{ "title": "Bozo Menu · Oct25 maintenance only · no price/PFF/ETR refresh", "week": "2026-10-19", "revision": 5, "published_at": "2026-10-25T14:44:31.529Z", "retrieved_at": "2026-10-31T08:26:38.968Z", "status": "published", "scope": "Public Data Dawgs research. Saved quotes, not guaranteed current offers. No contest picks submitted.", "candidates": [ { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.917 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 45, "odds": -109, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints (Paris, neutral site)", "id": "2026w43-nfl-pit-no-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T13:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 1, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not executable or cleared. Leading NFL total research priority: PFF under direction and ETR slower pace align. PFF assessed44.5; displayed secondary quote is45, not the same number. Paris Sunday afternoon west-wind gust risk remains unresolved at kickoff. Saints Shough/Kamara have no final designation; Steelers Dowdle/Elliott questionable, Skowronek/Echols out. Steelers Friday participation was estimated. REFRESH Oct23 15:18UTC: 115 holds,12 retired,0 cleared. 27 existing candidates rechecked plus2 new price-band props; other future rows explicitly historical. Coarse research priority, not precise EV ranking. Authenticated PFF NFL/30 rendered props and ETR Snaps/Pace reviewed; public current SP+ used. No new PFF/ETR CFB coverage. Requested sheet is Oct13 for prior slate and excluded. PinnOdds is a secondary14:15UTC snapshot, not direct Pinnacle/Circa. BozoBoyz band -200 to -500; no alternate ladders verified. Main-line edge cannot transfer to an alternate price. Final injuries/QBs and kickoff-hour weather/roof checks incomplete. Same-game alternatives are correlated. Screen reads are not provider refresh times. IDs/sources/quotes retained; full original research remains in unchanged private menu.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Under 45", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:23:47Z", "name": "Requested sheet is historical Oct13 packet for prior slate; excluded; read Oct23, exact observation time unavailable; timestamp is citation reconciliation, NOT provider freshness or a new page read", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-FSuBCeQixUKMP5LZycDOnQh1qF7wKP6/htmlview" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:23:47Z", "name": "Steelers Oct23 final report; practice participation estimated; read Oct23, exact observation time unavailable; timestamp is citation reconciliation, NOT provider freshness or a new page read", "url": "https://www.steelers.com/news/week-7-injury-report-saints" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:23:47Z", "name": "Saints final injury report read Oct23; read Oct23, exact observation time unavailable; timestamp is citation reconciliation, NOT provider freshness or a new page read", "url": "https://www.neworleanssaints.com/team/injury-report/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:23:47Z", "name": "Meteo France Saint-Denis forecast; daily not stadium-hour; read Oct23, exact observation time unavailable; timestamp is citation reconciliation, NOT provider freshness or a new page read", "url": "https://meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-france/saint-denis/93200" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.909 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 4, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles", "id": "2026w43-nfl-dal-phi-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-27T00:15:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 2, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. Leading NFL side research priority: PFF and nfelo point toward Philadelphia, but quoted lines differ (+4 on PFF/secondary versus +4.5 on nfelo). ETR describes McKee, not Hurts, at QB. Thursday Eagles report: Barkley limited; Goedert, DeVonta Smith and Wicks DNP. Later reports and Monday-night weather remain open.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Philadelphia Eagles +4", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/5" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:23:47Z", "name": "Eagles official Thursday injury report; later reports pending; read Oct23, exact observation time unavailable; timestamp is citation reconciliation, NOT provider freshness or a new page read", "url": "https://www.philadelphiaeagles.com/team/injury-report/" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.925 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 2.5, "odds": -108, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Tennessee at South Carolina", "id": "2026w43-cfb-tenn-scar-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 3, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. SP+ direction favors Tennessee against current underdog price. QB choice/availability is a material unresolved sensitivity (MacIntyre versus Brandon in current Connelly discussion); not a clearance.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Tennessee +2.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:41:00Z", "name": "Current Week8 SP+ grid, read Oct23 14:41UTC; provider update time unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.934 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 14.5, "odds": -107, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Massachusetts at Connecticut", "id": "2026w43-cfb-mass-conn-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-23T23:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 4, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. SP+ mean suggests a closer game than current market. Schedule discrepancy in older record remains unresolved; verify official kickoff before acting. QB/injury/weather checks incomplete. RETIRED 2026-10-24T14:42:08Z: saved scheduled kickoff has passed; no result grading. Maintenance only: current authenticated PFF/ETR access and price refresh unavailable. All prior research, quotes and source timestamps retained; no new recommendations.", "screened_at": "2026-10-24T14:42:08Z", "selection": "Massachusetts +14.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:41:00Z", "name": "Current Week8 SP+ grid, read Oct23 14:41UTC; provider update time unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.892 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": -5.5, "odds": -112, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Air Force at Wyoming", "id": "2026w43-cfb-af-wyo-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T01:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 5, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. SP+ mean favors Air Force by more than current market, but old -4.5 is gone. A mean-score gap is not cover probability. Friday night game: verify QBs, final injuries and Wyoming game-hour weather before use. RETIRED 2026-10-24T14:42:08Z: saved scheduled kickoff has passed; no result grading. Maintenance only: current authenticated PFF/ETR access and price refresh unavailable. All prior research, quotes and source timestamps retained; no new recommendations.", "screened_at": "2026-10-24T14:42:08Z", "selection": "Air Force -5.