 mph, gust 13.8 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 69–73 F. Mostly sunny / partly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +35. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Maryland +35 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858483" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T22:08:07Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/ILN/84,83/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T22:08:07Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/ILN/84,83" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Maryland receiving MORE than +35 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 5.8 }, "event": "Kansas Jayhawks at Utah Utes", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-utah", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T02:15:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 10, "reason": "WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 13 mph, gust 28.8 mph, precipitation chance 44%; temperature 66–69 F. Chance showers and thunderstorms. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −15. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Utah −15 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856827" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T18:31:24Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SLC/102,175/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T18:31:24Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SLC/102,175" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Utah giving FEWER than 15 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 5.4 }, "event": "UCF Knights at Oklahoma State Cowboys", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-ucf", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 11, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 8 mph, gust 15 mph, precipitation chance 1%; temperature 74–81 F. Sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +9.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "UCF +9.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856824" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T18:27:10Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/OUN/114,123/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T18:27:10Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/OUN/114,123" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: UCF receiving MORE than +9.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 5.1 }, "event": "Iowa State Cyclones at BYU Cougars", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-byu", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T02:15:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 12, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 7 mph, gust 12.7 mph, precipitation chance 3%; temperature 70–75 F. Mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −10.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "BYU −10.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856826" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T18:31:24Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SLC/106,152/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T18:31:24Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SLC/106,152" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: BYU giving FEWER than 10.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 4.8 }, "event": "Arizona Wildcats at West Virginia Mountaineers", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-arizona", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 13, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 9.2 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 64–69 F. Mostly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. INJURY HOLD: poster flags Arizona WR flag; verify current availability before considering. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −3. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Arizona −3 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856823" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T18:21:42Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PBZ/83,31/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T18:21:42Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PBZ/83,31" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Arizona giving FEWER than 3 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 4.7 }, "event": "Wyoming Cowboys at San José State Spartans", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-wyoming", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T01:00:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 14, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 8 mph, gust 13.8 mph, precipitation chance 2%; temperature 70–78 F. Mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +6.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Wyoming +6.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401864519" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T20:26:03Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/MTR/100,81/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T20:26:03Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/MTR/100,81" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Wyoming receiving MORE than +6.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 4.6 }, "event": "New Mexico State Aggies at Florida International Panthers", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-fiu", "kickoff": "2026-10-07T23:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 15, "reason": "SCRATCH FOR CURRENT BOZO BOYZ WEEK: Oct 7 kickoff falls outside the live Oct 8–12 slate. Retained in archive; prior research follows. WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 3 mph, gust 6.9 mph, precipitation chance 88%; temperature 79–81 F. Showers and thunderstorms. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −4.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "FIU −4.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401871066" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T00:02:25Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/MFL/103,49/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T00:02:25Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/MFL/103,49" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "scratch", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: FIU giving FEWER than 4.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 4.6 }, "event": "Stanford Cardinal at Notre Dame Fighting Irish", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-stanford", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T19:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 16, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 10 mph, gust 18.4 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 70–71 F. Sunny / mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +37.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Stanford +37.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858257" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T01:30:23Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/IWX/30,64/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T01:30:23Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/IWX/30,64" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Stanford receiving MORE than +37.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 4.5 }, "event": "Old Dominion Monarchs at App State Mountaineers", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-old-dominion", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T17:00:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 17, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 8 mph, gust 12.7 mph, precipitation chance 9%; temperature 64–65 F. Partly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +9.