{"as_of":"2026-09-28","built":"2026-09-28T14:42:51.798466+00:00","source":"ESPN public play-by-play + nflverse/nfldata schedules; nfl4th browser port","canonical_url":"https://datadawgs216.com/data/fourth-down.json","note":"Delayed game-decision snapshot. Check per-game capture time and refresh_error. No overtime recommendations. Pregame lines, not live betting prices.","data":{"season":2026,"week":3,"refreshed_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:51.798466+00:00","games":[{"id":"2026_03_ATL_GB","espn":"401872948","home":"GB","away":"ATL","date":"2026-09-24","status":"Final","homeScore":14,"awayScore":35,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:17.478876+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"401872948255","offense":"GB","clock":"12:45","description":"D.Whelan punts 41 yards to ATL 13, Center-M.Orzech. O.Zaccheaus to ATL 17 for 4 yards (B.Melton; T.Hopper).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":765,"yardline":54,"toGo":9,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":4.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6498478076098759},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.6525883950255724}],"best":"punt","edge":0.2740587415696494,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.30166757519046067,"successWP":0.7590376267150076,"failWP":0.6026796871063581,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.6839291992633626,"missWP":0.5789695873947396,"goWP":0.6498478076098759,"fgWP":0.5789695873947396,"puntWP":0.6525883950255724,"breakEven":0.3191952263129811,"twoProb":0.5216161195684954,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872948400","offense":"ATL","clock":"10:15","description":"J.Bailey punts 61 yards to GB 13, Center-L.McCullough, fair catch by S.Moore.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":615,"yardline":74,"toGo":11,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":4.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.26318251818091687},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.2997015092934145}],"best":"punt","edge":3.6518991112497625,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.2331203075686032,"successWP":0.3745530588644758,"failWP":0.22932748856614418,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.3882950921577892,"missWP":0.21980313249563022,"goWP":0.26318251818091687,"fgWP":0.21980313249563022,"puntWP":0.2997015092934145,"breakEven":0.48458422702492066,"twoProb":0.46740515753935347,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729481117","offense":"GB","clock":"15:00","description":"D.Whelan punts 64 yards to ATL -1, Center-M.Orzech. Z.Branch pushed ob at ATL 17 for 18 yards (T.Hopper).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":900,"yardline":63,"toGo":4,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":4.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6231646488243525},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.6338456964825662}],"best":"punt","edge":1.068104765821365,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.4748462387800442,"successWP":0.6996614686237456,"failWP":0.5539959027489295,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7241609017163395,"missWP":0.5428838727157037,"goWP":0.6231646488243525,"fgWP":0.5428838727157037,"puntWP":0.6338456964825662,"breakEven":0.5481720628625367,"twoProb":0.5216161195684954,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729481317","offense":"ATL","clock":"10:41","description":"J.Bailey punts 30 yards to GB 11, Center-L.McCullough, fair catch by S.Moore.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":641,"yardline":41,"toGo":6,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":4.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.3721810398613145},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.3835052950998439},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.3610732904389189}],"best":"fg","edge":1.1324255238529368,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.38826501147013825,"successWP":0.4583872877223474,"failWP":0.3174663832826554,"fgMake":0.46208014939663056,"makeWP":0.4660663068096347,"missWP":0.31258431201582954,"goWP":0.3721810398613145,"fgWP":0.3835052950998439,"puntWP":0.3610732904389189,"breakEven":0.46862395667812545,"twoProb":0.46740515753935347,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729481426","offense":"GB","clock":"9:42","description":"Official Timeout at 09:42.","actual":null,"input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":582,"yardline":88,"toGo":9,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":4.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5606122688874081},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5981291419514956}],"best":"punt","edge":3.7516873064087464,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.3049044497461187,"successWP":0.6550210947509602,"failWP":0.5191997305815743,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7302306118553787,"missWP":0.5089170264012528,"goWP":0.5606122688874081,"fgWP":0.5089170264012528,"puntWP":0.5981291419514956,"breakEven":0.5811266279985721,"twoProb":0.5216161195684954,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729481463","offense":"GB","clock":"9:42","description":"D.Whelan punts 52 yards to ATL 36, Center-M.Orzech, fair catch by Z.Branch.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":582,"yardline":88,"toGo":9,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":4.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5606122688874081},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5981291419514956}],"best":"punt","edge":3.7516873064087464,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.3049044497461187,"successWP":0.6550210947509602,"failWP":0.5191997305815743,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7302306118553787,"missWP":0.5089170264012528,"goWP":0.5606122688874081,"fgWP":0.5089170264012528,"puntWP":0.5981291419514956,"breakEven":0.5811266279985721,"twoProb":0.5216161195684954,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729481661","offense":"ATL","clock":"4:48","description":"N.Folk 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-L.McCullough, Holder-J.Bailey.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":288,"yardline":26,"toGo":2,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":4.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4376755436351361},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.44720081298292697},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":0.9525269347790855,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.5315770404273021,"successWP":0.5127552458010577,"failWP":0.35247338806630785,"fgMake":0.7905746685782034,"makeWP":0.4777016200749159,"missWP":0.33206113386955677,"goWP":0.4376755436351361,"fgWP":0.44720081298292697,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.5910052844120597,"twoProb":0.46740515753935347,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729481813","offense":"GB","clock":"3:47","description":"T.Smack 47 yard field goal is BLOCKED (Z.Harrison), Center-M.Orzech, Holder-D.Whelan.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":227,"yardline":28,"toGo":5,"diff":-3,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":4.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5617564041607146},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5785368903887476},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":1.6780486228032965,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.4375405434437085,"successWP":0.6590945202114646,"failWP":0.4860365070229031,"fgMake":0.7693585509696214,"makeWP":0.6105500153559144,"missWP":0.4717496171545042,"goWP":0.5617564041607146,"fgWP":0.5785368903887476,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.534505057937175,"twoProb":0.5216161195684954,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729482215","offense":"GB","clock":"0:38","description":"D.Whelan punts 48 yards to ATL 11, Center-M.Orzech, out of bounds.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":38,"yardline":59,"toGo":2,"diff":-10,"home":1,"offTO":0,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":4.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.248058406743517},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.25298057786487155}],"best":"punt","edge":0.49221711213545405,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.565562295868855,"successWP":0.2864945475416847,"failWP":0.198021239556048,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.3024039916357165,"missWP":0.18669205168515315,"goWP":0.248058406743517,"fgWP":0.18669205168515315,"puntWP":0.25298057786487155,"breakEven":0.6211968282879848,"twoProb":0.5216161195684954,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729482622","offense":"GB","clock":"10:02","description":"J.Love pass incomplete short right to C.Watson.","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":602,"yardline":7,"toGo":1,"diff":-10,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":4.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.3486018623535783},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.2899423407306666},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":5.865952162291172,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.6427474817386274,"successWP":0.40781863882697256,"failWP":0.24206256029299256,"fgMake":0.9834935510462559,"makeWP":0.29099685056010705,"missWP":0.22711213299332467,"goWP":0.3486018623535783,"fgWP":0.2899423407306666,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.2888568604008009,"twoProb":0.5216161195684954,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729483166","offense":"GB","clock":"1:02","description":"D.Whelan punts 45 yards to ATL 8, Center-M.Orzech, fair catch by O.Zaccheaus.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":62,"yardline":53,"toGo":16,"diff":-17,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":4.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.042550157831967965},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.04320062315700604}],"best":"punt","edge":0.06504653250380757,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.13068489269197656,"successWP":0.09901952997985357,"failWP":0.03406106822856493,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.06970991331650446,"missWP":0.03211647506602901,"goWP":0.042550157831967965,"fgWP":0.03211647506602901,"puntWP":0.04320062315700604,"breakEven":0.14069845070276468,"twoProb":0.5216161195684954,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729483430","offense":"ATL","clock":"10:57","description":"N.Folk 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-L.McCullough, Holder-J.Bailey.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":657,"yardline":13,"toGo":7,"diff":17,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":4.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.9823908428642814},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.9849268071993798},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":0.2535964335098395,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.2837732194493074,"successWP":0.9933746704539422,"failWP":0.9780389864388659,"fgMake":0.9564832692062105,"makeWP":0.9853266459321128,"missWP":0.9761384848400563,"goWP":0.9823908428642814,"fgWP":0.9849268071993798,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.449136846699666,"twoProb":0.46740515753935347,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729483627","offense":"GB","clock":"9:29","description":"(Shotgun) J.Love pass short middle to S.Moore to ATL 29 for 10 yards (X.Watts).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":569,"yardline":39,"toGo":7,"diff":-20,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":4.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.01107002379036816},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.010451893410326726},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.00809118584736958}],"best":"go","edge":0.06181303800414338,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.3738516209531009,"successWP":0.018399248470539805,"failWP":0.006693996288416562,"fgMake":0.5414525695639533,"makeWP":0.013875521418972164,"missWP":0.00640927522195432,"goWP":0.01107002379036816,"fgWP":0.010451893410326726,"puntWP":0.00809118584736958,"breakEven":0.32104367026362607,"twoProb":0.5216161195684954,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729484234","offense":"GB","clock":"1:56","description":"(Shotgun) J.Love pass short right to J.Sturdivant to ATL 30 for 10 yards (M.Hughes).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":116,"yardline":40,"toGo":6,"diff":-21,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":4.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.001644280783151723},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.0010276945517320453},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.001276484898105798}],"best":"go","edge":0.036779588504592495,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.41480126347126567,"successWP":0.002648321559021519,"failWP":0.0009325954078928664,"fgMake":0.5005868285130165,"makeWP":0.0012132365313620576,"missWP":0.0008417165350480472,"goWP":0.001644280783151723,"fgWP":0.0010276945517320453,"puntWP":0.001276484898105798,"breakEven":0.20043378716744017,"twoProb":0.5216161195684954,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Late-game estimates are sensitive to clock management. Successful in-bounds conversions that permit kneeling are handled explicitly.","Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":0},{"id":"2026_03_LAC_BUF","espn":"401872953","home":"BUF","away":"LAC","date":"2026-09-27","status":"Final","homeScore":24,"awayScore":16,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:17.488671+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"401872953500","offense":"BUF","clock":"7:37","description":"T.Doman punts 51 yards to LAC 15, Center-R.Ferguson. D.Davis to LAC 29 for 14 yards (T.Couch). ** Injury Update: BUF-D.Williams has returned to the game.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":457,"yardline":66,"toGo":22,"diff":-7,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":7,"total":50.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4422060990397531},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.48164256044409576}],"best":"punt","edge":3.943646140434265,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.07469695951476811,"successWP":0.6036560404245611,"failWP":0.4291727259634487,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.5661735125382965,"missWP":0.40007927503061264,"goWP":0.4422060990397531,"fgWP":0.40007927503061264,"puntWP":0.48164256044409576,"breakEven":0.30071548470235626,"twoProb":0.579484936788962,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872953626","offense":"LAC","clock":"6:09","description":"J.Scott punts 44 yards to BUF 26, Center-J.Harris. G.Dortch pushed ob at BUF 34 for 8 yards (K.Williamson).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":369,"yardline":70,"toGo":9,"diff":7,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":7,"total":50.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4232520327026254},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.44511929366897357}],"best":"punt","edge":2.1867260966348168,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.31323272533202445,"successWP":0.543236026430244,"failWP":0.36852765264288484,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.5309227772279779,"missWP":0.3523074268778112,"goWP":0.4232520327026254,"fgWP":0.3523074268778112,"puntWP":0.44511929366897357,"breakEven":0.43839708060765215,"twoProb":0.49615145924366105,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872953738","offense":"BUF","clock":"4:29","description":"J.Allen left guard to BUF 44 for 1 yard (D.James).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":269,"yardline":57,"toGo":1,"diff":-7,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":7,"total":50.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5459919168081491},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.4990885315282176}],"best":"go","edge":4.690338527993148,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.7336655839698232,"successWP":0.5842004219738889,"failWP":0.44073978427165933,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.5609118777811077,"missWP":0.4296932346582508,"goWP":0.5459919168081491,"fgWP":0.4296932346582508,"puntWP":0.4990885315282176,"breakEven":0.4067230439729981,"twoProb":0.579484936788962,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872953944","offense":"LAC","clock":"0:34","description":"C.Dicker 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Harris, Holder-J.Scott.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":34,"yardline":13,"toGo":3,"diff":7,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":7,"total":50.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5674301514058814},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5751048224117103},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":0.767467100582897,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.47109946202111347,"successWP":0.6319318507034556,"failWP":0.5099775423488875,"fgMake":0.9564832692062105,"makeWP":0.5784299133011491,"missWP":0.5020204305852898,"goWP":0.5674301514058814,"fgWP":0.5751048224117103,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.5340301703279953,"twoProb":0.49615145924366105,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729531324","offense":"LAC","clock":"10:26","description":"C.Dicker 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-J.Harris, Holder-J.Scott.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":626,"yardline":27,"toGo":3,"diff":10,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":7,"total":50.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6545019892747413},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.6629145478524348},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":0.8412558577693408,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.5109510563466407,"successWP":0.708260657146464,"failWP":0.5983357333338746,"fgMake":0.7793753686695715,"makeWP":0.685618224858648,"missWP":0.5827118681689906,"goWP":0.6545019892747413,"fgWP":0.6629145478524348,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.5874810941753331,"twoProb":0.49615145924366105,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729531606","offense":"BUF","clock":"6:02","description":"T.Bass 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Ferguson, Holder-T.Doman.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":362,"yardline":10,"toGo":9,"diff":-10,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":7,"total":50.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4144673977538662},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.4136639772889245},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":0.08034204649416954,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.2730300125853091,"successWP":0.524439299814397,"failWP":0.3731649639210795,"fgMake":0.9729555933943546,"makeWP":0.41515665619081066,"missWP":0.35996302877453823,"goWP":0.4144673977538662,"fgWP":0.4136639772889245,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.26771899627710777,"twoProb":0.579484936788962,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729531768","offense":"LAC","clock":"4:15","description":"J.Scott punts 56 yards to end zone, Center-J.Harris, Touchback.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":255,"yardline":56,"toGo":15,"diff":7,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":7,"total":50.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5104599389090473},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5541685279834957}],"best":"punt","edge":4.370858907444841,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.15564852705637153,"successWP":0.6693431004581384,"failWP":0.48117127078727495,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.6183450127778134,"missWP":0.4598486875070306,"goWP":0.5104599389090473,"fgWP":0.4598486875070306,"puntWP":0.5541685279834957,"breakEven":0.3879287209137641,"twoProb":0.49615145924366105,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729532719","offense":"LAC","clock":"6:12","description":"C.Dicker 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Harris, Holder-J.Scott.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":372,"yardline":3,"toGo":3,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":7,"total":50.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4610078232427447},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.46275984522705094},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":0.175202198430624,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.37496096420752284,"successWP":0.6263939785313599,"failWP":0.36179265634525887,"fgMake":0.9917058214198224,"makeWP":0.4637798869500276,"missWP":0.3407970366151605,"goWP":0.4610078232427447,"fgWP":0.46275984522705094,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.3815823293988652,"twoProb":0.49615145924366105,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729533055","offense":"LAC","clock":"1:44","description":"J.Scott punts 45 yards to BUF 25, Center-J.Harris, out of bounds.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":104,"yardline":70,"toGo":10,"diff":3,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":7,"total":50.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.43005719075009574},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.47186040342352553}],"best":"punt","edge":4.180321267342979,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.2791210045395618,"successWP":0.6107013975554221,"failWP":0.3601125914688395,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.6139189433290585,"missWP":0.3396539915684414,"goWP":0.43005719075009574,"fgWP":0.3396539915684414,"puntWP":0.47186040342352553,"breakEven":0.44594095682021534,"twoProb":0.49615145924366105,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729533478","offense":"BUF","clock":"11:15","description":"(Shotgun) J.Allen pass short left to T.Johnson for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty [J.Eboigbe].PENALTY on BUF-D.Knox, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at LAC 14.","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":675,"yardline":43,"toGo":6,"diff":-3,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":7,"total":50.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.46402095213333244},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.41686038379075274},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.40518265749901516}],"best":"go","edge":4.71605683425797,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.44604564411251635,"successWP":0.612658392813241,"failWP":0.34433765645622066,"fgMake":0.3850667911638589,"makeWP":0.5532024741682857,"missWP":0.33148393885681326,"goWP":0.46402095213333244,"fgWP":0.41686038379075274,"puntWP":0.40518265749901516,"breakEven":0.270283722082647,"twoProb":0.579484936788962,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729533945","offense":"LAC","clock":"5:14","description":"(Shotgun) J.Herbert pass incomplete short right to K.Vidal [E.Oliver].","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":314,"yardline":55,"toGo":10,"diff":-4,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":7,"total":50.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.17327470335189196},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.16446997904024313}],"best":"go","edge":0.8804724311648832,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.28181007243050865,"successWP":0.3420916017818831,"failWP":0.1070327518181923,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.2886705604345245,"missWP":0.09674034738522014,"goWP":0.17327470335189196,"fgWP":0.09674034738522014,"puntWP":0.16446997904024313,"breakEven":0.24435254078254479,"twoProb":0.49615145924366105,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729534446","offense":"LAC","clock":"1:56","description":"C.Dicker 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Harris, Holder-J.Scott.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":116,"yardline":15,"toGo":7,"diff":-11,"home":0,"offTO":1,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":7,"total":50.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.015970925667151505},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.013470234528161764},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":0.25006911389897407,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.31926842744012074,"successWP":0.043741419634000404,"failWP":0.0029463469706032335,"fgMake":0.9407482466980213,"makeWP":0.014143323935844831,"missWP":0.002783501311649339,"goWP":0.015970925667151505,"fgWP":0.013470234528161764,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.2579695750119584,"twoProb":0.49615145924366105,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Late-game estimates are sensitive to clock management. Successful in-bounds conversions that permit kneeling are handled explicitly.","Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":0},{"id":"2026_03_CAR_CLE","espn":"401872949","home":"CLE","away":"CAR","date":"2026-09-27","status":"Final","homeScore":21,"awayScore":18,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:17.468685+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"401872949213","offense":"CAR","clock":"12:10","description":"S.Martin punts 52 yards to CLV 15, Center-J.Jansen. K.Concepcion to CLV 18 for 3 yards (M.Njongmeta; J.Kuwatch).PENALTY on CLV-T.Pride, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 8 yards, enforced at CLV 16.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":730,"yardline":67,"toGo":17,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.477558575639731},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5283220136393807}],"best":"punt","edge":5.076343799964972,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.10582688132233556,"successWP":0.6430693693239146,"failWP":0.4579700969045567,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.5987785328526852,"missWP":0.43683139717821445,"goWP":0.477558575639731,"fgWP":0.43683139717821445,"puntWP":0.5283220136393807,"breakEven":0.3800766789371049,"twoProb":0.5035385377154193,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872949442","offense":"CLE","clock":"8:41","description":"C.Bojorquez punts 39 yards to CAR 19, Center-R.Sunahara, fair catch by D.Moore.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":521,"yardline":58,"toGo":3,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4448553578498788},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.44820789784055126}],"best":"punt","edge":0.3352539990672476,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.4796090721160294,"successWP":0.524237097366735,"failWP":0.37169458506806646,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.5077591173297088,"missWP":0.35563364177125634,"goWP":0.4448553578498788,"fgWP":0.35563364177125634,"puntWP":0.44820789784055126,"breakEven":0.5015868141903722,"twoProb":0.4552685703576846,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872949563","offense":"CAR","clock":"6:00","description":"S.Martin punts 47 yards to CLV 9, Center-J.Jansen, downed by CAR-A.Evans.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":360,"yardline":56,"toGo":2,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5593134394788802},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5359099459030808}],"best":"go","edge":2.3403493575799406,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.5486788830431798,"successWP":0.6308047777907605,"failWP":0.47240018375373855,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.6159900382258106,"missWP":0.4553376474089275,"goWP":0.5593134394788802,"fgWP":0.4553376474089275,"puntWP":0.5359099459030808,"breakEven":0.40093383992700954,"twoProb":0.5035385377154193,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872949929","offense":"CLE","clock":"15:00","description":"(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short right to K.Concepcion to CAR 34 for 4 yards (A.Evans).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":900,"yardline":38,"toGo":3,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4668502384565514},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.45849926048484935},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.4463381079484178}],"best":"go","edge":0.8350977971702034,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.4803291905897914,"successWP":0.5460414175170094,"failWP":0.393654218493199,"fgMake":0.5801170986885189,"makeWP":0.5125626984491005,"missWP":0.3838043284478763,"goWP":0.4668502384565514,"fgWP":0.45849926048484935,"puntWP":0.4463381079484178,"breakEven":0.4255281441423328,"twoProb":0.4552685703576846,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729491141","offense":"CLE","clock":"12:03","description":"C.Bojorquez punts 27 yards to CAR 16, Center-R.Sunahara, out of bounds.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":723,"yardline":43,"toGo":14,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.41643937536256137},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.425940207947547},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.44195790565275545}],"best":"punt","edge":1.6017697705208445,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.1670938684987662,"successWP":0.5546366606766466,"failWP":0.38871485978295195,"fgMake":0.3850667911638589,"makeWP":0.5109000275869471,"missWP":0.3727389746163325,"goWP":0.41643937536256137,"fgWP":0.425940207947547,"puntWP":0.44195790565275545,"breakEven":0.3208924058383146,"twoProb":0.4552685703576846,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729491353","offense":"CAR","clock":"8:38","description":" (Shotgun) B.Young sacked at CAR 47 for -10 yards (M.Graham).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":518,"yardline":43,"toGo":3,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5972224457758615},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5675260449324214},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.565853620423887}],"best":"go","edge":2.969640084344005,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.4948602578956785,"successWP":0.6810685674891277,"failWP":0.515082574456826,"fgMake":0.3850667911638589,"makeWP":0.6614333883754209,"missWP":0.5087219359873899,"goWP":0.5972224457758615,"fgWP":0.5675260449324214,"puntWP":0.565853620423887,"breakEven":0.3159511806842017,"twoProb":0.5035385377154193,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729491527","offense":"CLE","clock":"5:43","description":"A.Szmyt 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":343,"yardline":29,"toGo":4,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.49076265751614223},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5021629762649906},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":1.1400318748848393,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.45240606637937275,"successWP":0.5837084413346675,"failWP":0.4139735737403927,"fgMake":0.7600339969461006,"makeWP":0.5354712455388811,"missWP":0.39666712808058835,"goWP":0.49076265751614223,"fgWP":0.5021629762649906,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.5195715162980019,"twoProb":0.4552685703576846,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729491648","offense":"CAR","clock":"3:40","description":"B.Young pass incomplete short left to T.Tremble.","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":220,"yardline":60,"toGo":1,"diff":-3,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.45357743806407524},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.41830887284876883}],"best":"go","edge":3.5268565215306413,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.6738456470172135,"successWP":0.5112033555419419,"failWP":0.3345203925495458,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.5357546155626434,"missWP":0.3242167069521643,"goWP":0.45357743806407524,"fgWP":0.3242167069521643,"puntWP":0.41830887284876883,"breakEven":0.47423067216067155,"twoProb":0.5035385377154193,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729491839","offense":"CLE","clock":"1:37","description":"(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short right to H.Fannin for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Penalty on CAR-T.Moehrig, Defensive Holding, declined. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":97,"yardline":2,"toGo":2,"diff":3,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":0,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6831860507684502},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.654162074421507},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":2.9023976346943203,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.43985395205784694,"successWP":0.7730484919526877,"failWP":0.612621686275184,"fgMake":0.9930404717679927,"makeWP":0.6546890473850445,"missWP":0.578969408643741,"goWP":0.6831860507684502,"fgWP":0.654162074421507,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.25893670307086414,"twoProb":0.4552685703576846,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729492202","offense":"CAR","clock":"0:27","description":" R.Fitzgerald 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Jansen, Holder-S.Martin.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":27,"yardline":17,"toGo":17,"diff":-10,"home":0,"offTO":0,"defTO":1,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.21783852368215448},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.2775204170255325},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":5.968189334337801,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.0825257921409018,"successWP":0.40097323908233956,"failWP":0.2013657582055473,"fgMake":0.9201037013239864,"makeWP":0.2845908757465906,"missWP":0.19609542804469593,"goWP":0.21783852368215448,"fgWP":0.2775204170255325,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.38152206763729285,"twoProb":0.5035385377154193,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729492453","offense":"CAR","clock":"13:22","description":"R.Fitzgerald 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Jansen, Holder-S.Martin.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":802,"yardline":22,"toGo":2,"diff":-7,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4158078576929146},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.38724867993446377},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":2.855917775845085,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.5355789889398516,"successWP":0.5045773994106041,"failWP":0.31343716328077775,"fgMake":0.8480211025656857,"makeWP":0.4020647064371603,"missWP":0.304577313431825,"goWP":0.4158078576929146,"fgWP":0.38724867993446377,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.3861642014690812,"twoProb":0.5035385377154193,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729492573","offense":"CLE","clock":"11:09","description":" C.Bojorquez punts 62 yards to CAR 12, Center-R.Sunahara. D.Moore to CAR 20 for 8 yards (M.Corley).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":669,"yardline":74,"toGo":13,"diff":4,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.45462692089266304},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5234953983084132}],"best":"punt","edge":6.886847741575014,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.1866043686307851,"successWP":0.645309057399094,"failWP":0.41088176377637137,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.6612420396736136,"missWP":0.3970694028433791,"goWP":0.45462692089266304,"fgWP":0.3970694028433791,"puntWP":0.5234953983084132,"breakEven":0.4803776590676229,"twoProb":0.4552685703576846,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729492812","offense":"CAR","clock":"7:42","description":"S.Martin punts 40 yards to CLV 5, Center-J.Jansen, downed by CAR-D.Moore.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":462,"yardline":45,"toGo":14,"diff":-4,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.3974566999190312},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.3877778904043556},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.4052105955213649}],"best":"punt","edge":0.7753895602333694,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.17917947463654124,"successWP":0.6015933554464848,"failWP":0.35289507218040544,"fgMake":0.30805343293108706,"makeWP":0.501960574694026,"missWP":0.33694395386830467,"goWP":0.3974566999190312,"fgWP":0.3877778904043556,"puntWP":0.4052105955213649,"breakEven":0.21035739633549336,"twoProb":0.5035385377154193,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729492920","offense":"CLE","clock":"6:12","description":"C.Bojorquez punts 62 yards to CAR 28, Center-R.Sunahara. D.Moore to CAR 34 for 6 yards (D.Thomas).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":372,"yardline":90,"toGo":5,"diff":4,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.48787750674318725},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.4925399497999787}],"best":"punt","edge":0.46624430567914765,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.432797414017138,"successWP":0.6183821173531183,"failWP":0.38829746358908523,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.6763105855980286,"missWP":0.3721974918209643,"goWP":0.48787750674318725,"fgWP":0.3721974918209643,"puntWP":0.4925399497999787,"breakEven":0.4530614471915237,"twoProb":0.4552685703576846,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729493121","offense":"CAR","clock":"3:17","description":"R.Fitzgerald 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Jansen, Holder-S.Martin.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":197,"yardline":35,"toGo":7,"diff":-4,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.43509127249242013},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.4365969114082812},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.3841229970599533}],"best":"fg","edge":0.1505638915861085,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.3663832865342306,"successWP":0.5930740934010565,"failWP":0.34373909709942974,"fgMake":0.673466841943106,"makeWP":0.49015091503293384,"missWP":0.32614305762777074,"goWP":0.43509127249242013,"fgWP":0.4365969114082812,"puntWP":0.3841229970599533,"breakEven":0.37242190501215905,"twoProb":0.5035385377154193,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729493259","offense":"CLE","clock":"2:18","description":"C.Bojorquez punts 53 yards to CAR 13, Center-R.Sunahara, out of bounds.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":138,"yardline":66,"toGo":9,"diff":1,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4072217321413993},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.45670844994459625}],"best":"punt","edge":4.948671780319697,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.28264884728690093,"successWP":0.5764733947067548,"failWP":0.340533629467335,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.5856849077118098,"missWP":0.3158870180390786,"goWP":0.4072217321413993,"fgWP":0.3158870180390786,"puntWP":0.45670844994459625,"breakEven":0.49239186264075857,"twoProb":0.4552685703576846,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729493562","offense":"CAR","clock":"11:41","description":"R.Fitzgerald 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Jansen, Holder-S.Martin.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":701,"yardline":19,"toGo":6,"diff":-1,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5499330395424719},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.6285333996708259},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":7.860036012835403,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.35333978558467,"successWP":0.7130122203516428,"failWP":0.46082540388479565,"fgMake":0.8941584544917687,"makeWP":0.6491947055713623,"missWP":0.4539849153011555,"goWP":0.5499330395424719,"fgWP":0.6285333996708259,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.6650149208258767,"twoProb":0.5035385377154193,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729493751","offense":"CLE","clock":"7:30","description":"A.Szmyt 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":450,"yardline":27,"toGo":9,"diff":-2,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.318010344384126},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.40520170493137947},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":8.719136054725347,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.2670888990055696,"successWP":0.5452835493537632,"failWP":0.23518699786031774,"fgMake":0.7793753686695715,"makeWP":0.4574216625627855,"missWP":0.2207302409544864,"goWP":0.318010344384126,"fgWP":0.40520170493137947,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.5482637786594519,"twoProb":0.4552685703576846,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729494400","offense":"CAR","clock":"1:27","description":"(Shotgun) B.Young pass short left to D.Waller to CAR 24 for 8 yards (M.Harden; C.Schwesinger).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":87,"yardline":84,"toGo":16,"diff":-3,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.09169511830912723},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.09574155667661569}],"best":"punt","edge":0.4046438367488456,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.1275967804012335,"successWP":0.3643649052437904,"failWP":0.051814721098357365,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.3772570258292691,"missWP":0.04705747917096664,"goWP":0.09169511830912723,"fgWP":0.04705747917096664,"puntWP":0.09574155667661569,"breakEven":0.1405433041044656,"twoProb":0.5035385377154193,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Late-game estimates are sensitive to clock management. Successful in-bounds conversions that permit kneeling are handled explicitly.","Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729494516","offense":"CLE","clock":"1:05","description":"Q.Judkins up the middle to CAR 17 for -2 yards (P.Jones).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":65,"yardline":15,"toGo":1,"diff":3,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":0,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-2.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.9399975588640466},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.8962063039591253},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":4.379125490492131,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.6299672299087872,"successWP":0.9991197555088407,"failWP":0.8393441858201875,"fgMake":0.9407482466980213,"makeWP":0.9017800212044997,"missWP":0.8077116277011414,"goWP":0.9399975588640466,"fgWP":0.8962063039591253,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.3558874379214679,"twoProb":0.4552685703576846,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Late-game estimates are sensitive to clock management. Successful in-bounds conversions that permit kneeling are handled explicitly.","Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":0},{"id":"2026_03_NYJ_DET","espn":"401872954","home":"DET","away":"NYJ","date":"2026-09-27","status":"Final","homeScore":31,"awayScore":24,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:17.403898+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"401872954132","offense":"NYJ","clock":"12:54","description":"A.McNamara punts 47 yards to DET 13, Center-T.Hennessy, fair catch by T.Kennedy.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":774,"yardline":60,"toGo":1,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7,"total":49.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.245029570950384},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.22923485438608457}],"best":"go","edge":1.5794716564299427,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.6889582954476878,"successWP":0.2772802104953236,"failWP":0.17359430898138184,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.27777721852846377,"missWP":0.16584425631124577,"goWP":0.245029570950384,"fgWP":0.16584425631124577,"puntWP":0.22923485438608457,"breakEven":0.5366259500306435,"twoProb":0.44172824119029147,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872954404","offense":"DET","clock":"8:21","description":"J.Fox punts 43 yards to NYJ 9, Center-H.Hatten, downed by DET-T.Martin.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":501,"yardline":52,"toGo":17,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7,"total":49.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.7152499190024643},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.6774741376027865},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.7366007774249913}],"best":"punt","edge":2.135085842252704,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.1366059663548582,"successWP":0.8243070944822362,"failWP":0.6979949227159501,"fgMake":0.05049516194199931,"makeWP":0.7720368539897404,"missWP":0.6724452430819321,"goWP":0.7152499190024643,"fgWP":0.6774741376027865,"puntWP":0.7366007774249913,"breakEven":0.30563843665417434,"twoProb":0.5282751033601751,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872954647","offense":"NYJ","clock":"2:26","description":"A.McNamara punts 26 yards to DET 29, Center-T.Hennessy, downed by NYJ-M.Moore.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":146,"yardline":55,"toGo":9,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7,"total":49.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.25214270223638785},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.2544712697610106}],"best":"punt","edge":0.23285675246227377,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.31358543818789975,"successWP":0.3474010033448069,"failWP":0.20862437125101535,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.3306871250851418,"missWP":0.19887321009416392,"goWP":0.25214270223638785,"fgWP":0.19887321009416392,"puntWP":0.2544712697610106,"breakEven":0.33036468617432524,"twoProb":0.44172824119029147,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872954814","offense":"DET","clock":"0:23","description":"J.Fox punts 42 yards to NYJ 20, Center-H.Hatten, fair catch by I.Williams.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":23,"yardline":62,"toGo":19,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7,"total":49.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6792281253466727},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.7185008016614449}],"best":"punt","edge":3.927267631477227,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.11555670428208117,"successWP":0.7947870712722722,"failWP":0.6641298019084987,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7851810949518417,"missWP":0.6426939262374649,"goWP":0.6792281253466727,"fgWP":0.6426939262374649,"puntWP":0.7185008016614449,"breakEven":0.416134517564174,"twoProb":0.5282751033601751,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872954961","offense":"NYJ","clock":"15:00","description":"A.McNamara punts 57 yards to DET 28, Center-T.Hennessy. T.Kennedy to DET 39 for 11 yards (Q.Stiggers). ** Injury Update: NYJ-Q.Stiggers has returned to the game.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":900,"yardline":85,"toGo":15,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7,"total":49.