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Old Dominion +9.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401869843" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T02:30:37Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/RNK/17,16/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T02:30:37Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/RNK/17,16" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Old Dominion receiving MORE than +9.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 4.4 }, "event": "Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-louisiana-ull", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T23:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 18, "reason": "WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 15 mph, gust 20.7 mph, precipitation chance 36%; temperature 72–80 F. Chance showers and thunderstorms. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +1.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Louisiana (ULL) +1.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401869965" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T23:30:30Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SHV/114,69/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T23:30:30Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SHV/114,69" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Louisiana (ULL) receiving MORE than +1.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 3.8 }, "event": "Indiana Hoosiers at Nebraska Cornhuskers", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-indiana", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 19, "reason": "WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 17 mph, gust 31.1 mph, precipitation chance 1%; temperature 70–76 F. Sunny. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −7.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Indiana −7.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858481" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T03:05:35Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/OAX/56,40/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T03:05:35Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/OAX/56,40" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Indiana giving FEWER than 7.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 3.8 }, "event": "Minnesota Golden Gophers at Purdue Boilermakers", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-minnesota", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T00:00:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 20, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 6 mph, gust 12.7 mph, precipitation chance 4%; temperature 64–69 F. Mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −2.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Minnesota −2.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858486" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T02:45:40Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/IND/30,98/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T02:45:40Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/IND/30,98" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Minnesota giving FEWER than 2.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 3.5 }, "event": "Rice Owls at East Carolina Pirates", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-east-carolina", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T20:00:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 21, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 10 mph, gust 15 mph, precipitation chance 4%; temperature 75–77 F. Mostly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −10. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "East Carolina −10 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401862797" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T00:41:53Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/MHX/30,94/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T00:41:53Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/MHX/30,94" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: East Carolina giving FEWER than 10 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 3.4 }, "event": "Georgia Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-georgia", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T23:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 22, "reason": "WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 20 mph, gust 28.8 mph, precipitation chance 56%; temperature 70–76 F. Chance rain / rain showers likely. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +1.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Georgia +1.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856712" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T23:06:53Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/BMX/33,69/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T23:06:53Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/BMX/33,69" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Georgia receiving MORE than +1.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 3.4 }, "event": "UConn Huskies at Temple Owls", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-uconn", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T19:45:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 23, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 9.2 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 68–70 F. Mostly sunny / partly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +3.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "UConn +3.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401861964" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T20:31:28Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PHI/50,76/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T20:31:28Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/PHI/50,76" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: UConn receiving MORE than +3.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 3.2 }, "event": "Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Marshall Thundering Herd", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-marshall", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T23:00:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 24, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 7 mph, gust 12.7 mph, precipitation chance 8%; temperature 64–70 F. Partly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −2.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Marshall −2.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401869943" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T23:48:26Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/RLX/34,68/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T23:48:26Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/RLX/34,68" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Marshall giving FEWER than 2.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.8 }, "event": "Boise State Broncos at Fresno State Bulldogs", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-fresno-state", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T02:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 25, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 11.5 mph, precipitation chance 5%; temperature 73–82 F. Partly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +6. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Fresno State +6 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401860901" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T02:57:04Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/HNX/54,103/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T02:57:04Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/HNX/54,103" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Fresno State receiving MORE than +6 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.7 }, "event": "Buffalo Bulls at Toledo Rockets", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-buffalo", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T19:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 26, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 9 mph, gust 16.1 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 67–69 F. Sunny / mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +19.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Buffalo +19.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401866437" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T19:46:45Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/CLE/17,66/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T19:46:45Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/CLE/17,66" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Buffalo receiving MORE than +19.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.6 }, "event": "Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners (Cotton Bowl, neutral site)", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-texas", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T19:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 27, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 13.8 mph, precipitation chance 6%; temperature 82–83 F. Mostly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −8. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Texas −8 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856717" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T23:06:39Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/FWD/91,104/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T23:06:39Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/FWD/91,104" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Texas giving FEWER than 8 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.6 }, "event": "North Dakota State Bison at UNLV Rebels", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-unlv", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T23:00:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 28, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: Indoor: Allegiant Stadium; no outdoor field-weather adjustment. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +3.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "UNLV +3.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401864518" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: UNLV receiving MORE than +3.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.6 }, "event": "Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Navy Midshipmen", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-navy", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T19:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 29, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 7 mph, gust 10.4 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 67–68 F. Mostly cloudy / partly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 3/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −2.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Navy −2.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401862799" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T02:53:00Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/LWX/114,78/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T02:53:00Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/LWX/114,78" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Navy giving FEWER than 2.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.5 }, "event": "Syracuse Orange at Virginia Cavaliers", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-virginia", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T23:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 30, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 3 mph, gust 6.9 mph, precipitation chance 7%; temperature 59–67 F. Mostly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread −9.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Virginia −9.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858258" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T02:53:00Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/LWX/50,26/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T02:53:00Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/LWX/50,26" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Virginia giving FEWER than 9.5 points (or receiving points), at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.4 }, "event": "Nevada Wolf Pack at UTEP Miners", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-utep", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T23:00:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 31, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 10.4 mph, precipitation chance 3%; temperature 77–80 F. Sunny / mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +9.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "UTEP +9.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401864517" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T21:36:44Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/EPZ/99,56/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T21:36:44Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/EPZ/99,56" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: UTEP receiving MORE than +9.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.2 }, "event": "USC Trojans at Penn State Nittany Lions", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-usc", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T23:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 32, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 2 mph, gust 6.9 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 53–60 F. Partly cloudy / mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +1.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "USC +1.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401858485" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T00:06:07Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/CTP/69,58/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T00:06:07Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/CTP/69,58" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: USC receiving MORE than +1.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.2 }, "event": "Charlotte 49ers at North Texas Mean Green", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-charlotte", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T19:30:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 33, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 11.5 mph, precipitation chance 6%; temperature 80–81 F. Mostly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +27.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Charlotte +27.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401862796" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T23:06:39Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/FWD/76,123/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T23:06:39Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/FWD/76,123" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Charlotte receiving MORE than +27.