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.21490333477845336},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.2490539695373102}],"best":"punt","edge":3.415063475885685,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.15348708530582938,"successWP":0.31748917004806,"failWP":0.19630279062150505,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.3660263198742395,"missWP":0.18586970330854302,"goWP":0.21490333477845336,"fgWP":0.18586970330854302,"puntWP":0.2490539695373102,"breakEven":0.4352896684051448,"twoProb":0.44172824119029147,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729541188","offense":"DET","clock":"9:35","description":"J.Bates 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-H.Hatten, Holder-J.Fox.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":575,"yardline":12,"toGo":8,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7,"total":49.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.7480146101883284},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.7728058860065585},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":2.479127581823015,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.3216564352795347,"successWP":0.8389382273910332,"failWP":0.704900518578725,"fgMake":0.97285775286414,"makeWP":0.7749942441929538,"missWP":0.6943687095626951,"goWP":0.7480146101883284,"fgWP":0.7728058860065585,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.5066139076050665,"twoProb":0.5282751033601751,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729541689","offense":"DET","clock":"1:47","description":"(Shotgun) J.Goff pass short left to I.TeSlaa to NYJ 4 for 5 yards (A.Cisco).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":107,"yardline":9,"toGo":2,"diff":-4,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7,"total":49.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6619591412007975},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5915624821535106},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":7.039665904728687,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.5694639475350779,"successWP":0.7326654749643402,"failWP":0.5684368735296123,"fgMake":0.9821625057051027,"makeWP":0.5923635018209568,"missWP":0.547456988932803,"goWP":0.6619591412007975,"fgWP":0.5915624821535106,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.14081352713150594,"twoProb":0.5282751033601751,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729542486","offense":"NYJ","clock":"6:41","description":"Official Timeout at 06:41.","actual":null,"input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":401,"yardline":24,"toGo":23,"diff":-10,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7,"total":49.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.08977356344984813},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.10587699410947492},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":1.6103430659626785,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.06706426749289628,"successWP":0.21524746078397622,"failWP":0.08075384781351078,"fgMake":0.8751273025194855,"makeWP":0.11068458454477736,"missWP":0.07218465195500823,"goWP":0.08977356344984813,"fgWP":0.10587699410947492,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.1867980623100752,"twoProb":0.44172824119029147,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729542497","offense":"NYJ","clock":"6:22","description":" J.Sanders 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":382,"yardline":24,"toGo":23,"diff":-10,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7,"total":49.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.08545588762637359},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.10354617589365003},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":1.8090288267276446,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.06706426749289628,"successWP":0.20899085875150797,"failWP":0.07657555207957305,"fgMake":0.8751273025194855,"makeWP":0.10855524265620686,"missWP":0.06844185627454041,"goWP":0.08545588762637359,"fgWP":0.10354617589365003,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.20368207038856892,"twoProb":0.44172824119029147,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729543403","offense":"DET","clock":"8:37","description":"J.Gibbs left tackle to NYJ 45 for no gain (K.Enagbare).Penalty on DET, Illegal Formation, declined.","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":517,"yardline":45,"toGo":1,"diff":8,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7,"total":49.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.938161500692918},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.9099367078688757},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.9202009837146586}],"best":"go","edge":1.79605169782594,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.7356492106317204,"successWP":0.9577345731363277,"failWP":0.8836925304014324,"fgMake":0.40396129553599447,"makeWP":0.9591034511330543,"missWP":0.876614272333177,"goWP":0.938161500692918,"fgWP":0.9099367078688757,"puntWP":0.9202009837146586,"breakEven":0.49307733774908635,"twoProb":0.5282751033601751,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":0},{"id":"2026_03_HOU_IND","espn":"401872951","home":"IND","away":"HOU","date":"2026-09-27","status":"Final","homeScore":19,"awayScore":17,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:28.858856+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"401872951147","offense":"HOU","clock":"13:32","description":"K.Kroeger punts 56 yards to IND 16, Center-A.Brinkman. A.Gould to IND 36 for 20 yards (J.Hill).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":812,"yardline":72,"toGo":11,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.47012005773500415},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.49783051623196134}],"best":"punt","edge":2.771045849695719,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.24837183392133605,"successWP":0.6150821991728689,"failWP":0.422218030452117,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.5736477122060456,"missWP":0.40683214032768666,"goWP":0.47012005773500415,"fgWP":0.40683214032768666,"puntWP":0.49783051623196134,"breakEven":0.39205045852412174,"twoProb":0.4650327030959323,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872951384","offense":"HOU","clock":"9:47","description":"B.Fisher reported in as eligible.  D.Montgomery right tackle to IND 31 for no gain (C.Bynum; D.Buckner).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":587,"yardline":31,"toGo":1,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6102106913866413},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5723547050253384},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5343897201630705}],"best":"go","edge":3.785598636130294,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.677748512666936,"successWP":0.6612501894200502,"failWP":0.5028661321242744,"fgMake":0.7645590555542592,"makeWP":0.5977981779191408,"missWP":0.48973085363236585,"goWP":0.6102106913866413,"fgWP":0.5723547050253384,"puntWP":0.5343897201630705,"breakEven":0.43873464341992985,"twoProb":0.4650327030959323,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872951602","offense":"IND","clock":"5:25","description":"(Shotgun) D.Jones scrambles right end to HST 18 for 1 yard (D.Stingley).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":325,"yardline":19,"toGo":1,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5342709419012319},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.49845107032307934},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":3.5819871578152584,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.635720735452694,"successWP":0.5856497577580249,"failWP":0.4446073739137459,"fgMake":0.9327306978692108,"makeWP":0.5034691656821759,"missWP":0.42887205823277635,"goWP":0.5342709419012319,"fgWP":0.49845107032307934,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.38175543366298176,"twoProb":0.4383608614707989,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872951723","offense":"IND","clock":"4:28","description":"S.Shrader 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-L.Rhodes, Holder-R.Sanchez. ** Injury Update: IND-S.Shrader has returned to the game.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":268,"yardline":21,"toGo":13,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4596800087980903},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.4923191761886663},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":3.2639167390575983,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.15614219584316677,"successWP":0.6018770869683332,"failWP":0.4333687464993801,"fgMake":0.9135002625417937,"makeWP":0.4996882622489485,"missWP":0.4144962573154915,"goWP":0.4596800087980903,"fgWP":0.4923191761886663,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.3498368657909103,"twoProb":0.4383608614707989,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872951951","offense":"HOU","clock":"1:46","description":"K.Kroeger punts 50 yards to IND 31, Center-A.Brinkman, fair catch by A.Gould.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":106,"yardline":81,"toGo":23,"diff":-3,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.36228738676528},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.4162233219847888}],"best":"punt","edge":5.393593521950879,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.052218331106398175,"successWP":0.5637945309291528,"failWP":0.35118528686231704,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.5331729175463806,"missWP":0.34082250775397394,"goWP":0.36228738676528,"fgWP":0.34082250775397394,"puntWP":0.4162233219847888,"breakEven":0.3059040796082527,"twoProb":0.4650327030959323,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729511972","offense":"IND","clock":"1:03","description":"S.Shrader 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-L.Rhodes, Holder-R.Sanchez.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":63,"yardline":40,"toGo":16,"diff":3,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5244513620497202},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5729257904371617},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5689853802081678}],"best":"fg","edge":0.394041022899394,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.12703054772262778,"successWP":0.707563962607102,"failWP":0.49780564852213155,"fgMake":0.656437105245991,"makeWP":0.6246297661547523,"missWP":0.47413628590098217,"goWP":0.5244513620497202,"fgWP":0.5729257904371617,"puntWP":0.5689853802081678,"breakEven":0.35812712474700753,"twoProb":0.4383608614707989,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729512128","offense":"HOU","clock":"0:39","description":"K.Kroeger punts 52 yards to IND 9, Center-A.Brinkman. A.Gould to IND 14 for 5 yards (T.Smith).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":39,"yardline":61,"toGo":2,"diff":-6,"home":0,"offTO":1,"defTO":1,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.33465167527805934},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.317543722690632}],"best":"go","edge":1.710795258742731,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.5620550189866479,"successWP":0.4030932509745821,"failWP":0.2468143148896036,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.4046689469881342,"missWP":0.2365465543419097,"goWP":0.33465167527805934,"fgWP":0.2365465543419097,"puntWP":0.317543722690632,"breakEven":0.45258439539522133,"twoProb":0.4650327030959323,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729512525","offense":"HOU","clock":"10:01","description":"K.Kroeger punts 67 yards to IND 28, Center-A.Brinkman, out of bounds.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":601,"yardline":95,"toGo":6,"diff":-6,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.2732892894609653},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.2695061541117899}],"best":"go","edge":0.3783135349175404,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.4120207471347256,"successWP":0.3649483309957044,"failWP":0.20906010689923096,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.4281947239125604,"missWP":0.1855812593914395,"goWP":0.2732892894609653,"fgWP":0.1855812593914395,"puntWP":0.2695061541117899,"breakEven":0.3877524910101685,"twoProb":0.4650327030959323,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729512634","offense":"IND","clock":"7:57","description":"R.Sanchez punts 58 yards to HST 17, Center-L.Rhodes. J.Noel to HST 28 for 11 yards (A.Ajiake).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":477,"yardline":75,"toGo":13,"diff":6,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5627836207884613},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.6328124349265611}],"best":"punt","edge":7.00288141380998,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.19057270469259993,"successWP":0.7365219754102402,"failWP":0.521878417392102,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7502972099774714,"missWP":0.5082844144758178,"goWP":0.5627836207884613,"fgWP":0.5082844144758178,"puntWP":0.6328124349265611,"breakEven":0.5168290097254389,"twoProb":0.4383608614707989,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729512742","offense":"HOU","clock":"6:23","description":"K.Kroeger punts 36 yards to IND 30, Center-A.Brinkman, out of bounds.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":383,"yardline":66,"toGo":4,"diff":-6,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.30851094658398404},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.2993271304963015}],"best":"go","edge":0.9183816087682539,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.47523058715235267,"successWP":0.39961900170132286,"failWP":0.2260035948449219,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.4113763014942494,"missWP":0.21470243893000956,"goWP":0.30851094658398404,"fgWP":0.21470243893000956,"puntWP":0.2993271304963015,"breakEven":0.42233311535551804,"twoProb":0.4650327030959323,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729512910","offense":"IND","clock":"3:24","description":"L.Tenuta reported in as eligible.  J.Taylor right tackle to HST 44 for 4 yards (J.Hansen).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":204,"yardline":48,"toGo":1,"diff":6,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.7328061957307989},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.6483068755705572},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.7113947663810029}],"best":"go","edge":2.1411429349796007,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.6637857236002783,"successWP":0.7902467203292518,"failWP":0.6194017305996597,"fgMake":0.2524758097099965,"makeWP":0.7804533183147718,"missWP":0.6036745003705015,"goWP":0.7328061957307989,"fgWP":0.6483068755705572,"puntWP":0.7113947663810029,"breakEven":0.5384590787645965,"twoProb":0.4383608614707989,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729513145","offense":"IND","clock":"12:43","description":"S.Shrader 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-L.Rhodes, Holder-R.Sanchez.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":763,"yardline":19,"toGo":8,"diff":6,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.7774843908141971},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.800587515567875},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":2.310312475367793,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.27827738604066826,"successWP":0.8747192818368225,"failWP":0.7399931569490347,"fgMake":0.9327306978692108,"makeWP":0.8071561558482756,"missWP":0.7095092341122745,"goWP":0.7774843908141971,"fgWP":0.800587515567875,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.449759530078586,"twoProb":0.4383608614707989,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729513417","offense":"HOU","clock":"7:33","description":" K.Fairbairn 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Brinkman, Holder-K.Kroeger.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":453,"yardline":6,"toGo":4,"diff":-9,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.1825112947755483},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.16414403268157465},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":1.8367262093973657,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.4006374450948132,"successWP":0.3133416904142413,"failWP":0.09505912576622277,"fgMake":0.988497702333875,"makeWP":0.16503495675612828,"missWP":0.08757877361652294,"goWP":0.1825112947755483,"fgWP":0.16414403268157465,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.3164930145783817,"twoProb":0.4650327030959323,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729513947","offense":"IND","clock":"0:16","description":"S.Shrader 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-L.Rhodes, Holder-R.Sanchez.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":16,"yardline":36,"toGo":1,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":0,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":41.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6894332664504759},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.7756298646161743},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5378444149754539}],"best":"fg","edge":8.619659816569847,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.6670334371272801,"successWP":0.8037018387226411,"failWP":0.46051851338722133,"fgMake":0.7045917852455147,"makeWP":0.9201408250197147,"missWP":0.4309500944110757,"goWP":0.6894332664504759,"fgWP":0.7756298646161743,"puntWP":0.5378444149754539,"breakEven":0.918201229389482,"twoProb":0.4383608614707989,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Late-game estimates are sensitive to clock management. Successful in-bounds conversions that permit kneeling are handled explicitly.","Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":0},{"id":"2026_03_NE_JAX","espn":"401872957","home":"JAX","away":"NE","date":"2026-09-27","status":"Final","homeScore":35,"awayScore":6,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:29.012521+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"401872957180","offense":"JAX","clock":"13:14","description":"L.Cooke punts 51 yards to NE 28, Center-R.Matiscik, out of bounds.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":794,"yardline":79,"toGo":1,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3,"total":46.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5245130522425705},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5018714435678695}],"best":"go","edge":2.2641608674700997,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.6936665791726839,"successWP":0.5733380528457337,"failWP":0.41395289509408795,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.5678427268038897,"missWP":0.4075934453196346,"goWP":0.5245130522425705,"fgWP":0.4075934453196346,"puntWP":0.5018714435678695,"breakEven":0.5516106374896991,"twoProb":0.5212414612205586,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872957362","offense":"NE","clock":"10:20","description":"M.Wishnowsky punts 33 yards to JAX 12, Center-J.Ashby, downed by NE-C.Latu.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":620,"yardline":45,"toGo":9,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3,"total":46.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.45086695494522333},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.4277619112972383},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.44392693002530786}],"best":"go","edge":0.6940024919915466,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.3142867126880464,"successWP":0.564833410336866,"failWP":0.3986320875676961,"fgMake":0.30805343293108706,"makeWP":0.5148707073590013,"missWP":0.3889812236799998,"goWP":0.45086695494522333,"fgWP":0.4277619112972383,"puntWP":0.44392693002530786,"breakEven":0.2725299757121663,"twoProb":0.5028405468683103,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872957486","offense":"JAX","clock":"7:52","description":"L.Cooke punts 40 yards to NE 28, Center-R.Matiscik. M.Jones pushed ob at NE 29 for 1 yard (C.Ransaw; J.Cameron).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":472,"yardline":68,"toGo":2,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3,"total":46.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5316245025190349},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5237870767685988}],"best":"go","edge":0.7837425750436111,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.5892131202309852,"successWP":0.596452995377098,"failWP":0.4386376024061346,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.5815299116766628,"missWP":0.4226156072358647,"goWP":0.5316245025190349,"fgWP":0.4226156072358647,"puntWP":0.5237870767685988,"breakEven":0.5395511347751165,"twoProb":0.5212414612205586,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729571116","offense":"NE","clock":"11:23","description":"M.Wishnowsky punts 73 yards to end zone, Center-J.Ashby, Touchback.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":683,"yardline":73,"toGo":3,"diff":-7,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3,"total":46.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.24281837350771615},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.23517101872716017}],"best":"go","edge":0.7647354780555976,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.521564592861563,"successWP":0.2993547875836442,"failWP":0.18118541041718994,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.32343837536520514,"missWP":0.17442056444633314,"goWP":0.24281837350771615,"fgWP":0.17442056444633314,"puntWP":0.23517101872716017,"breakEven":0.4568493936794277,"twoProb":0.5028405468683103,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729571310","offense":"NE","clock":"9:12","description":"Official Timeout at 09:12.","actual":null,"input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":552,"yardline":18,"toGo":7,"diff":-7,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3,"total":46.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.302271141390789},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.310690956284205},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":0.8419814893416033,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.3711808959606103,"successWP":0.3995448891524312,"failWP":0.24485215297953505,"fgMake":0.9077737755113023,"makeWP":0.31771307431275303,"missWP":0.24157293014574782,"goWP":0.302271141390789,"fgWP":0.310690956284205,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.4256101801126822,"twoProb":0.5028405468683103,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729571321","offense":"NE","clock":"9:09","description":"A.Borregales 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Ashby, Holder-M.Wishnowsky.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":549,"yardline":17,"toGo":6,"diff":-7,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3,"total":46.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.30254209421992684},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.3117951680867678},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":0.9253073866840988,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.38250054023272173,"successWP":0.394815319464357,"failWP":0.24538486444953655,"fgMake":0.9201037013239864,"makeWP":0.31789520082344896,"missWP":0.24154582246967443,"goWP":0.30254209421992684,"fgWP":0.3117951680867678,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.4444228161564838,"twoProb":0.5028405468683103,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729572234","offense":"JAX","clock":"0:03","description":"C.Little 70 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-R.Matiscik, Holder-L.Cooke.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":3,"yardline":52,"toGo":3,"diff":11,"home":1,"offTO":0,"defTO":0,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3,"total":46.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.8414579132077075},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.8432364863528151},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.8399594335228742}],"best":"fg","edge":0.17785731451076536,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.5214304478450436,"successWP":0.841761619789432,"failWP":0.8411270065334128,"fgMake":0.03850667911638588,"makeWP":0.8959091863476404,"missWP":0.8411270065334124,"goWP":0.8414579132077075,"fgWP":0.8432364863528151,"puntWP":0.8399594335228742,"breakEven":3.3240399556647264,"twoProb":0.5212414612205586,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729572390","offense":"NE","clock":"13:23","description":"R.Stevenson up the middle to 50 for 3 yards (D.Gardeck).PENALTY on JAX-A.Johnson, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at 50.","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":803,"yardline":53,"toGo":1,"diff":-11,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3,"total":46.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.13710760711182637},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.1095433209770927}],"best":"go","edge":2.7564286134733678,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.6887639470938143,"successWP":0.16084714438562403,"failWP":0.08457212080744841,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.15967372798012502,"missWP":0.08016256449076348,"goWP":0.13710760711182637,"fgWP":0.08016256449076348,"puntWP":0.1095433209770927,"breakEven":0.3273837096104056,"twoProb":0.5028405468683103,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729572571","offense":"NE","clock":"9:54","description":"A.Borregales 38 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-J.Ashby, Holder-M.Wishnowsky.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":594,"yardline":20,"toGo":6,"diff":-11,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3,"total":46.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.14625514007604415},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.1513671269942286},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":0.5111986918184458,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.40686760100346564,"successWP":0.2001763646507576,"failWP":0.10926710954019922,"fgMake":0.8794356351665462,"makeWP":0.15774775768092092,"missWP":0.10482473440197393,"goWP":0.14625514007604415,"fgWP":0.1513671269942286,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.4630993555367918,"twoProb":0.5028405468683103,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729573470","offense":"NE","clock":"13:17","description":"A.Borregales 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Ashby, Holder-M.Wishnowsky.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":797,"yardline":22,"toGo":16,"diff":-25,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3,"total":46.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.0016062108145789749},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.0013024719995072868},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":0.030373881507168812,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.11486120763822094,"successWP":0.007162235449263366,"failWP":0.0008852259196510875,"fgMake":0.8480211025656857,"makeWP":0.0013860207654606826,"missWP":0.00083628150978865,"goWP":0.0016062108145789749,"fgWP":0.0013024719995072868,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.06647211190102685,"twoProb":0.5028405468683103,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729574020","offense":"NE","clock":"2:39","description":"(Shotgun) T.DeVito pass incomplete deep left to D.Douglas.","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":159,"yardline":25,"toGo":7,"diff":-29,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3,"total":46.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.0002061314788791593},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.00012083780030509817},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":0.008529367857406113,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.3916663055399927,"successWP":0.00033630798232702305,"failWP":0.0001223193365667121,"fgMake":0.80318760058123,"makeWP":0.00012336592459649687,"missWP":0.000110520573902817,"goWP":0.0002061314788791593,"fgWP":0.00012083780030509817,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":-0.006923433981041208,"twoProb":0.5028405468683103,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729574116","offense":"JAX","clock":"0:34","description":"L.Cooke punts 51 yards to NE 22, Center-R.Matiscik. E.Chism to NE 40 for 18 yards (J.Cameron).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":34,"yardline":73,"toGo":8,"diff":29,"home":1,"offTO":1,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3,"total":46.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.9998288364768507},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.9999162100350606}],"best":"punt","edge":0.008737355820986892,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.36673065987340076,"successWP":1,"failWP":0.9997297144953914,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.9999213802305829,"missWP":0.9996842236642969,"goWP":0.9998288364768507,"fgWP":0.9996842236642969,"puntWP":0.9999162100350606,"breakEven":0.6899946038144416,"twoProb":0.5212414612205586,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Late-game estimates are sensitive to clock management. Successful in-bounds conversions that permit kneeling are handled explicitly.","Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":0},{"id":"2026_03_KC_MIA","espn":"401872952","home":"MIA","away":"KC","date":"2026-09-27","status":"Final","homeScore":10,"awayScore":24,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:29.015099+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"4018729521238","offense":"MIA","clock":"9:25","description":"(Shotgun) M.Willis pass incomplete short middle to M.Washington (M.Delane).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":565,"yardline":49,"toGo":4,"diff":-7,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-10,"total":45.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.10625641270572789},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.0889341015375262},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.10529244487584194}],"best":"go","edge":0.09639678298859478,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.4518665169274017,"successWP":0.13319723398549077,"failWP":0.08404712345266141,"fgMake":0.15402671646554353,"makeWP":0.13673175652870595,"missWP":0.08023156211182997,"goWP":0.10625641270572789,"fgWP":0.0889341015375262,"puntWP":0.10529244487584194,"breakEven":0.4322537872827349,"twoProb":0.38611903646572165,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729521392","offense":"KC","clock":"6:15","description":"H.Nourzad reported in as eligible.  K.Walker up the middle to MIA 12 for no gain (J.Brooks; M.Herring).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":375,"yardline":12,"toGo":1,"diff":7,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-10,"total":45.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.9267277101665776},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.9232314752955303},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":0.34962348710473323,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.6951176136737685,"successWP":0.9422090731135216,"failWP":0.8914309250758761,"fgMake":0.9628010946783918,"makeWP":0.9247077223743448,"missWP":0.8850224933050628,"goWP":0.9267277101665776,"fgWP":0.9232314752955303,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.6262644749485179,"twoProb":0.5864787733442851,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729521900","offense":"MIA","clock":"0:54","description":"B.Pinion punts 36 yards to KC 9, Center-T.Addington, fair catch by N.Remigio.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":54,"yardline":45,"toGo":13,"diff":-7,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":0,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-10,"total":45.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.10739924436737677},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.1085114708768907},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.11414128227263111}],"best":"punt","edge":0.5629811395740412,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.1867758306589058,"successWP":0.1788519500564032,"failWP":0.09098846987120388,"fgMake":0.30805343293108706,"makeWP":0.16419794555710718,"missWP":0.08371994721092779,"goWP":0.10739924436737677,"fgWP":0.1085114708768907,"puntWP":0.11414128227263111,"breakEven":0.2635089385558773,"twoProb":0.38611903646572165,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729522260","offense":"MIA","clock":"10:10","description":"R.Patterson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Addington, Holder-B.Pinion.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":610,"yardline":18,"toGo":17,"diff":-7,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-10,"total":45.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.12385855666314646},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.14972473778602866},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":2.5866181122882193,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.12262906417536368,"successWP":0.27893104858691636,"failWP":0.10218426385553238,"fgMake":0.9077737755113023,"makeWP":0.15517473978341867,"missWP":0.09608089714153656,"goWP":0.12385855666314646,"fgWP":0.14972473778602866,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.2689750424752975,"twoProb":0.38611903646572165,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729522429","offense":"KC","clock":"8:13","description":"M.Araiza punts 62 yards to end zone, Center-J.Winchester, Touchback.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":493,"yardline":62,"toGo":8,"diff":4,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-10,"total":45.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.7950630822214912},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.8092697888545312}],"best":"punt","edge":1.4206706633039912,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.36419467805236017,"successWP":0.8700633365856717,"failWP":0.7521023007540825,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.8668915967111008,"missWP":0.7401917527506263,"goWP":0.7950630822214912,"fgWP":0.7401917527506263,"puntWP":0.8092697888545312,"breakEven":0.48463026538751025,"twoProb":0.5864787733442851,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729522714","offense":"MIA","clock":"3:18","description":"B.Pinion punts 34 yards to KC 8, Center-T.Addington, fair catch by N.Remigio.PENALTY on KC-N.Williams, Offensive Holding, 4 yards, enforced at KC 8.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":198,"yardline":42,"toGo":9,"diff":-4,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-10,"total":45.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.17292587707251744},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.16858615740774519},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.16870810520282356}],"best":"go","edge":0.42177718696938815,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.2766715747707142,"successWP":0.27086594339618675,"failWP":0.13546401128958718,"fgMake":0.4235734702802448,"makeWP":0.22549869931946645,"missWP":0.12676531531059582,"goWP":0.17292587707251744,"fgWP":0.16858615740774519,"puntWP":0.16870810520282356,"breakEven":0.24552156232943476,"twoProb":0.38611903646572165,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729523091","offense":"KC","clock":"11:35","description":"H.Butker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":695,"yardline":16,"toGo":16,"diff":4,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-10,"total":45.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.8233586029292295},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.8846372429635283},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":6.127864003429884,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.124589524228024,"successWP":0.9514865992512649,"failWP":0.805123264714919,"fgMake":0.9310862594209184,"makeWP":0.8911943938830067,"missWP":0.796044270491376,"goWP":0.8233586029292295,"fgWP":0.8846372429635283,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.5432643257308671,"twoProb":0.5864787733442851,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729523368","offense":"MIA","clock":"6:00","description":"(Shotgun) M.Willis pass incomplete short right to K.Coleman (N.Williams).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":360,"yardline":52,"toGo":5,"diff":-7,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-10,"total":45.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.08505621120299911},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.03813273862360186},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.063218210220624}],"best":"go","edge":2.1838000982375108,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.414698231269706,"successWP":0.1504260381398643,"failWP":0.03874035661753924,"fgMake":0.03850667911638588,"makeWP":0.11983280396296028,"missWP":0.034860746887955416,"goWP":0.08505621120299911,"fgWP":0.03813273862360186,"puntWP":0.063218210220624,"breakEven":0.21916733881586997,"twoProb":0.38611903646572165,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729523682","offense":"MIA","clock":"2:03","description":"(Shotgun) M.Willis pass short right intended for R.Miller INTERCEPTED by G.Karlaftis (C.Jones) at MIA 36. G.Karlaftis to MIA 36 for no gain (A.Brewer).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":123,"yardline":52,"toGo":1,"diff":-14,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-10,"total":45.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.002615793021114024},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.0007626078829293481},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.001081730484064525}],"best":"go","edge":0.15340625370494992,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.648855003842992,"successWP":0.0036695227781728735,"failWP":0.0006686833283984201,"fgMake":0.03850667911638588,"makeWP":0.00477566876171286,"missWP":0.0006018895043639876,"goWP":0.002615793021114024,"fgWP":0.0007626078829293481,"puntWP":0.001081730484064525,"breakEven":0.13764387018344149,"twoProb":0.38611903646572165,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729523800","offense":"KC","clock":"0:57","description":" H.Butker 50 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":57,"yardline":32,"toGo":6,"diff":14,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":0,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-10,"total":45.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.9994975826004229},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.9993912795647919},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.9993940102103139}],"best":"go","edge":0.010357239010894137,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.4318843039660002,"successWP":0.9999814975109446,"failWP":0.9991297081414551,"fgMake":0.7285255107147336,"makeWP":0.999569373814486,"missWP":0.9989133480856489,"goWP":0.9994975826004229,"fgWP":0.9993912795647919,"puntWP":0.9993940102103139,"breakEven":0.31029040549926634,"twoProb":0.5864787733442851,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Late-game estimates are sensitive to clock management. Successful in-bounds conversions that permit kneeling are handled explicitly.","Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":0},{"id":"2026_03_TEN_NYG","espn":"401872956","home":"NYG","away":"TEN","date":"2026-09-27","status":"Final","homeScore":12,"awayScore":7,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:28.943215+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"401872956229","offense":"NYG","clock":"12:22","description":"J.Stout punts 27 yards to TEN 11, Center-B.Mann, downed by NYG-T.Johnson.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":742,"yardline":38,"toGo":21,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5505988797105129},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5728621986200484},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5766898631959366}],"best":"punt","edge":0.38276645758882344,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.06578119264431619,"successWP":0.7136681211872762,"failWP":0.5391166775716926,"fgMake":0.5801170986885189,"makeWP":0.6103537915559415,"missWP":0.5210631993008386,"goWP":0.5505988797105129,"fgWP":0.5728621986200484,"puntWP":0.5766898631959366,"breakEven":0.2152556567048042,"twoProb":0.49068692705819883,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872956333","offense":"TEN","clock":"10:59","description":"T.Townsend punts 55 yards to NYG 29, Center-M.Cox, out of bounds.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":659,"yardline":84,"toGo":5,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.3675934289032678},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.3785124450114959}],"best":"punt","edge":1.0919016108228097,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.4114745062763805,"successWP":0.458203675936008,"failWP":0.30424221122621925,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.4824730110256965,"missWP":0.292129433412893,"goWP":0.3675934289032678,"fgWP":0.292129433412893,"puntWP":0.3785124450114959,"breakEven":0.48239495464188437,"twoProb":0.46261609948936233,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872956536","offense":"NYG","clock":"6:34","description":"D.Zvada 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":394,"yardline":21,"toGo":3,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6273852190941889},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.6147751049269379},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":1.2610114167250996,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.47762895757119483,"successWP":0.7016653212503443,"failWP":0.5594673506071325,"fgMake":0.8639134594022847,"makeWP":0.6260435670873019,"missWP":0.5432399179470483,"goWP":0.6273852190941889,"fgWP":0.6147751049269379,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.38894897071757645,"twoProb":0.49068692705819883,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872956652","offense":"TEN","clock":"4:19","description":"T.Townsend punts 53 yards to NYG 5, Center-M.Cox, out of bounds.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":259,"yardline":58,"toGo":3,"diff":-3,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.3443525474304431},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.33331705833451103}],"best":"go","edge":1.103548909593205,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.4748052445772476,"successWP":0.42441134501069167,"failWP":0.27197494545867096,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.40110963446882203,"missWP":0.2615942420194866,"goWP":0.3443525474304431,"fgWP":0.2615942420194866,"puntWP":0.33331705833451103,"breakEven":0.40241118955913385,"twoProb":0.46261609948936233,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872956748","offense":"NYG","clock":"2:53","description":"J.Stout punts 43 yards to TEN 46, Center-B.Mann. C.Dike to TEN 47 for 1 yard (E.Campbell).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":173,"yardline":89,"toGo":4,"diff":3,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5805926136973851},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5920347809999882}],"best":"punt","edge":1.1442167302603057,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.46799630970622774,"successWP":0.6714905830693345,"failWP":0.5006309235775829,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7205125770736277,"missWP":0.4856952839752403,"goWP":0.5805926136973851,"fgWP":0.4856952839752403,"puntWP":0.5920347809999882,"breakEven":0.5349645299206387,"twoProb":0.49068692705819883,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872956844","offense":"TEN","clock":"1:20","description":"T.Townsend punts 41 yards to NYG 11, Center-M.Cox. B.Berrios to NYG 18 for 7 yards (J.Chestnut).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":80,"yardline":52,"toGo":9,"diff":-3,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.32259328316008984},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.27168884084704154},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.3320753167385395}],"best":"punt","edge":0.9482033578449678,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.2672669515308791,"successWP":0.43176253352263805,"failWP":0.28277341587517774,"fgMake":0.03850667911638588,"makeWP":0.41114427494447875,"missWP":0.2661038143729197,"goWP":0.32259328316008984,"fgWP":0.27168884084704154,"puntWP":0.3320753167385395,"breakEven":0.33090940896784476,"twoProb":0.46261609948936233,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872956990","offense":"NYG","clock":"13:50","description":"J.Stout punts 74 yards to TEN 8, Center-B.Mann. C.Dike to TEN 27 for 19 yards (A.Reese).PENALTY on TEN-M.Robinson, Offensive Holding, 9 yards, enforced at TEN 19.Penalty on TEN-E.Hallett, Offensive Holding, declined.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":830,"yardline":82,"toGo":10,"diff":3,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5880234545013834},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.6303752188548701}],"best":"punt","edge":4.235176435348675,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.25670478229011656,"successWP":0.7073585042326713,"failWP":0.5468098461921111,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7300948916272718,"missWP":0.5367461296093801,"goWP":0.5880234545013834,"fgWP":0.5367461296093801,"puntWP":0.6303752188548701,"breakEven":0.5204987303079635,"twoProb":0.49068692705819883,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729561106","offense":"TEN","clock":"12:08","description":"T.Townsend punts 45 yards to NYG 42, Center-M.Cox. B.Berrios to NYG 47 for 5 yards (T.Jones).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":728,"yardline":87,"toGo":7,"diff":-3,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.2667886751613221},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.28139958661799963}],"best":"punt","edge":1.4610911456677533,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.34445794260405743,"successWP":0.34494457469162493,"failWP":0.2257212561439679,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.4087480499786906,"missWP":0.21634705846800273,"goWP":0.2667886751613221,"fgWP":0.21634705846800273,"puntWP":0.28139958661799963,"breakEven":0.46700872910005004,"twoProb":0.46261609948936233,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729561397","offense":"NYG","clock":"4:49","description":"D.Zvada 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":289,"yardline":9,"toGo":9,"diff":3,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.717008716014949},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.7303712141453188},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":1.3362498130369826,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.17598434260050858,"successWP":0.8332185534867759,"failWP":0.692189877116022,"fgMake":0.9770075921756597,"makeWP":0.7316832052706257,"missWP":0.6746212770319449,"goWP":0.717008716014949,"fgWP":0.7303712141453188,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.27073456272766067,"twoProb":0.49068692705819883,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729561555","offense":"TEN","clock":"3:05","description":"T.Townsend punts 45 yards to NYG 14, Center-M.Cox, downed by TEN-M.Robinson.