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 2 }, "event": "Washington State Cougars at Utah State Aggies", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-washington-state", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T01:00:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 34, "reason": "WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 7 mph, gust 13.8 mph, precipitation chance 1%; temperature 67–75 F. Clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +3.5. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "Washington State +3.5 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401860922" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T18:31:24Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SLC/109,220/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T18:31:24Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/SLC/109,220" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: Washington State receiving MORE than +3.5 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Reported Data Dawgs poster blend versus listed spread, Oct 4 evening snapshot. 1/3 PFF + 1/3 SP+ + 1/3 DRatings. Imported, not recomputed; not ROI, hit probability, or an alternate-line edge.", "unit": "points", "value": 2 }, "event": "South Carolina Gamecocks at Florida Gators", "id": "cfb-2026-w6-south-carolina", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:45:00.000Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 35, "reason": "WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 13 mph, gust 20.7 mph, precipitation chance 67%; temperature 81–82 F. Chance / likely showers and thunderstorms. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. WEATHER-ONLY screen; injuries and current alternate quotes remain unverified. PROVISIONAL: imported candidate, pending current screening and a verified alternate-line quote. 2/3 models favor this side according to the supplied poster; weights are not backtested. Listed base spread +14. Poster uses prior Week 5 PFF ratings and 2.5-point home field (0 neutral). Model update times, book prices and exact quote times were not supplied; source claims have not been independently rechecked.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "selection": "South Carolina +14 (base; shop a more favorable alternate spread)", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T04:05:00Z", "name": "ESPN current event / venue", "url": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856714" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T23:51:36Z", "name": "NWS hourly forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/JAX/42,32/forecast/hourly" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-04T23:51:36Z", "name": "NWS grid wind gust forecast", "url": "https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/JAX/42,32" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "SHOPPING TARGET ONLY: South Carolina receiving MORE than +14 points, at an actual offered price from −200 through −500 inclusive. No specific alternate line or price is verified. Confirm matchup, injury screen and contest eligibility; reassess value at the quoted line. Do not transfer the listed base-line edge to the alternate.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 55.2 versus observed base-market reference 52, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 3.2 }, "event": "South Florida Bulls at UTSA Roadrunners", "id": "cfb-202610-usf-utsa-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-08T23:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 36, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: Indoor: Alamodome; no outdoor field-weather adjustment. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "South Florida Bulls / UTSA Roadrunners: over research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/3" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 52, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 46.8 versus observed base-market reference 43.5, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 3.3 }, "event": "Washington State Cougars at Utah State Aggies", "id": "cfb-202610-wsu-usu-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T01:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 37, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 7 mph, gust 13.8 mph, precipitation chance 1%; temperature 67–75 F. Clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Washington State Cougars / Utah State Aggies: over research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 43.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 58.1 versus observed base-market reference 61, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.9 }, "event": "Arizona Wildcats at West Virginia Mountaineers", "id": "cfb-202610-arizona-wvu-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 38, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. Existing menu flags Arizona WR availability. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 9.2 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 64–69 F. Mostly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Arizona Wildcats / West Virginia Mountaineers: under research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 61, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 57.8 versus observed base-market reference 60, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.2 }, "event": "Wake Forest Demon Deacons at NC State Wolfpack", "id": "cfb-202610-wake-ncsu-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 39, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Wake Forest Demon Deacons / NC State Wolfpack: under research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 60, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 44.5 versus observed base-market reference 42.5, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 2 }, "event": "Sacramento State Hornets at Bowling Green Falcons", "id": "cfb-202610-sac-bgsu-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 40, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. Both-team injury listings flag multiple Sacramento State skill players and Bowling Green RB/WR availability; some report notes refer to prior games. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Sacramento State Hornets / Bowling Green Falcons: over research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 42.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 50.4 versus observed base-market reference 53, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.6 }, "event": "Ball State Cardinals at Northwestern Wildcats", "id": "cfb-202610-ball-nw-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 41, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 10 mph, gust 15 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 62–66 F. Sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Ball State Cardinals / Northwestern Wildcats: under research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 53, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 59.9 versus observed base-market reference 62.5, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.6 }, "event": "South Carolina Gamecocks at Florida Gators", "id": "cfb-202610-sc-florida-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:45:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 42, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 13 mph, gust 20.7 mph, precipitation chance 67%; temperature 81–82 F. Chance / likely showers and thunderstorms. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "South Carolina Gamecocks / Florida Gators: under research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 62.