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":185,"yardline":59,"toGo":4,"diff":-6,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.24670540042925496},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.2420073306723164}],"best":"go","edge":0.46980697569385665,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.4407961546511038,"successWP":0.3173269109145146,"failWP":0.1910375245437939,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.3087216132216191,"missWP":0.17762821414118046,"goWP":0.24670540042925496,"fgWP":0.17762821414118046,"puntWP":0.2420073306723164,"breakEven":0.4035953265217502,"twoProb":0.46261609948936233,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729561698","offense":"NYG","clock":"1:34","description":"J.Stout punts 54 yards to TEN 33, Center-B.Mann. C.Dike ran ob at TEN 47 for 14 yards (T.Tracy).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":94,"yardline":87,"toGo":11,"diff":6,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":1,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6596249587118992},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.7040609541363794}],"best":"punt","edge":4.443599542448018,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.2425372303897033,"successWP":0.7748559104509967,"failWP":0.6227283652273787,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.821565577059071,"missWP":0.6091757953348984,"goWP":0.6596249587118992,"fgWP":0.6091757953348984,"puntWP":0.7040609541363794,"breakEven":0.5346342030921938,"twoProb":0.49068692705819883,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729561888","offense":"TEN","clock":"0:46","description":"J.Slye 59 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-M.Cox, Holder-T.Townsend.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":46,"yardline":41,"toGo":14,"diff":-6,"home":0,"offTO":1,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.23550540430916755},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.24811503009945646},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.24437068653548344}],"best":"fg","edge":0.3744343563973018,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.15572540236922158,"successWP":0.36140184999552555,"failWP":0.2122839610531704,"fgMake":0.46208014939663056,"makeWP":0.3015542196557037,"missWP":0.20221007108727662,"goWP":0.23550540430916755,"fgWP":0.24811503009945646,"puntWP":0.24437068653548344,"breakEven":0.2402868582731704,"twoProb":0.46261609948936233,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729562519","offense":"NYG","clock":"6:56","description":"D.Zvada 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-B.Mann, Holder-J.Stout.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":416,"yardline":11,"toGo":11,"diff":9,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.868687757632114},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.895136996705839},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":2.6449239073724984,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.14623620758087072,"successWP":0.9378207877544742,"failWP":0.8568463651609926,"fgMake":0.9682536496500379,"makeWP":0.8967649037836571,"missWP":0.8454863454652174,"goWP":0.868687757632114,"fgWP":0.895136996705839,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.47287316560536763,"twoProb":0.49068692705819883,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729562832","offense":"TEN","clock":"1:11","description":"(Shotgun) C.Ward pass incomplete short left to G.Helm [T.Edmunds].","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":71,"yardline":7,"toGo":5,"diff":-12,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.12621740636460968},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.1304373457169302},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":0.4219939352320512,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.3565207386274874,"successWP":0.21346595445369135,"failWP":0.07787720540374618,"fgMake":0.9834935510462559,"makeWP":0.13138736530969364,"missWP":0.0738329152020002,"goWP":0.12621740636460968,"fgWP":0.1304373457169302,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.38764381765793177,"twoProb":0.46261609948936233,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729563007","offense":"NYG","clock":"12:55","description":"J.Stout punts 64 yards to TEN 21, Center-B.Mann. C.Dike MUFFS catch, and recovers at TEN 18. C.Dike to TEN 30 for 12 yards (B.Mann).PENALTY on TEN-E.Hallett, Offensive Holding, 9 yards, enforced at TEN 18.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":775,"yardline":85,"toGo":15,"diff":12,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.8754547940683495},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.9017373402626807}],"best":"punt","edge":2.6282546194331236,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.14619588643150325,"successWP":0.9561305052768992,"failWP":0.8616407857657533,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.9581997774739064,"missWP":0.8499254341785107,"goWP":0.8754547940683495,"fgWP":0.8499254341785107,"puntWP":0.9017373402626807,"breakEven":0.424348328097192,"twoProb":0.49068692705819883,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729563630","offense":"NYG","clock":"3:12","description":"J.Stout punts 38 yards to TEN 8, Center-B.Mann, fair catch by C.Dike.PENALTY on NYG-E.Campbell, Fair Catch Interference, 15 yards, enforced at TEN 8.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":192,"yardline":46,"toGo":9,"diff":5,"home":1,"offTO":1,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":2.5,"total":37.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.7770153471987495},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.7520425138048394},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.8133003418361875}],"best":"punt","edge":3.628499463743795,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.27738772868627676,"successWP":0.9296170223855772,"failWP":0.7184364470690322,"fgMake":0.26954675381470117,"makeWP":0.9201468185850246,"missWP":0.6900098376651793,"goWP":0.7770153471987495,"fgWP":0.7520425138048394,"puntWP":0.8133003418361875,"breakEven":0.4492074833348707,"twoProb":0.49068692705819883,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":0},{"id":"2026_03_CIN_PIT","espn":"401872950","home":"PIT","away":"CIN","date":"2026-09-27","status":"Final","homeScore":30,"awayScore":27,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:39.600101+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"4018729501167","offense":"CIN","clock":"10:16","description":"E.McPherson 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":616,"yardline":32,"toGo":4,"diff":-7,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":-3.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.48272345974499387},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.484360112834721},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.4388286456349825}],"best":"fg","edge":0.1636653089727158,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.46702182442280127,"successWP":0.5568777800681662,"failWP":0.41774577856948264,"fgMake":0.7285255107147336,"makeWP":0.5144620711314183,"missWP":0.4035788777383699,"goWP":0.48272345974499387,"fgWP":0.484360112834721,"puntWP":0.4388286456349825,"breakEven":0.4787851360412483,"twoProb":0.5149535865641102,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729501385","offense":"PIT","clock":"7:05","description":"C.Boswell 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Kuntz, Holder-C.Johnston.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":425,"yardline":25,"toGo":5,"diff":4,"home":1,"offTO":0,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":-3.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4975746943467011},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5045470885746968},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":0.6972394227995671,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.4237646998713737,"successWP":0.5884256222776125,"failWP":0.43076272326633763,"fgMake":0.80318760058123,"makeWP":0.5258833178425304,"missWP":0.41747434904359215,"goWP":0.4975746943467011,"fgWP":0.5045470885746968,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.46798813018833696,"twoProb":0.4579795484857991,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729501556","offense":"CIN","clock":"4:40","description":"R.Rehkow punts 41 yards to PIT 10, Center-W.Wagner. K.Wetjen pushed ob at PIT 15 for 5 yards (O.Burks).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":280,"yardline":51,"toGo":3,"diff":-7,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":0,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":-3.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4535379026202782},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.3593000891551333},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.4263589725462468}],"best":"go","edge":2.717893007403144,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.49962355362010913,"successWP":0.5383787326109962,"failWP":0.36882472861156335,"fgMake":0.07701335823277176,"makeWP":0.534342326933442,"missWP":0.34469468756657307,"goWP":0.4535379026202782,"fgWP":0.3593000891551333,"puntWP":0.4263589725462468,"breakEven":0.33932695529193085,"twoProb":0.5149535865641102,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729502345","offense":"CIN","clock":"10:11","description":"(Shotgun) J.Burrow pass deep right to J.Chase pushed ob at PIT 21 for 21 yards (A.Samuel).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":611,"yardline":42,"toGo":2,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":-3.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6324812326183629},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5970371845812645},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5935456280887638}],"best":"go","edge":3.544404803709833,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.5551610842083803,"successWP":0.7128908677546693,"failWP":0.5321296252423948,"fgMake":0.4235734702802448,"makeWP":0.7019320810579409,"missWP":0.5199576384040371,"goWP":0.6324812326183629,"fgWP":0.5970371845812645,"puntWP":0.5935456280887638,"breakEven":0.3590789620427743,"twoProb":0.5149535865641102,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729502472","offense":"CIN","clock":"8:22","description":" E.McPherson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":502,"yardline":20,"toGo":9,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":-3.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6314199751805307},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.686935240939276},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":5.551526575874533,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.2756810200259989,"successWP":0.7689056175557452,"failWP":0.5790919495773784,"fgMake":0.8794356351665462,"makeWP":0.7026724510105891,"missWP":0.5721429193944084,"goWP":0.6314199751805307,"fgWP":0.686935240939276,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.5681534554939881,"twoProb":0.5149535865641102,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729503060","offense":"CIN","clock":"13:29","description":"(Shotgun) J.Burrow pass deep middle to M.Gesicki for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":809,"yardline":25,"toGo":2,"diff":-4,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":-3.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4683400575441257},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.43981190382088825},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":2.852815372323747,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.5525132911438888,"successWP":0.5876545309335397,"failWP":0.3210220901747697,"fgMake":0.80318760058123,"makeWP":0.4737393035266828,"missWP":0.3013548409318993,"goWP":0.4683400575441257,"fgWP":0.43981190382088825,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.4455189822666444,"twoProb":0.5149535865641102,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729503280","offense":"PIT","clock":"11:04","description":"C.Johnston punts 51 yards to CIN 13, Center-C.Kuntz. K.Williams MUFFS catch, touched at CIN 16, RECOVERED by PIT-B.Skowronek at CIN 14. PIT-B.Echols was injured during the play.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":664,"yardline":64,"toGo":10,"diff":-3,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":-3.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.22650276828499666},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.2451049211824977}],"best":"punt","edge":1.8602152897501028,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.25336414461007,"successWP":0.3817983001843577,"failWP":0.1738046299389632,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.3912267758623177,"missWP":0.16218652566026354,"goWP":0.22650276828499666,"fgWP":0.16218652566026354,"puntWP":0.2451049211824977,"breakEven":0.3428002936791932,"twoProb":0.4579795484857991,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729503380","offense":"PIT","clock":"8:45","description":" C.Boswell 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Kuntz, Holder-C.Johnston.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":525,"yardline":18,"toGo":14,"diff":-3,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":-3.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.2884673585356153},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.3752868447152087},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":8.681948617959339,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.15788727820458653,"successWP":0.5781937423797499,"failWP":0.2341467088348488,"fgMake":0.9077737755113023,"makeWP":0.39128729840411114,"missWP":0.2177959321727707,"goWP":0.2884673585356153,"fgWP":0.3752868447152087,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.41023500312186206,"twoProb":0.4579795484857991,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729503501","offense":"CIN","clock":"7:46","description":"R.Rehkow punts 43 yards to PIT 8, Center-W.Wagner, fair catch by K.Wetjen.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":466,"yardline":51,"toGo":2,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":-3.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5872980587229242},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.44187218947757506},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5328286222128226}],"best":"go","edge":5.4469436510101605,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.5568165851159345,"successWP":0.6990924379352089,"failWP":0.4468393628928379,"fgMake":0.07701335823277176,"makeWP":0.6884817756870043,"missWP":0.4212952585156943,"goWP":0.5872980587229242,"fgWP":0.44187218947757506,"puntWP":0.5328286222128226,"breakEven":0.3408848804144054,"twoProb":0.5149535865641102,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729503746","offense":"PIT","clock":"2:15","description":"C.Boswell 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Kuntz, Holder-C.Johnston.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":135,"yardline":15,"toGo":15,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":1,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":-3.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.43823164034889706},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.6099862642001027},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":17.175462385120564,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.0752725630473528,"successWP":0.8414972012521126,"failWP":0.40540593285400006,"fgMake":0.9407482466980213,"makeWP":0.6252861549480347,"missWP":0.36706779185664123,"goWP":0.43823164034889706,"fgWP":0.6099862642001027,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.4691227414334263,"twoProb":0.4579795484857991,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":0},{"id":"2026_03_SEA_WAS","espn":"401872955","home":"WAS","away":"SEA","date":"2026-09-27","status":"Final","homeScore":33,"awayScore":31,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:39.784555+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"401872955194","offense":"SEA","clock":"12:36","description":"M.Dickson punts 52 yards to end zone, Center-C.Stoll, Touchback.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":756,"yardline":52,"toGo":10,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.735120826806934},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.6930028397377204},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.7474679762700528}],"best":"punt","edge":1.2347149463118767,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.2714318961792232,"successWP":0.8086781568902593,"failWP":0.7077166548733935,"fgMake":0.03850667911638588,"makeWP":0.7897414971894482,"missWP":0.6891285700368968,"goWP":0.735120826806934,"fgWP":0.6930028397377204,"puntWP":0.7474679762700528,"breakEven":0.3937275159596846,"twoProb":0.5780215876880064,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872955289","offense":"WAS","clock":"11:17","description":"T.Way punts 60 yards to SEA 14, Center-T.Ott. R.Shaheed to SEA 20 for 6 yards (T.Owens; A.Kaho).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":677,"yardline":74,"toGo":4,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.22265799391143443},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.24502500781757341}],"best":"punt","edge":2.2367013906138986,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.4281685346799224,"successWP":0.27936298623204714,"failWP":0.18019916654109575,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.2995405172292824,"missWP":0.173425084046688,"goWP":0.22265799391143443,"fgWP":0.173425084046688,"puntWP":0.24502500781757341,"breakEven":0.6537247302343777,"twoProb":0.39828353050518145,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872955580","offense":"SEA","clock":"7:37","description":"M.Dickson punts 44 yards to WAS 28, Center-C.Stoll, out of bounds.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":457,"yardline":72,"toGo":2,"diff":-7,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5500045574937952},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5284648168694466}],"best":"go","edge":2.1539740624348602,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.5627498551784962,"successWP":0.6310207140762067,"failWP":0.4457351114482548,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.6295956886287601,"missWP":0.4338289464138073,"goWP":0.5500045574937952,"fgWP":0.4338289464138073,"puntWP":0.5284648168694466,"breakEven":0.44649829370342714,"twoProb":0.5780215876880064,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872955887","offense":"WAS","clock":"3:33","description":"T.Way punts 41 yards to SEA 10, Center-T.Ott, fair catch by R.Shaheed.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":213,"yardline":51,"toGo":11,"diff":7,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4246461628563206},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.39104362377469176},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.4530626831265975}],"best":"punt","edge":2.8416520270276857,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.21772877378672006,"successWP":0.5396620386620995,"failWP":0.39263390832611184,"fgMake":0.07701335823277176,"makeWP":0.5384753819330697,"missWP":0.37874202124640516,"goWP":0.4246461628563206,"fgWP":0.39104362377469176,"puntWP":0.4530626831265975,"breakEven":0.41100145028297796,"twoProb":0.39828353050518145,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729551328","offense":"WAS","clock":"11:29","description":"T.Way punts 46 yards to SEA 11, Center-T.Ott. R.Shaheed to SEA 21 for 10 yards (A.Kaho).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":689,"yardline":57,"toGo":11,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.2739440536525874},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.30327646774129063}],"best":"punt","edge":2.933241408870324,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.21167799031797932,"successWP":0.36998837005241236,"failWP":0.24815450619953625,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.38155870294603733,"missWP":0.23170565025944528,"goWP":0.2739440536525874,"fgWP":0.23170565025944528,"puntWP":0.30327646774129063,"breakEven":0.45243547071870305,"twoProb":0.39828353050518145,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729551456","offense":"SEA","clock":"10:28","description":"M.Dickson punts 38 yards to WAS 40, Center-C.Stoll, fair catch by J.Lane.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":628,"yardline":78,"toGo":9,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6433706960960771},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.6729330221245119}],"best":"punt","edge":2.956232602843478,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.29977996859292105,"successWP":0.7402315936148001,"failWP":0.6019023639809614,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7858940881707566,"missWP":0.5942193371329505,"goWP":0.6433706960960771,"fgWP":0.5942193371329505,"puntWP":0.6729330221245119,"breakEven":0.5134898700120764,"twoProb":0.5780215876880064,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729552008","offense":"SEA","clock":"1:51","description":"(Shotgun) S.Darnold pass incomplete short right to A.Barner (J.Reaves) [K.Medrano].","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":111,"yardline":2,"toGo":2,"diff":-7,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5662525437731787},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5429107467673318},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":2.334179700584693,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.4685063015559668,"successWP":0.6810244960687634,"failWP":0.46508223253566094,"fgMake":0.9930404717679927,"makeWP":0.5436308869493682,"missWP":0.4401554561400735,"goWP":0.5662525437731787,"fgWP":0.5429107467673318,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.36041353349869026,"twoProb":0.5780215876880064,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729552116","offense":"WAS","clock":"1:24","description":"T.Way punts 52 yards to SEA 46, Center-T.Ott. R.Shaheed pushed ob at WAS 41 for 13 yards (B.Sinnott). ** Injury Update: WAS-B.Sinnott has returned to the game.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":84,"yardline":98,"toGo":10,"diff":7,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":0,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.3871983648622987},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.4435183577391698}],"best":"punt","edge":5.631999287687112,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.20879634197764563,"successWP":0.5585678158519396,"failWP":0.341974465641722,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.6263193008795971,"missWP":0.33005699840525515,"goWP":0.3871983648622987,"fgWP":0.33005699840525515,"puntWP":0.4435183577391698,"breakEven":0.4688227593270662,"twoProb":0.39828353050518145,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729552259","offense":"SEA","clock":"0:52","description":"J.Myers 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Stoll, Holder-M.Dickson.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":52,"yardline":39,"toGo":8,"diff":-7,"home":0,"offTO":0,"defTO":1,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4769350617476307},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.4770451403283443},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.4519920313319724}],"best":"fg","edge":0.011007858071360177,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.34292089159093336,"successWP":0.6106295330913943,"failWP":0.40716168632410427,"fgMake":0.5414525695639533,"makeWP":0.5457936945692721,"missWP":0.3958668829076023,"goWP":0.4769350617476307,"fgWP":0.4770451403283443,"puntWP":0.4519920313319724,"breakEven":0.3434619037580272,"twoProb":0.5780215876880064,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729552583","offense":"WAS","clock":"13:30","description":"T.Way punts 40 yards to SEA 18, Center-T.Ott, fair catch by R.Shaheed.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":810,"yardline":58,"toGo":2,"diff":7,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5331888222067965},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5146963612487958}],"best":"go","edge":1.8492460958000723,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.5162315307555728,"successWP":0.6335361998197246,"failWP":0.4261076797889434,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.6078764185306307,"missWP":0.4085859022484768,"goWP":0.5331888222067965,"fgWP":0.4085859022484768,"puntWP":0.5146963612487958,"breakEven":0.42708052608535374,"twoProb":0.39828353050518145,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729553162","offense":"WAS","clock":"5:11","description":"T.Way punts 54 yards to SEA 15, Center-T.Ott, fair catch by R.Shaheed.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":311,"yardline":69,"toGo":5,"diff":7,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5697814802503204},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.6095506460543093}],"best":"punt","edge":3.9769165803988926,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.39279422115012974,"successWP":0.6969423294329601,"failWP":0.48752263414695696,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7043065803908488,"missWP":0.4651084140772934,"goWP":0.5697814802503204,"fgWP":0.4651084140772934,"puntWP":0.6095506460543093,"breakEven":0.5826959672570409,"twoProb":0.39828353050518145,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729553290","offense":"SEA","clock":"4:21","description":"M.Dickson punts 40 yards to WAS 44, Center-C.Stoll, fair catch by J.Lane.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":261,"yardline":84,"toGo":9,"diff":-7,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.2894548562792678},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.2984794557179373}],"best":"punt","edge":0.9024599438669512,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.30219031230179755,"successWP":0.40685881163706417,"failWP":0.23861242952525166,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.47018355754975105,"missWP":0.22735976817422282,"goWP":0.2894548562792678,"fgWP":0.22735976817422282,"puntWP":0.2984794557179373,"breakEven":0.3558295010046604,"twoProb":0.5780215876880064,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729553476","offense":"WAS","clock":"1:22","description":"T.Way punts 50 yards to end zone, Center-T.Ott, Touchback.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":82,"yardline":50,"toGo":14,"diff":7,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.607780029635235},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5746924593307337},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.6741019988514309}],"best":"punt","edge":6.632196921619582,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.1547696777395242,"successWP":0.78721900419459,"failWP":0.5749230538085874,"fgMake":0.11552003734915764,"makeWP":0.7294799010570623,"missWP":0.5544760024244455,"goWP":0.607780029635235,"fgWP":0.5746924593307337,"puntWP":0.6741019988514309,"breakEven":0.4671730424556541,"twoProb":0.39828353050518145,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729553976","offense":"WAS","clock":"8:40","description":"(Shotgun) M.Mariota pass short left to T.McLaurin to SEA 34 for 6 yards (J.Jobe).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":520,"yardline":40,"toGo":2,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.41907836936775855},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.4028876134441409},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.37666873526144456}],"best":"go","edge":1.6190755923617628,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.5142967749953317,"successWP":0.5256452026370476,"failWP":0.3062379024934986,"fgMake":0.5005868285130165,"makeWP":0.5137081712360889,"missWP":0.2918066193367187,"goWP":0.41907836936775855,"fgWP":0.4028876134441409,"puntWP":0.37666873526144456,"breakEven":0.44050362448017216,"twoProb":0.39828353050518145,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729554119","offense":"WAS","clock":"4:34","description":"D.Stevens 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":274,"yardline":18,"toGo":6,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-8.5,"total":40.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.47356379033404217},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5586926737723305},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":8.512888343828829,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.3356507403926318,"successWP":0.6815372463299532,"failWP":0.36848887156571597,"fgMake":0.9077737755113023,"makeWP":0.5802195691022235,"missWP":0.3468055325932138,"goWP":0.47356379033404217,"fgWP":0.5586926737723305,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.6075859756494844,"twoProb":0.39828353050518145,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":1},{"id":"2026_03_ARI_SF","espn":"401872958","home":"SF","away":"ARI","date":"2026-09-27","status":"Final","homeScore":36,"awayScore":30,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:39.794585+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"401872958409","offense":"ARI","clock":"9:27","description":"B.Gillikin punts 41 yards to end zone, Center-C.Kreiter, Touchback.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":567,"yardline":41,"toGo":15,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7.5,"total":48.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.20918611603015075},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.21942972033004837},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.21315684506589058}],"best":"fg","edge":0.627287526415779,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.1485189734389057,"successWP":0.33631046560193434,"failWP":0.18701254162445582,"fgMake":0.46208014939663056,"makeWP":0.26459992523031034,"missWP":0.18062792670748984,"goWP":0.20918611603015075,"fgWP":0.21942972033004837,"puntWP":0.21315684506589058,"breakEven":0.21713080692590644,"twoProb":0.4328582150364596,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872958775","offense":"ARI","clock":"5:18","description":"B.Gillikin punts 49 yards to SF 7, Center-C.Kreiter, fair catch by J.Cowing.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":318,"yardline":56,"toGo":7,"diff":-7,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7.5,"total":48.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.10312432344593421},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.09534752902872798}],"best":"go","edge":0.7776794417206232,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.3744618079984723,"successWP":0.15223594738168086,"failWP":0.07372495546509661,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.1459348875385037,"missWP":0.07079684705209693,"goWP":0.10312432344593421,"fgWP":0.07079684705209693,"puntWP":0.09534752902872798,"breakEven":0.2754082331121832,"twoProb":0.4328582150364596,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729581246","offense":"ARI","clock":"12:18","description":"B.Gillikin punts 63 yards to SF 7, Center-C.Kreiter. J.Cowing to SF 14 for 7 yards (Z.Collins).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":738,"yardline":70,"toGo":9,"diff":-14,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7.5,"total":48.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.037133490865023995},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.038369156652486004}],"best":"punt","edge":0.12356657874620092,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.3024262951348436,"successWP":0.05583657002494491,"failWP":0.029024952801591695,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.056011847170434226,"missWP":0.02694456802490608,"goWP":0.037133490865023995,"fgWP":0.02694456802490608,"puntWP":0.038369156652486004,"breakEven":0.3485132497996206,"twoProb":0.4328582150364596,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729581350","offense":"SF","clock":"11:24","description":"C.Waitman punts 53 yards to ARZ 28, Center-J.Weeks. D.Duvernay to ARZ 38 for 10 yards (L.Gifford).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":684,"yardline":81,"toGo":5,"diff":14,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7.5,"total":48.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.9489179804993516},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.9507939425789421}],"best":"punt","edge":0.18759620795905096,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.47942484224499804,"successWP":0.9616542802690179,"failWP":0.9371884570733965,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.9673708640081233,"missWP":0.935921105958479,"goWP":0.9489179804993516,"fgWP":0.935921105958479,"puntWP":0.9507939425789421,"breakEven":0.5561016850632918,"twoProb":0.567344611436034,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729581721","offense":"ARI","clock":"5:07","description":"(Shotgun) J.Brissett pass short left to Mi.Wilson to SF 9 for 7 yards (F.Warner; J.Jones).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":307,"yardline":16,"toGo":1,"diff":-14,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7.5,"total":48.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.050435429819261274},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.04576572856213009},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":0.46697012571311824,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.6485236847848043,"successWP":0.06131539092845701,"failWP":0.030360357436273203,"fgMake":0.9310862594209184,"makeWP":0.04694748853733227,"missWP":0.029799094541129834,"goWP":0.050435429819261274,"fgWP":0.04576572856213009,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.49766934123158896,"twoProb":0.4328582150364596,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729581816","offense":"ARI","clock":"3:03","description":"C.Ryland 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":183,"yardline":8,"toGo":8,"diff":-14,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7.5,"total":48.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.05284329015372059},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.04687705358529533},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":0.5966236568425265,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.29110340625820413,"successWP":0.10588123677586336,"failWP":0.03106362996216637,"fgMake":0.9804958716080627,"makeWP":0.04722178968681756,"missWP":0.029546757273436752,"goWP":0.05284329015372059,"fgWP":0.04687705358529533,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.21135965578939056,"twoProb":0.4328582150364596,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729582022","offense":"SF","clock":"1:41","description":"C.Waitman punts 35 yards to ARZ 18, Center-J.Weeks, downed by SF-J.Dugger.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":101,"yardline":53,"toGo":10,"diff":11,"home":1,"offTO":1,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7.5,"total":48.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.9386672610431691},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.9426577976642666}],"best":"punt","edge":0.3990536621097496,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.3003138140038339,"successWP":0.9666650025382563,"failWP":0.9266502901494074,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.9599227789102569,"missWP":0.9236419247346053,"goWP":0.9386672610431691,"fgWP":0.9236419247346053,"puntWP":0.9426577976642666,"breakEven":0.4000405490686504,"twoProb":0.567344611436034,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729582252","offense":"ARI","clock":"0:23","description":"C.Ryland 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":23,"yardline":23,"toGo":14,"diff":-11,"home":0,"offTO":1,"defTO":1,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7.5,"total":48.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.0542902423078144},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.07169217473174551},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":1.7401932423931108,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.1403606243367157,"successWP":0.11499114360932908,"failWP":0.04437909043915082,"fgMake":0.8322686634157989,"makeWP":0.07771819364669669,"missWP":0.041791580065303646,"goWP":0.0542902423078144,"fgWP":0.07169217473174551,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.38680484515538605,"twoProb":0.4328582150364596,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729582884","offense":"ARI","clock":"6:20","description":"(Shotgun) J.Brissett pass short left to Mi.Wilson to SF 21 for 5 yards (R.Green; U.Stout).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":380,"yardline":26,"toGo":2,"diff":-17,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7.5,"total":48.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.029886119804357333},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.02724891598706764},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":0.26372038172896917,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.5547624267928224,"successWP":0.0408597041607865,"failWP":0.01621312216326279,"fgMake":0.7905746685782034,"makeWP":0.030481022456813223,"missWP":0.015047806007768172,"goWP":0.029886119804357333,"fgWP":0.02724891598706764,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.4477616338408969,"twoProb":0.4328582150364596,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729583193","offense":"SF","clock":"1:06","description":"C.Waitman punts 57 yards to ARZ 14, Center-J.Weeks. D.Duvernay pushed ob at ARZ 24 for 10 yards (S.Neal).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":66,"yardline":71,"toGo":4,"diff":10,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7.5,"total":48.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.9186629196162638},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.9175352547390888}],"best":"go","edge":0.1127664877174972,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.5128879070156852,"successWP":0.9506338337601581,"failWP":0.8850002463285201,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.9603489978696169,"missWP":0.877596510168792,"goWP":0.9186629196162638,"fgWP":0.877596510168792,"puntWP":0.9175352547390888,"breakEven":0.49570669048764393,"twoProb":0.567344611436034,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729583293","offense":"ARI","clock":"0:41","description":"B.Gillikin punts 46 yards to SF 30, Center-C.Kreiter. S.Neal MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by ARZ-S.Fehoko at SF 28.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":41,"yardline":76,"toGo":10,"diff":-10,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":7.5,"total":48.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.049997644956521335},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.05398103552457296}],"best":"punt","edge":0.3983390568051623,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.26878468269985906,"successWP":0.08695989847967511,"failWP":0.03641082948638713,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.09314024502360496,"missWP":0.034864535073990954,"goWP":0.049997644956521335,"fgWP":0.034864535073990954,"puntWP":0.05398103552457296,"breakEven":0.3475871344043713,"twoProb":0.4328582150364596,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":0},{"id":"2026_03_MIN_TB","espn":"401872959","home":"TB","away":"MIN","date":"2026-09-27","status":"Final","homeScore":16,"awayScore":23,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:39.732647+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"401872959231","offense":"MIN","clock":"10:20","description":"W.Reichard 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.DePaola, Holder-J.Hekker.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":620,"yardline":36,"toGo":9,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5417948218253869},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5540518116493249},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5294956686905143}],"best":"fg","edge":1.225698982393808,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.28467100847484367,"successWP":0.6688565798883168,"failWP":0.4912295585201192,"fgMake":0.6467190578030975,"makeWP":0.5928046820309385,"missWP":0.4831104818835259,"goWP":0.5417948218253869,"fgWP":0.5540518116493249,"puntWP":0.5294956686905143,"breakEven":0.35367509202883846,"twoProb":0.500375268248285,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872959362","offense":"TB","clock":"8:43","description":"R.Dixon punts 41 yards to MIN 14, Center-E.Deckers. M.Price for 86 yards, TOUCHDOWN.PENALTY on MIN, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. W.Reichard extra point is GOOD, Center-A.DePaola, Holder-J.Hekker.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":523,"yardline":55,"toGo":5,"diff":-3,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.3753271267158662},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.38358965675361084}],"best":"punt","edge":0.8262530037744631,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.4261155360343189,"successWP":0.45915604119383646,"failWP":0.31308323431091045,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.4476046081185058,"missWP":0.302551343168177,"goWP":0.3753271267158662,"fgWP":0.302551343168177,"puntWP":0.38358965675361084,"breakEven":0.48268000011261275,"twoProb":0.4670265794931423,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872959824","offense":"MIN","clock":"2:34","description":"J.Hekker punts 48 yards to TB 9, Center-A.DePaola. T.Johnson pushed ob at TB 25 for 16 yards (M.Bredeson).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":154,"yardline":57,"toGo":8,"diff":3,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6089757238344388},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.6230584127849664}],"best":"punt","edge":1.4082688950527666,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.33743646974371483,"successWP":0.7156680600738389,"failWP":0.5546384661296463,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7097910081539816,"missWP":0.5327496967491523,"goWP":0.6089757238344388,"fgWP":0.5327496967491523,"puntWP":0.6230584127849664,"breakEven":0.424890512231138,"twoProb":0.500375268248285,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872959937","offense":"TB","clock":"1:16","description":"R.Dixon punts 48 yards to MIN 19, Center-E.Deckers, fair catch by M.Price.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":76,"yardline":67,"toGo":2,"diff":-3,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.3455487425826445},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.3365429505614415}],"best":"go","edge":0.9005792021202996,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.5501785317350047,"successWP":0.41141624434190033,"failWP":0.26498592385650127,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.4272321188710396,"missWP":0.25215737357493184,"goWP":0.3455487425826445,"fgWP":0.25215737357493184,"puntWP":0.3365429505614415,"breakEven":0.488676296464675,"twoProb":0.4670265794931423,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729591084","offense":"MIN","clock":"13:56","description":"J.Hekker punts 43 yards to TB 40, Center-A.DePaola, fair catch by T.Johnson.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":836,"yardline":83,"toGo":12,"diff":3,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.558281278693865},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.6121351863280056}],"best":"punt","edge":5.385390763414055,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.21718222834611506,"successWP":0.6788063914291883,"failWP":0.5248432123860173,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7218528004968994,"missWP":0.5119000829738948,"goWP":0.558281278693865,"fgWP":0.5119000829738948,"puntWP":0.6121351863280056,"breakEven":0.566966559696145,"twoProb":0.500375268248285,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729591190","offense":"TB","clock":"12:19","description":"R.Dixon punts 41 yards to MIN 13, Center-E.Deckers, fair catch by M.Price.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":739,"yardline":54,"toGo":4,"diff":-3,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.34634831897090773},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.3464720329281916}],"best":"punt","edge":0.012371395728388856,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.4565535908007194,"successWP":0.424192925989761,"failWP":0.28095045405301516,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.4354714131851024,"missWP":0.2635982031949655,"goWP":0.34634831897090773,"fgWP":0.2635982031949655,"puntWP":0.3464720329281916,"breakEven":0.4574172589265983,"twoProb":0.4670265794931423,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729591281","offense":"MIN","clock":"10:15","description":"J.Hekker punts 42 yards to TB 48, Center-A.DePaola, downed by MIN-D.Dallas.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":615,"yardline":90,"toGo":13,"diff":3,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5526981730916252},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.605242198128742}],"best":"punt","edge":5.254402503711686,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.19365479727252438,"successWP":0.6826173280774579,"failWP":0.5214963162001887,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7276927340654701,"missWP":0.5019124684746463,"goWP":0.5526981730916252,"fgWP":0.5019124684746463,"puntWP":0.605242198128742,"breakEven":0.5197700843161608,"twoProb":0.500375268248285,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729591525","offense":"TB","clock":"5:33","description":"C.McLaughlin 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-E.Deckers, Holder-R.Dixon.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":333,"yardline":10,"toGo":10,"diff":-3,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.3913321701376268},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.42201140381824664},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":3.0679233680619866,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.2039130565656203,"successWP":0.5641356039972949,"failWP":0.34706957209607947,"fgMake":0.9729555933943546,"makeWP":0.42460257625366504,"missWP":0.32879080736547484,"goWP":0.3913321701376268,"fgWP":0.42201140381824664,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.3452490058705843,"twoProb":0.4670265794931423,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729591925","offense":"TB","clock":"1:46","description":"R.Dixon punts 54 yards to MIN 20, Center-E.Deckers, fair catch by M.Price.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":106,"yardline":74,"toGo":10,"diff":-7,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.1684960351596114},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.19020615798254042}],"best":"punt","edge":2.171012282292903,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.2604745374906975,"successWP":0.2665800280929745,"failWP":0.1339490398365975,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.28530797580413564,"missWP":0.12688006939167012,"goWP":0.1684960351596114,"fgWP":0.12688006939167012,"puntWP":0.19020615798254042,"breakEven":0.4241627004783932,"twoProb":0.4670265794931423,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729592013","offense":"MIN","clock":"1:03","description":"J.Hekker punts 51 yards to TB 23, Center-A.DePaola, fair catch by T.Johnson.