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 51.6 versus observed base-market reference 55, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 3.4 }, "event": "Buffalo Bulls at Toledo Rockets", "id": "cfb-202610-buffalo-toledo-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T19:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 43, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 9 mph, gust 16.1 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 67–69 F. Sunny / mostly clear. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Buffalo Bulls / Toledo Rockets: under research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 55, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 51.6 versus observed base-market reference 49.5, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.1 }, "event": "Duke Blue Devils at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets", "id": "cfb-202610-duke-gt-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T19:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 44, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Duke Blue Devils / Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: over research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 49.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 41.5 versus observed base-market reference 39, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.5 }, "event": "Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners (Cotton Bowl, neutral site)", "id": "cfb-202610-texas-ou-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T19:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 45, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 5 mph, gust 13.8 mph, precipitation chance 6%; temperature 82–83 F. Mostly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners (Cotton Bowl, neutral site): over research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 39, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 54.1 versus observed base-market reference 56.5, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.4 }, "event": "Houston Cougars at Kansas State Wildcats", "id": "cfb-202610-houston-ksu-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T19:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 46, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Houston Cougars / Kansas State Wildcats: under research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 56.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 51.4 versus observed base-market reference 48.5, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.9 }, "event": "Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Navy Midshipmen", "id": "cfb-202610-tulsa-navy-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T19:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 47, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 7 mph, gust 10.4 mph, precipitation chance 0%; temperature 67–68 F. Mostly cloudy / partly sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Tulsa Golden Hurricane / Navy Midshipmen: over research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 48.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 55 versus observed base-market reference 51, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 4 }, "event": "Tennessee Volunteers at Arkansas Razorbacks", "id": "cfb-202610-tenn-ark-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T20:15:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 48, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Tennessee Volunteers / Arkansas Razorbacks: over research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 51, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 53.8 versus observed base-market reference 56, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.2 }, "event": "San Diego State Aztecs at Oregon State Beavers", "id": "cfb-202610-sdsu-osu-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T22:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 49, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 9 mph, gust 18.4 mph, precipitation chance 4%; temperature 64–66 F. Mostly sunny / sunny. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "San Diego State Aztecs / Oregon State Beavers: under research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 56, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 51.2 versus observed base-market reference 49, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.2 }, "event": "North Dakota State Bison at UNLV Rebels", "id": "cfb-202610-ndsu-unlv-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T23:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 50, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER KEEP: Indoor: Allegiant Stadium; no outdoor field-weather adjustment. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "North Dakota State Bison / UNLV Rebels: over research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 49, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 52.7 versus observed base-market reference 55, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.3 }, "event": "James Madison Dukes at Georgia Southern Eagles", "id": "cfb-202610-jmu-gsu-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T23:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 51, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 16 mph, gust 26.5 mph, precipitation chance 61%; temperature 67–72 F. Rain showers and thunderstorms likely. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "James Madison Dukes / Georgia Southern Eagles: under research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 55, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 50.3 versus observed base-market reference 48, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.3 }, "event": "Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs", "id": "cfb-202610-ull-latech-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T23:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 52, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Dated Data Dawgs weather reused from Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET: WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 15 mph, gust 20.7 mph, precipitation chance 36%; temperature 72–80 F. Chance showers and thunderstorms. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns / Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: over research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 48, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ)", "line": 47.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z" }, "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 50.7 versus observed base-market reference 47.5, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 3.2 }, "event": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys", "id": "nfl-202610-tb-dal-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-09T00:15:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 53, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers / Dallas Cowboys: over research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public board", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/" } ], "sport": "NFL", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 47.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ)", "line": 41.5, "odds": -115, "quoted_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z" }, "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 47.8 versus observed base-market reference 41.5, favoring over. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 6.3 }, "event": "Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins", "id": "nfl-202610-cin-mia-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T17:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 54, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. MAJOR FLAG: Chase concussion and Higgins adductor injury confirmed by Bengals after Oct 4; model incorporation unverified. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Cincinnati Bengals / Miami Dolphins: over research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/7" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public board", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/" } ], "sport": "NFL", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual over threshold LOWER than 41.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ)", "line": 47.5, "odds": -115, "quoted_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z" }, "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 44.7 versus observed base-market reference 47.5, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 2.8 }, "event": "San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks", "id": "nfl-202610-sf-sea-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T20:25:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 55, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "San Francisco 49ers / Seattle Seahawks: under research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/7" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public board", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/" } ], "sport": "NFL", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 47.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ)", "line": 53.5, "odds": -105, "quoted_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z" }, "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 49.2 versus observed base-market reference 53.5, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 4.3 }, "event": "Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals", "id": "nfl-202610-det-ari-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T20:25:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 56, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Detroit Lions / Arizona Cardinals: under research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/7" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public board", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/" } ], "sport": "NFL", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 53.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: public DRatings total 46.8 versus observed base-market reference 53.5, favoring under. Not ROI, hit probability, or alternate-line value. Market reference is not a verified alternate offer.", "unit": "points", "value": 6.7 }, "event": "Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams", "id": "nfl-202610-buf-lar-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-13T00:15:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 57, "reason": "HOLD: no verified alternate price. Both-team QB, injury, clustered-absence and suspension clearance is incomplete. No numerical news/weather adjustment. Recheck Bills DJ Moore, Ed Oliver and Dee Alford; Rams defensive and TE availability also unresolved. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Weather/roof status and full kickoff-window forecast coverage remain unverified; no weather clearance.", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Buffalo Bills / Los Angeles Rams: under research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/8" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public board", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/" } ], "sport": "NFL", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Shop an actual under threshold HIGHER than 53.5, priced −200 through −500. No specific alternate threshold, price or hit probability is approved. Reassess value with a defensible total distribution and completed screening.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: DRatings win estimate minus break-even probability at observed -290. Unadjusted single-model screen, not ROI. Aggregator book identity unverified; shopping reference only.", "unit": "percentage_points", "value": 2.54 }, "event": "Indiana Hoosiers at Nebraska Cornhuskers", "id": "cfb-202610-ind-neb-moneyline", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:00:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 58, "reason": "HOLD: Wind watch in existing Data Dawgs forecast; both-team injury entries contain stale opponent references. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Full QB, injury, suspension and positional-cluster clearance is incomplete. Dated Data Dawgs weather (Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET): WEATHER WATCH: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 17 mph, gust 31.1 mph, precipitation chance 1%; temperature 70–76 F. Sunny. Lower priority pending a closer forecast; no weather scratch or calibrated point deduction. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Indiana moneyline — research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Only an actual offered moneyline from −200 through −500, after screening and price refresh. The comparison price is not a standing approval; never pay worse merely to enter the band.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: DRatings win estimate minus break-even probability at observed -275. Unadjusted single-model screen, not ROI. Aggregator book identity unverified; shopping reference only.", "unit": "percentage_points", "value": 4.07 }, "event": "Sacramento State Hornets at Bowling Green Falcons", "id": "cfb-202610-bgsu-sac-moneyline", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T16:00:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 59, "reason": "HOLD: Multiple Sacramento State RB/WR/TE listings and Bowling Green RB/WR flags need current confirmation. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Full QB, injury, suspension and positional-cluster clearance is incomplete. Kickoff-window weather/roof clearance remains unverified. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Bowling Green moneyline — research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Only an actual offered moneyline from −200 through −500, after screening and price refresh. The comparison price is not a standing approval; never pay worse merely to enter the band.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: DRatings win estimate minus break-even probability at observed -360. Unadjusted single-model screen, not ROI. Aggregator book identity unverified; shopping reference only.", "unit": "percentage_points", "value": 0.94 }, "event": "Rice Owls at East Carolina Pirates", "id": "cfb-202610-ecu-rice-moneyline", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T20:00:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 60, "reason": "HOLD: Small model margin; no verified book-specific quote. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Full QB, injury, suspension and positional-cluster clearance is incomplete. Dated Data Dawgs weather (Oct 5, 12:05 AM ET): WEATHER KEEP: kickoff through +3h maxima: sustained wind 10 mph, gust 15 mph, precipitation chance 4%; temperature 75–77 F. Mostly cloudy. No current threshold flag. Preliminary NWS grid at approximate stadium coordinates; full game-window forecast coverage. Recheck within 48h and before entry. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "East Carolina moneyline — research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Only an actual offered moneyline from −200 through −500, after screening and price refresh. The comparison price is not a standing approval; never pay worse merely to enter the band.