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":63,"yardline":74,"toGo":4,"diff":7,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.7433109331482343},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.7601063723556307}],"best":"punt","edge":1.6795439207396456,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.4659025321951393,"successWP":0.8225640274614943,"failWP":0.6741770773435874,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.8408323870669145,"missWP":0.6596118141362536,"goWP":0.7433109331482343,"fgWP":0.6596118141362536,"puntWP":0.7601063723556307,"breakEven":0.5790892995897867,"twoProb":0.500375268248285,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729592156","offense":"TB","clock":"0:06","description":"R.Dixon punts 45 yards to MIN 15, Center-E.Deckers. M.Price ran ob at MIN 25 for 10 yards (M.Killebrew).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":6,"yardline":60,"toGo":7,"diff":-7,"home":1,"offTO":0,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.16382186088109046},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.16284630806755412}],"best":"go","edge":0.097555281353634,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.35700489051730794,"successWP":0.1643210919695633,"failWP":0.16354467690650887,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.2353417993189067,"missWP":0.1635446769065088,"goWP":0.16382186088109046,"fgWP":0.1635446769065088,"puntWP":0.16284630806755412,"breakEven":-0.8994787352622361,"twoProb":0.4670265794931423,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729592355","offense":"TB","clock":"12:29","description":"R.Dixon punts 38 yards to MIN 20, Center-E.Deckers, fair catch by M.Price.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":749,"yardline":58,"toGo":9,"diff":-7,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.1890977547616566},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.196192726247918}],"best":"punt","edge":0.7094971486261398,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.28220478925140385,"successWP":0.295849617711828,"failWP":0.14712772412488312,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.25601418714436924,"missWP":0.1369554986592281,"goWP":0.1890977547616566,"fgWP":0.1369554986592281,"puntWP":0.196192726247918,"breakEven":0.32991109069190816,"twoProb":0.4670265794931423,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729592490","offense":"MIN","clock":"10:30","description":"J.Hekker punts 63 yards to TB 0, Center-A.DePaola. T.Johnson to TB 14 for 14 yards (J.Pierre).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":630,"yardline":63,"toGo":7,"diff":7,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.7478402381980521},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.7733066221863972}],"best":"punt","edge":2.546638398834511,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.36656127203770866,"successWP":0.8481104885038966,"failWP":0.68981538294822,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.8327414544784282,"missWP":0.6730760419078081,"goWP":0.7478402381980521,"fgWP":0.6730760419078081,"puntWP":0.7733066221863972,"breakEven":0.5274404344031418,"twoProb":0.500375268248285,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729592594","offense":"TB","clock":"9:38","description":"R.Dixon punts 59 yards to MIN 22, Center-E.Deckers. M.Price to MIN 32 for 10 yards (B.Sharp).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":578,"yardline":81,"toGo":5,"diff":-7,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.17158823130024345},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.17402272336142044}],"best":"punt","edge":0.24344920611769905,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.4274560698473855,"successWP":0.23803526706012185,"failWP":0.12197948118851795,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.26032483415530827,"missWP":0.11768657204786595,"goWP":0.17158823130024345,"fgWP":0.11768657204786595,"puntWP":0.17402272336142044,"breakEven":0.44843298231145096,"twoProb":0.4670265794931423,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729592774","offense":"TB","clock":"7:12","description":"C.McLaughlin 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-E.Deckers, Holder-R.Dixon.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":432,"yardline":20,"toGo":8,"diff":-7,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.24306260091033463},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.23911042324832052},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":0.39521776620141114,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.31498720479697784,"successWP":0.3723115434797082,"failWP":0.18363048018501876,"fgMake":0.8794356351665462,"makeWP":0.2477456612051641,"missWP":0.17612219295422435,"goWP":0.24306260091033463,"fgWP":0.23911042324832052,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.29404086501596094,"twoProb":0.4670265794931423,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729592928","offense":"MIN","clock":"6:09","description":"J.Hekker punts 47 yards to TB 24, Center-A.DePaola. T.Johnson to TB 34 for 10 yards (J.Golday; Jac.Thomas).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":369,"yardline":71,"toGo":9,"diff":4,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.643980823997223},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.6917766639779913}],"best":"punt","edge":4.779583998076831,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.29228709455023666,"successWP":0.7849329635109881,"failWP":0.585767258846909,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7759312939483535,"missWP":0.566979439943728,"goWP":0.643980823997223,"fgWP":0.566979439943728,"puntWP":0.6917766639779913,"breakEven":0.5322673665623411,"twoProb":0.500375268248285,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729593092","offense":"TB","clock":"3:09","description":"R.Dixon punts 47 yards to MIN 39, Center-E.Deckers, downed by TB-E.Deckers.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":189,"yardline":86,"toGo":30,"diff":-4,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.1634766823698755},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.21556873815979452}],"best":"punt","edge":5.209205578991901,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.026386893302437042,"successWP":0.37604874292912216,"failWP":0.1577155476414393,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.3242653120818918,"missWP":0.1421350139016836,"goWP":0.1634766823698755,"fgWP":0.1421350139016836,"puntWP":0.21556873815979452,"breakEven":0.26497661265904154,"twoProb":0.4670265794931423,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729593179","offense":"MIN","clock":"1:27","description":"J.Hekker punts 42 yards to TB 16, Center-A.DePaola, fair catch by T.Johnson.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":87,"yardline":58,"toGo":7,"diff":4,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6866715167918916},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.7112685019737087}],"best":"punt","edge":2.4596985181817077,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.363846916157854,"successWP":0.8036668669245175,"failWP":0.6197561807953015,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7913663774083224,"missWP":0.592014271238252,"goWP":0.6866715167918916,"fgWP":0.592014271238252,"puntWP":0.7112685019737087,"breakEven":0.4975911030754923,"twoProb":0.500375268248285,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729593291","offense":"TB","clock":"14:23","description":"R.Dixon punts 53 yards to MIN 25, Center-E.Deckers. M.Price to MIN 25 for no gain (K.Johnson).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":863,"yardline":78,"toGo":4,"diff":-4,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.22825186302351197},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.21892095420042446}],"best":"go","edge":0.9330908823087514,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.45892060074862345,"successWP":0.31818749269369273,"failWP":0.1519722758611662,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.3203078694896862,"missWP":0.14757385160377462,"goWP":0.22825186302351197,"fgWP":0.14757385160377462,"puntWP":0.21892095420042446,"breakEven":0.40278308818568476,"twoProb":0.4670265794931423,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729593422","offense":"MIN","clock":"13:30","description":"J.Hekker punts 36 yards to TB 34, Center-A.DePaola, fair catch by T.Johnson.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":810,"yardline":70,"toGo":5,"diff":4,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6684521974039572},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.6909057028058789}],"best":"punt","edge":2.2453505401921703,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.4338513224025087,"successWP":0.8016605050959751,"failWP":0.5663719440464281,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.8147934472293347,"missWP":0.5491009005331351,"goWP":0.6684521974039572,"fgWP":0.5491009005331351,"puntWP":0.6909057028058789,"breakEven":0.5292809739833741,"twoProb":0.500375268248285,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729593655","offense":"TB","clock":"9:02","description":"C.McLaughlin 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-E.Deckers, Holder-R.Dixon.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":542,"yardline":36,"toGo":7,"diff":-4,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.27323249647674747},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.26138219034445215},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.23556505580782983}],"best":"go","edge":1.1850306132295318,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.35253139647851467,"successWP":0.43600421611755236,"failWP":0.18460713098398188,"fgMake":0.6467190578030975,"makeWP":0.3083185352653479,"missWP":0.17546012340475114,"goWP":0.27323249647674747,"fgWP":0.26138219034445215,"puntWP":0.23556505580782983,"breakEven":0.3053935940413895,"twoProb":0.4670265794931423,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729593836","offense":"MIN","clock":"6:08","description":"(Shotgun) A.Jones up the middle to TB 32 for 3 yards (K.Scott).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":368,"yardline":35,"toGo":1,"diff":1,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.7368576285020593},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.675489047142408},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.6299498633198138}],"best":"go","edge":6.136858135965129,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.6830918029111644,"successWP":0.8205307760689393,"failWP":0.5565011664358862,"fgMake":0.673466841943106,"makeWP":0.7475503090259378,"missWP":0.526864415096066,"goWP":0.7368576285020593,"fgWP":0.675489047142408,"puntWP":0.6299498633198138,"breakEven":0.4506611242272807,"twoProb":0.500375268248285,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729594009","offense":"MIN","clock":"3:10","description":"W.Reichard 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.DePaola, Holder-J.Hekker.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":190,"yardline":38,"toGo":16,"diff":1,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6042583311703861},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.6723741354278714},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.6322220091886633}],"best":"fg","edge":4.015212623920805,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.12442651212831596,"successWP":0.8605406544330019,"failWP":0.5678384120597446,"fgMake":0.5801170986885189,"makeWP":0.7770921742812055,"missWP":0.5276939765307063,"goWP":0.6042583311703861,"fgWP":0.6723741354278714,"puntWP":0.6322220091886633,"breakEven":0.35714015212367806,"twoProb":0.500375268248285,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729594171","offense":"TB","clock":"1:54","description":"(Shotgun) B.Mayfield pass short right intended for K.Gainwell INTERCEPTED by A.Van Ginkel [B.Cashman] at TB 41. A.Van Ginkel to TB 41 for no gain (K.Gainwell). TB-B.Mayfield was injured during the play.","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":114,"yardline":61,"toGo":13,"diff":-4,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.11420323842645001},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.11319978784784286}],"best":"go","edge":0.10034505786071513,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.19248722272880814,"successWP":0.34001346144622185,"failWP":0.060376743148281335,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.22253252084345249,"missWP":0.05377867150784424,"goWP":0.11420323842645001,"fgWP":0.05377867150784424,"puntWP":0.11319978784784286,"breakEven":0.1888988149377469,"twoProb":0.4670265794931423,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Late-game estimates are sensitive to clock management. Successful in-bounds conversions that permit kneeling are handled explicitly.","Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729594313","offense":"MIN","clock":"0:33","description":" W.Reichard 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.DePaola, Holder-J.Hekker.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":33,"yardline":25,"toGo":6,"diff":4,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":0,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-1.5,"total":42.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.9616169243139092},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.9724958460708577},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":1.087892175694849,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.4015785934994376,"successWP":0.9996735211782594,"failWP":0.9360785420365595,"fgMake":0.80318760058123,"makeWP":0.9846603681460866,"missWP":0.9228526664405371,"goWP":0.9616169243139092,"fgWP":0.9724958460708577,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.5726443270490676,"twoProb":0.500375268248285,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Late-game estimates are sensitive to clock management. Successful in-bounds conversions that permit kneeling are handled explicitly.","Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":0},{"id":"2026_03_BAL_DAL","espn":"401872960","home":"DAL","away":"BAL","date":"2026-09-27","status":"Final","homeScore":31,"awayScore":34,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:51.606253+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"401872960129","offense":"BAL","clock":"13:37","description":" R.Eckley punts 43 yards to DAL 28, Center-N.Moore. K.Turpin to DAL 33 for 5 yards (J.Higgins).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":817,"yardline":71,"toGo":4,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-3,"total":53.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5714949950927123},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5508846426624019}],"best":"go","edge":2.0610352430310397,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.5462544559242161,"successWP":0.6499374929625329,"failWP":0.47705976690222185,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.6228970036559127,"missWP":0.46271725901599814,"goWP":0.5714949950927123,"fgWP":0.46271725901599814,"puntWP":0.5508846426624019,"breakEven":0.427035208309167,"twoProb":0.541090793230894,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872960385","offense":"DAL","clock":"8:10","description":"B.Aubrey 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":490,"yardline":10,"toGo":10,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-3,"total":53.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4810336874548915},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.47993041904792166},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":0.11032684069698373,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.2602523304649566,"successWP":0.6084148722894235,"failWP":0.4362194195959458,"fgMake":0.9794355221512819,"makeWP":0.4811427407846937,"missWP":0.4221905152193054,"goWP":0.4810336874548915,"fgWP":0.47993041904792166,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.2538452599546,"twoProb":0.5124889530740528,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872960511","offense":"BAL","clock":"6:12","description":"D.Henry up the middle to BLT 30 for no gain (C.Downs).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":372,"yardline":70,"toGo":1,"diff":-3,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-3,"total":53.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5103535112686297},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.4534206517159753}],"best":"go","edge":5.693285955265442,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.7553506068323508,"successWP":0.5519915102945554,"failWP":0.38179693720852104,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.5354534088594615,"missWP":0.37037808834139974,"goWP":0.5103535112686297,"fgWP":0.37037808834139974,"puntWP":0.4534206517159753,"breakEven":0.4208343028143914,"twoProb":0.541090793230894,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729601062","offense":"DAL","clock":"15:00","description":" B.Anger punts 39 yards to BLT 11, Center-T.Sieg, fair catch by L.Wester.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":900,"yardline":50,"toGo":6,"diff":3,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-3,"total":53.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5243660495735313},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.4545414420494009},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5229067925012731}],"best":"go","edge":0.14592570722581355,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.46299943877397565,"successWP":0.6109321431160163,"failWP":0.44972915788105444,"fgMake":0.1514854858259979,"makeWP":0.5767040096317719,"missWP":0.4327317315602627,"goWP":0.5243660495735313,"fgWP":0.4545414420494009,"puntWP":0.5229067925012731,"breakEven":0.4539471431844667,"twoProb":0.5124889530740528,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729601436","offense":"DAL","clock":"9:24","description":"(Shotgun) J.Williams right tackle to DAL 44 for no gain (R.Smith). FUMBLES (R.Smith), and recovers at DAL 43.","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":564,"yardline":56,"toGo":1,"diff":-4,"home":1,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-3,"total":53.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.3046198972555839},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.2796858184789914}],"best":"go","edge":2.493407877659254,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.7298265766829619,"successWP":0.33385441316728176,"failWP":0.22564793026169916,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.33740076790627377,"missWP":0.21627280076391425,"goWP":0.3046198972555839,"fgWP":0.21627280076391425,"puntWP":0.2796858184789914,"breakEven":0.4993960321623603,"twoProb":0.5124889530740528,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729601738","offense":"BAL","clock":"4:44","description":"T.Loop 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":284,"yardline":9,"toGo":6,"diff":4,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-3,"total":53.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.7664201531268733},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.7640415411642105},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":0.23786119626627578,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.3895928925279374,"successWP":0.8490502201274317,"failWP":0.7136814375738303,"fgMake":0.9821625057051027,"makeWP":0.7652349429064607,"missWP":0.6983308294407291,"goWP":0.7664201531268733,"fgWP":0.7640415411642105,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.37202154470466153,"twoProb":0.541090793230894,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729602052","offense":"DAL","clock":"0:18","description":" B.Aubrey 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":18,"yardline":20,"toGo":6,"diff":-7,"home":1,"offTO":1,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-3,"total":53.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.2626470430155293},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.27699605050136933},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":1.4349007485840004,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.44480339810347963,"successWP":0.34448690742228794,"failWP":0.19707990938375836,"fgMake":0.9237050785808397,"makeWP":0.2840172743435402,"missWP":0.19198986660041356,"goWP":0.2626470430155293,"fgWP":0.27699605050136933,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.5421461815315057,"twoProb":0.5124889530740528,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729602252","offense":"DAL","clock":"13:15","description":"(Shotgun) D.Prescott pass short middle to C.Lamb to BLT 34 for 13 yards (M.Humphrey).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":795,"yardline":47,"toGo":4,"diff":-4,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-3,"total":53.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.2976907161873796},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.23641180871741463},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.26986840144822477}],"best":"go","edge":2.7822314739154805,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.5262451554054621,"successWP":0.368431801056753,"failWP":0.219111776836384,"fgMake":0.3029709716519958,"makeWP":0.31444792439061053,"missWP":0.20249259326452296,"goWP":0.2976907161873796,"fgWP":0.23641180871741463,"puntWP":0.26986840144822477,"breakEven":0.33991840596632433,"twoProb":0.5124889530740528,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729602522","offense":"BAL","clock":"9:08","description":"R.Eckley punts 58 yards to DAL 21, Center-N.Moore. K.Turpin pushed ob at DAL 33 for 12 yards (J.Hawkins).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":548,"yardline":79,"toGo":14,"diff":4,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-3,"total":53.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6507529256041109},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.7038485675023705}],"best":"punt","edge":5.309564189825955,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.215453193747686,"successWP":0.7812771242952313,"failWP":0.6149082121399211,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.8010926191556373,"missWP":0.6023571596948638,"goWP":0.6507529256041109,"fgWP":0.6023571596948638,"puntWP":0.7038485675023705,"breakEven":0.5345972045511781,"twoProb":0.541090793230894,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729602716","offense":"DAL","clock":"6:07","description":" B.Aubrey 59 yard field goal is BLOCKED (K.Jackson), Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":367,"yardline":41,"toGo":6,"diff":-4,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-3,"total":53.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.28618886211159283},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.2571895321802141},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.24856735135683855}],"best":"go","edge":2.8999329931378712,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.46418490075177465,"successWP":0.3802259425581023,"failWP":0.20472308610921153,"fgMake":0.6059419433039916,"makeWP":0.2990941902427625,"missWP":0.19275285969391082,"goWP":0.28618886211159283,"fgWP":0.2571895321802141,"puntWP":0.24856735135683855,"breakEven":0.29894924295025166,"twoProb":0.5124889530740528,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729603352","offense":"BAL","clock":"13:07","description":"D.Henry left guard to DAL 4 for -3 yards (J.Barham).","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":787,"yardline":1,"toGo":1,"diff":3,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-3,"total":53.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.8311634888905972},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.7943303574051864},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":3.6833131485410786,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.6366845631350933,"successWP":0.8941059790492546,"failWP":0.7208612342021987,"fgMake":0.9945996663407372,"makeWP":0.7949095204427414,"missWP":0.6876637326641125,"goWP":0.8311634888905972,"fgWP":0.7943303574051864,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.4240770666252982,"twoProb":0.541090793230894,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729603683","offense":"BAL","clock":"7:40","description":"R.Eckley punts 48 yards to DAL 7, Center-N.Moore. K.Turpin to DAL 24 for 17 yards (N.Moore).