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: DRatings win estimate minus break-even probability at observed -420. Unadjusted single-model screen, not ROI. Aggregator book identity unverified; shopping reference only.", "unit": "percentage_points", "value": 0.93 }, "event": "UCLA Bruins at Oregon Ducks", "id": "cfb-202610-ore-ucla-moneyline", "kickoff": "2026-10-10T19:30:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 61, "reason": "HOLD: Price-sensitive: −420 has a small model margin, while −470 does not. PFF NCAA board has no bets; current SP+ matchup totals unavailable (ESPN access challenge). DRatings is the sole quantified input, not a three-model blend. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET; model-specific update time not independently verified. Full QB, injury, suspension and positional-cluster clearance is incomplete. Kickoff-window weather/roof clearance remains unverified. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Oregon moneyline — research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/5" } ], "sport": "College football", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Only an actual offered moneyline from −200 through −500, after screening and price refresh. The comparison price is not a standing approval; never pay worse merely to enter the band.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "alternate": { "book": "DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ)", "odds": -355, "quoted_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z" }, "base": { "book": "DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ)", "odds": -355, "quoted_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z" }, "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: DRatings win estimate minus break-even probability at observed -355. Unadjusted single-model screen, not ROI. DraftKings Network quote requires direct-book refresh.", "unit": "percentage_points", "value": 1.18 }, "event": "Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins", "id": "nfl-202610-cin-mia-moneyline", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T17:00:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 62, "reason": "HOLD: MAJOR FLAG: Chase concussion and Higgins adductor injury; model incorporation unverified. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Full QB, injury, suspension and positional-cluster clearance is incomplete. Kickoff-window weather/roof clearance remains unverified. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Cincinnati moneyline — research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/7" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public moneyline quote", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/" } ], "sport": "NFL", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Only an actual offered moneyline from −200 through −500, after screening and price refresh. The comparison price is not a standing approval; never pay worse merely to enter the band.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "alternate": { "book": "DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ)", "odds": -218, "quoted_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z" }, "base": { "book": "DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ)", "odds": -218, "quoted_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z" }, "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: DRatings win estimate minus break-even probability at observed -218. Unadjusted single-model screen, not ROI. DraftKings Network quote requires direct-book refresh.", "unit": "percentage_points", "value": 5.85 }, "event": "Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals", "id": "nfl-202610-det-ari-moneyline", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T20:25:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 63, "reason": "HOLD: Both-team current QB/injury clearance and roof status remain unresolved. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Full QB, injury, suspension and positional-cluster clearance is incomplete. Kickoff-window weather/roof clearance remains unverified. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Detroit moneyline — research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/7" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public moneyline quote", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/" } ], "sport": "NFL", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Only an actual offered moneyline from −200 through −500, after screening and price refresh. The comparison price is not a standing approval; never pay worse merely to enter the band.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "alternate": { "book": "DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ)", "odds": -205, "quoted_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z" }, "base": { "book": "DraftKings via DK Network (jurisdiction may differ)", "odds": -205, "quoted_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z" }, "edge": { "definition": "Data Dawgs arithmetic: DRatings win estimate minus break-even probability at observed -205. Unadjusted single-model screen, not ROI. DraftKings Network quote requires direct-book refresh.", "unit": "percentage_points", "value": 0.79 }, "event": "Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons", "id": "nfl-202610-bal-atl-moneyline", "kickoff": "2026-10-12T00:20:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 64, "reason": "HOLD: MAJOR FLAG: Lamar Jackson ankle injury plus other Ravens injuries. Atlanta still plays tonight; re-screen after that game. DRatings is the sole quantified input; its future-game QB fields are Unknown. PFF/nfelo still cover the prior NFL slate, and future ETR game projections were not verified. Checked Oct 5, 11:00 AM ET. Full QB, injury, suspension and positional-cluster clearance is incomplete. Kickoff-window weather/roof clearance remains unverified. ", "result": "pending", "screened_at": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "selection": "Baltimore moneyline — research hold", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DRatings public projection; retrieval time only", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/7" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-05T15:00:54Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public moneyline quote", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/draftkings-sportsbook-betting-splits/" } ], "sport": "NFL", "status": "hold", "worst_acceptable": "Only an actual offered moneyline from −200 through −500, after screening and price refresh. The comparison price is not a standing approval; never pay worse merely to enter the band.", "quote_state": "Started / archived" } ], "published_weeks": [ { "week": "2026-10-26", "title": "Bozo Menu · Oct 29 NFL/CFB research refresh · exact-price validation pending", "revision": 4, "published_at": "2026-10-29T14:50:25.376Z" }, { "week": "2026-10-19", "title": "Bozo Menu · Oct25 maintenance only · no price/PFF/ETR refresh", "revision": 5, "published_at": "2026-10-25T14:44:31.529Z" }, { "week": "2026-10-12", "title": "Bozo Menu · Oct 13 · 92 yellows · model agreement + labeled NFL", "revision": 6, "published_at": "2026-10-13T17:14:04.746Z" }, { "week": "2026-10-05", "title": "The Bozo Menu · Oct 5 expanded scan · 29 new holds · no cleared shortlist", "revision": 3, "published_at": "2026-10-05T15:04:51.808Z" } ], "snapshot": { "checked_at": "2026-10-31T08:26:40.327Z", "source": "https://toto.jkapcar4.workers.dev/bozo/menu.json?week=2026-10-05", "notice": "Static copy checked 2026-10-31T08:26:40.327Z. Refresh is attempted hourly; delays or failures can leave this copy behind the publisher. Compare the week, revision and source publication time. These are saved research observations, not live odds or available bets. Holds and scratches are not active recommendations." } }