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":460,"yardline":55,"toGo":5,"diff":-4,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-3,"total":53.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.3387108212566099},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.2707714152147001}],"best":"go","edge":6.793940604190979,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.5058580878273681,"successWP":0.47713990164286313,"failWP":0.1969995675076526,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.4097958400189257,"missWP":0.18201555005741377,"goWP":0.3387108212566099,"fgWP":0.18201555005741377,"puntWP":0.2707714152147001,"breakEven":0.2633389009646905,"twoProb":0.541090793230894,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729603776","offense":"DAL","clock":"5:57","description":"B.Anger punts 60 yards to BLT 12, Center-T.Sieg. L.Wester to BLT 36 for 24 yards (R.Steward; B.Spann-Ford).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":357,"yardline":72,"toGo":6,"diff":4,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":-3,"total":53.5,"roof":"retractable","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.628000056561254},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.6461573833967995}],"best":"punt","edge":1.8157326835545495,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.46805127811791225,"successWP":0.8034334592919529,"failWP":0.4736396361016308,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.7840098832901945,"missWP":0.45106095802109814,"goWP":0.628000056561254,"fgWP":0.45106095802109814,"puntWP":0.6461573833967995,"breakEven":0.5231078788143638,"twoProb":0.5124889530740528,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":0},{"id":"2026_03_LV_NO","espn":"401872961","home":"NO","away":"LV","date":"2026-09-27","status":"Final","homeScore":27,"awayScore":35,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:51.797164+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"401872961130","offense":"NO","clock":"14:14","description":"R.Wright punts 47 yards to LV 24, Center-C.Adomitis, fair catch by M.Benson.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":854,"yardline":71,"toGo":8,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.5355638338222392},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5599465129527192}],"best":"punt","edge":2.438267913048009,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.3507596288729741,"successWP":0.6429821923357482,"failWP":0.47752982170291197,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.6042433310322035,"missWP":0.4625078588869922,"goWP":0.5355638338222392,"fgWP":0.4625078588869922,"puntWP":0.5599465129527192,"breakEven":0.49812940687747753,"twoProb":0.49092677295362674,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872961422","offense":"LV","clock":"7:35","description":"M.Gay 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":455,"yardline":23,"toGo":16,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4404234969294896},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.4948758341339015},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":5.445233720441189,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.10725097174144585,"successWP":0.6020207038263421,"failWP":0.42100991380389535,"fgMake":0.8892117939565255,"makeWP":0.5060070385833759,"missWP":0.405534209868139,"goWP":0.4404234969294896,"fgWP":0.4948758341339015,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.40807468063559205,"twoProb":0.4530572331851807,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729611118","offense":"LV","clock":"11:27","description":"M.Gay 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":687,"yardline":18,"toGo":5,"diff":-3,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.401265685980297},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.42191230176693184},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":2.0646615786634848,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.41713466652221676,"successWP":0.49748264969808403,"failWP":0.33240684540605436,"fgMake":0.94070377642565,"makeWP":0.42779461739812463,"missWP":0.32859242075541395,"goWP":0.401265685980297,"fgWP":0.42191230176693184,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.5422082100083947,"twoProb":0.4530572331851807,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729611267","offense":"NO","clock":"9:39","description":"R.Wright punts 47 yards to LV 34, Center-C.Adomitis. M.Benson ran ob at LV 47 for 13 yards (J.Price).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":579,"yardline":81,"toGo":13,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.47191834987316156},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5118682751914583}],"best":"punt","edge":3.9949925318296717,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.20431192740879897,"successWP":0.6035253944624244,"failWP":0.43812509612607076,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.6221306563083464,"missWP":0.4276701218456026,"goWP":0.47191834987316156,"fgWP":0.4276701218456026,"puntWP":0.5118682751914583,"breakEven":0.4458467113247001,"twoProb":0.49092677295362674,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729612450","offense":"LV","clock":"13:37","description":"A.Cole punts 45 yards to NO 13, Center-A.Ward, fair catch by J.Price.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":817,"yardline":58,"toGo":5,"diff":3,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.526671626146419},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5293850468196053}],"best":"punt","edge":0.2713420673186251,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.42516039462359284,"successWP":0.6481456650328805,"failWP":0.4368275203707367,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.6314704262221795,"missWP":0.41544266333335556,"goWP":0.526671626146419,"fgWP":0.41544266333335556,"puntWP":0.5293850468196053,"breakEven":0.4380008474750235,"twoProb":0.4530572331851807,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729613330","offense":"NO","clock":"2:07","description":"R.Wright punts 38 yards to LV 10, Center-C.Adomitis, fair catch by D.Laube.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":127,"yardline":48,"toGo":15,"diff":5,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.726704684193503},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.7178288066109039},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.7670754448832857}],"best":"punt","edge":4.037076068978274,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.1686262137596876,"successWP":0.8678283020122654,"failWP":0.6980808067767469,"fgMake":0.2524758097099965,"makeWP":0.8414016233748375,"missWP":0.6760921680166192,"goWP":0.726704684193503,"fgWP":0.7178288066109039,"puntWP":0.7670754448832857,"breakEven":0.4064545283028258,"twoProb":0.49092677295362674,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729613429","offense":"LV","clock":"1:47","description":"A.Cole punts 62 yards to NO 28, Center-A.Ward. J.Price to NO 39 for 11 yards (P.Johnson).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":107,"yardline":90,"toGo":10,"diff":-5,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.16083836355476652},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.16750099281390848}],"best":"punt","edge":0.6662629259141961,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.26293121372095013,"successWP":0.2648280551514676,"failWP":0.12374259130802757,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.29343871259628873,"missWP":0.11206737513784676,"goWP":0.16083836355476652,"fgWP":0.11206737513784676,"puntWP":0.16750099281390848,"breakEven":0.31015527974192153,"twoProb":0.4530572331851807,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729614380","offense":"NO","clock":"2:21","description":"(Shotgun) T.Shough sacked at LV 30 for -10 yards (J.Chinn). FUMBLES (J.Chinn) [J.Chinn], RECOVERED by LV-T.Johnson at LV 32. Fumble Forced by 98-M.Crosby.","actual":"go","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":141,"yardline":20,"toGo":1,"diff":-8,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.14240626132544626},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.10491897220103032},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"go","edge":3.748728912441594,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.6653556059070382,"successWP":0.19714571353757696,"failWP":0.033570727138956806,"fgMake":0.9237050785808397,"makeWP":0.11106202857554343,"missWP":0.030544790203103443,"goWP":0.14240626132544626,"fgWP":0.10491897220103032,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.4361806571586876,"twoProb":0.49092677295362674,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729614568","offense":"LV","clock":"1:44","description":"A.Cole punts 40 yards to NO 20, Center-A.Ward, out of bounds.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":104,"yardline":60,"toGo":14,"diff":8,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":0,"homeKickoff":1,"spread":3.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"dome","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.9278090055960363},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.9602505815076818}],"best":"punt","edge":3.2441575911645537,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.1704241046506528,"successWP":0.9999897162546799,"failWP":0.9129805455889298,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.9868284385447896,"missWP":0.8969895543764901,"goWP":0.9278090055960363,"fgWP":0.8969895543764901,"puntWP":0.9602505815076818,"breakEven":0.5432764794453923,"twoProb":0.4530572331851807,"patProb":0.9595685840093027,"warnings":["Late-game estimates are sensitive to clock management. Successful in-bounds conversions that permit kneeling are handled explicitly.","Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":0},{"id":"2026_03_LA_DEN","espn":"401872962","home":"DEN","away":"LA","date":"2026-09-27","status":"Final","homeScore":30,"awayScore":26,"captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:51.697382+00:00","decisions":[{"id":"401872962226","offense":"LA","clock":"11:05","description":"E.Evans punts 33 yards to DEN 14, Center-J.Cardona, fair catch by K.Abrams-Draine.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":665,"yardline":47,"toGo":9,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":1.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.4436973061533405},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.4104747484307242},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.4504990110650651}],"best":"punt","edge":0.6801704911724604,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.28746154108425515,"successWP":0.5613693538174316,"failWP":0.39622451680308973,"fgMake":0.23104007469831528,"makeWP":0.5200716061697198,"missWP":0.37754550808210136,"goWP":0.4436973061533405,"fgWP":0.4104747484307242,"puntWP":0.4504990110650651,"breakEven":0.328647841756397,"twoProb":0.4902889730155959,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872962323","offense":"DEN","clock":"9:36","description":"J.Crawshaw punts 45 yards to LA 37, Center-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":576,"yardline":82,"toGo":6,"diff":0,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":1.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.48635165905387184},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.5115677368628421}],"best":"punt","edge":2.521607780897023,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.4090708279360744,"successWP":0.5775607689565826,"failWP":0.42321213596534496,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.6059493098040262,"missWP":0.41390231049660264,"goWP":0.48635165905387184,"fgWP":0.41390231049660264,"puntWP":0.5115677368628421,"breakEven":0.5724417455806885,"twoProb":0.5077103757197855,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"401872962949","offense":"DEN","clock":"1:23","description":"W.Lutz 43 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-M.Fraboni, Holder-J.Crawshaw.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":1,"seconds":83,"yardline":25,"toGo":6,"diff":-7,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":1.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.3773155657148054},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.3857194719880947},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":0.8403906273289297,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.40707214423632454,"successWP":0.47698008768115585,"failWP":0.30889130420178096,"fgMake":0.80318760058123,"makeWP":0.40735411438619307,"missWP":0.2974289142362524,"goWP":0.3773155657148054,"fgWP":0.3857194719880947,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.45706897388391676,"twoProb":0.5077103757197855,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729621183","offense":"LA","clock":"13:17","description":"H.Mevis 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":797,"yardline":18,"toGo":12,"diff":7,"home":0,"offTO":2,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":1.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.7068550338755181},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.7431100283176196},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":3.6254994442101562,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.19058387102398505,"successWP":0.7963678029273152,"failWP":0.6857784955891493,"fgMake":0.9077737755113023,"makeWP":0.7501328020704001,"missWP":0.6739855479491917,"goWP":0.7068550338755181,"fgWP":0.7431100283176196,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.5184184086908049,"twoProb":0.4902889730155959,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729621303","offense":"DEN","clock":"11:51","description":"J.Crawshaw punts 41 yards to LA 21, Center-M.Fraboni, fair catch by X.Smith.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":711,"yardline":62,"toGo":3,"diff":-10,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":2,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":1.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.2424170669308561},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.24423270991132434}],"best":"punt","edge":0.18156429804682406,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.5002680926491395,"successWP":0.2898183244010893,"failWP":0.19496495047603213,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.29708013132711375,"missWP":0.18852188299976952,"goWP":0.2424170669308561,"fgWP":0.18852188299976952,"puntWP":0.24423270991132434,"breakEven":0.5194096677490697,"twoProb":0.5077103757197855,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729621750","offense":"LA","clock":"4:43","description":"H.Mevis 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":283,"yardline":16,"toGo":11,"diff":10,"home":0,"offTO":1,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":1.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.7772729466408209},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.8193272318933555},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":4.205428525253463,"strength":"Strong","conversion":0.19082452998552601,"successWP":0.8532590983888603,"failWP":0.7593534443448985,"fgMake":0.9310862594209184,"makeWP":0.8242962679463824,"missWP":0.7521911113945521,"goWP":0.7772729466408209,"fgWP":0.8193272318933555,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.6386600270137134,"twoProb":0.4902889730155959,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729622047","offense":"DEN","clock":"1:18","description":"J.Crawshaw punts 47 yards to LA 8, Center-M.Fraboni. X.Smith to LA 24 for 16 yards (Q.Robinson; D.Tillman).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":2,"seconds":78,"yardline":55,"toGo":14,"diff":-13,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":1,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":1.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.13757692475377434},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.14962185911424458}],"best":"punt","edge":1.2044934360470245,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.1815123286828383,"successWP":0.22549503133814666,"failWP":0.11807972177961783,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.22057535485344332,"missWP":0.11167301669464086,"goWP":0.13757692475377434,"fgWP":0.11167301669464086,"puntWP":0.14962185911424458,"breakEven":0.29364657109180475,"twoProb":0.5077103757197855,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729622468","offense":"DEN","clock":"14:08","description":"J.Crawshaw punts 62 yards to LA 0, Center-M.Fraboni. X.Smith pushed ob at LA 10 for 10 yards (J.Skinner).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":848,"yardline":62,"toGo":4,"diff":-16,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":1.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.11173378367400183},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.10597469562070011}],"best":"go","edge":0.575908805330172,"strength":"Close call","conversion":0.46872250888433875,"successWP":0.1481954343928866,"failWP":0.07956529039352986,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.11901296007045822,"missWP":0.07687720399580264,"goWP":0.11173378367400183,"fgWP":0.07687720399580264,"puntWP":0.10597469562070011,"breakEven":0.38480766159280944,"twoProb":0.5077103757197855,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729622572","offense":"LA","clock":"13:04","description":"E.Evans punts 57 yards to DEN 30, Center-J.Cardona. K.Katsis ran ob at LA 42 for 28 yards (E.Evans).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":784,"yardline":87,"toGo":7,"diff":16,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":1.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.8506840209669776},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.8661497423772828}],"best":"punt","edge":1.5465721410305222,"strength":"Medium","conversion":0.36998091260424665,"successWP":0.9030174691358982,"failWP":0.8199510204902759,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.9215932488631562,"missWP":0.8092517787338142,"goWP":0.8506840209669776,"fgWP":0.8092517787338142,"puntWP":0.8661497423772828,"breakEven":0.5561658484293663,"twoProb":0.4902889730155959,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729623158","offense":"LA","clock":"5:22","description":"Official Timeout at 05:22.","actual":null,"input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":322,"yardline":75,"toGo":19,"diff":8,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":1.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6806244039188123},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.7578949159234367}],"best":"punt","edge":7.7270512004624425,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.08920384922399266,"successWP":0.8400661499719884,"failWP":0.6650085962950975,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.8354507503614717,"missWP":0.6464151724202396,"goWP":0.6806244039188123,"fgWP":0.6464151724202396,"puntWP":0.7578949159234367,"breakEven":0.5306044650879926,"twoProb":0.4902889730155959,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729623167","offense":"LA","clock":"5:22","description":"E.Evans punts 41 yards to DEN 47, impetus ends at DEN 48, Center-J.Cardona. K.Katsis pushed ob at DEN 48 for 1 yard (S.Dolac).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":3,"seconds":322,"yardline":88,"toGo":32,"diff":8,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":1.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.6503207639740597},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.7303522020979437}],"best":"punt","edge":8.003143812388402,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.02324416628601994,"successWP":0.8446485797380834,"failWP":0.6456962837224878,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.8354507503614717,"missWP":0.6163489345622281,"goWP":0.6503207639740597,"fgWP":0.6163489345622281,"puntWP":0.7303522020979437,"breakEven":0.42550862729837446,"twoProb":0.4902889730155959,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729623584","offense":"LA","clock":"14:50","description":"E.Evans punts 49 yards to DEN 19, Center-J.Cardona. K.Katsis to DEN 29 for 10 yards (S.Dolac; J.Cardona).","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":890,"yardline":68,"toGo":19,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":1.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.36359152440593445},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.4353199404404054}],"best":"punt","edge":7.172841603447094,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.08923150099451554,"successWP":0.6011846416821144,"failWP":0.3403136107498627,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.592159040109286,"missWP":0.3056498704550149,"goWP":0.36359152440593445,"fgWP":0.3056498704550149,"puntWP":0.4353199404404054,"breakEven":0.36418888425835166,"twoProb":0.4902889730155959,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729623891","offense":"LA","clock":"8:40","description":" H.Mevis 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Cardona, Holder-E.Evans.","actual":"fg","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":520,"yardline":30,"toGo":15,"diff":0,"home":0,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":1.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.45528420877555814},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":0.5513831029590903},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":null}],"best":"fg","edge":9.609889418353218,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.14197547573727234,"successWP":0.6942705453889473,"failWP":0.4157396527915099,"fgMake":0.750697624088192,"makeWP":0.6060755892197423,"missWP":0.38669345914329356,"goWP":0.45528420877555814,"fgWP":0.5513831029590903,"puntWP":null,"breakEven":0.4869960703555668,"twoProb":0.4902889730155959,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}},{"id":"4018729624010","offense":"DEN","clock":"7:10","description":"J.Crawshaw punts 53 yards to LA 9, Center-M.Fraboni, out of bounds.","actual":"punt","input":{"qtr":4,"seconds":430,"yardline":62,"toGo":2,"diff":-3,"home":1,"offTO":3,"defTO":3,"homeKickoff":0,"spread":1.5,"total":43.5,"roof":"outdoors","runoff":0,"touchback":25},"result":{"choices":[{"id":"go","label":"Go for it","wp":0.3489719676173744},{"id":"fg","label":"Field goal","wp":null},{"id":"punt","label":"Punt","wp":0.27981082943826957}],"best":"go","edge":6.916113817910485,"strength":"Very strong","conversion":0.5604585607075454,"successWP":0.4783974907058194,"failWP":0.1839416976484327,"fgMake":0,"makeWP":0.4580191752340824,"missWP":0.1759238829576808,"goWP":0.3489719676173744,"fgWP":0.1759238829576808,"puntWP":0.27981082943826957,"breakEven":0.3255807290948861,"twoProb":0.5077103757197855,"patProb":0.9407482466980213,"warnings":["Bot comparison mode uses the upstream 25-yard kickoff assumption. Select 35 yards to examine a modern touchback scenario."],"model":"nfl4th browser port \u00b7 2026-09-28"}}],"skipped":0},{"id":"2026_03_PHI_CHI","espn":"401872963","home":"CHI","away":"PHI","date":"2026-09-28","status":"Scheduled","captured_at":"2026-09-28T14:42:51.700067+00:00","decisions":[]}]},"tier":"labs","graded":false,"tier_meaning":"Pup \u2014 live and useful, not yet validated. It may compute real answers and still have open questions about calibration, assumptions, data quality or edge. Everything starts here."}