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.sportscapping.com/college-football-odds.html" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Current public SP+ Week8 observation", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "DRatings current public projection observation", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:41:00Z", "name": "Current Week8 SP+ grid, read Oct23 14:41UTC; provider update time unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.862 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": -13.5, "odds": -116, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "UL-Monroe at Troy", "id": "2026w43-cfb-ulm-troy-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T20:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 6, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. SP+ margin exceeds market, directional only. Final QB/injury/weather checks incomplete.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Troy -13.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:41:00Z", "name": "Current Week8 SP+ grid, read Oct23 14:41UTC; provider update time unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.943 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": -13.5, "odds": -106, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Boise State at Washington State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-bsu-wsu-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T22:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 7, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. SP+ margin exceeds market, directional only. Final QB/injury/weather checks incomplete.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Boise State -13.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:41:00Z", "name": "Current Week8 SP+ grid, read Oct23 14:41UTC; provider update time unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.884 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": -9.5, "odds": -113, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "UL-Lafayette at Southern Miss", "id": "2026w43-cfb-ull-usm-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T21:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 8, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. SP+ margin exceeds market, directional only. Final QB/injury/weather checks incomplete.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Louisiana -9.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:41:00Z", "name": "Current Week8 SP+ grid, read Oct23 14:41UTC; provider update time unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.934 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": -11, "odds": -107, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "West Virginia at TCU", "id": "2026w43-cfb-wvu-tcu-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 9, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. SP+ direction favors TCU but current market moved from old -9.5 to -11, reducing cushion. Final availability/weather incomplete.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "TCU -11", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.sportscapping.com/college-football-odds.html" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Current public SP+ Week8 observation", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "DRatings current public projection observation", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:41:00Z", "name": "Current Week8 SP+ grid, read Oct23 14:41UTC; provider update time unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.869 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": -2.5, "odds": -115, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons", "id": "2026w43-nfl-sf-atl-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 10, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. PFF direction favors SF; nfelo mean is at the current -2.5 market, so this is not two independent value confirmations. Secondary snapshot SF -2.5 at decimal 1.869. Evans-related uncertainty and final injury report remain unresolved.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "San Francisco 49ers -2.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.934 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 47, "odds": -107, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Duke at Virginia", "id": "2026w43-cfb-duke-uva-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-23T23:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 11, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. SP+ rounded score forecast points above current total, but score rounding and no total-distribution calibration prevent an EV estimate. Friday 7 PM ET from secondary market. Final QBs/weather unresolved. RETIRED 2026-10-24T14:42:08Z: saved scheduled kickoff has passed; no result grading. Maintenance only: current authenticated PFF/ETR access and price refresh unavailable. All prior research, quotes and source timestamps retained; no new recommendations.", "screened_at": "2026-10-24T14:42:08Z", "selection": "Over 47", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.sportscapping.com/college-football-odds.html" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Current public SP+ Week8 observation", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "DRatings current public projection observation", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:41:00Z", "name": "Current Week8 SP+ grid, read Oct23 14:41UTC; provider update time unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.943 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 1.5, "odds": -106, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens", "id": "2026w43-nfl-cin-bal-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 12, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. MODEL CONFLICT: prior Cincinnati +3 is stale. nfelo favors Cincinnati relative to +1.5, but PFF strongly favors Baltimore at -1.5. Lamar Jackson was limited with an ankle issue Thursday; final designation was blank when read. Do not average away this QB-sensitive disagreement or call either side robust. Current displayed base is the observed secondary Cincinnati +1.5 quote, not an inferred price.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Cincinnati Bengals +1.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:23:47Z", "name": "Ravens official Thursday injury report; Friday status blank on read; read Oct23, exact observation time unavailable; timestamp is citation reconciliation, NOT provider freshness or a new page read", "url": "https://www.baltimoreravens.com/team/injury-report/index-app" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.9 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 39, "odds": -111, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Miami Dolphins at New York Jets", "id": "2026w43-nfl-mia-nyj-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 13, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. CONFLICT HOLD: PFF supports over, while ETR describes slow pace. Secondary total is 39, not 39.5. Pace alone is not a total model and no combined calibrated probability is available.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Over 39", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.909 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 44.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers", "id": "2026w43-nfl-tb-car-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 14, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. CONFLICT HOLD: ETR pace/pass-volume case points upward, but current PFF direction points under. Mayfield versus backup assumptions need a fresh final starter check. No robust over or under clearance.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Over 44.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PFF displayed prop snapshot; underlying executable book not verified", "line": 1.5, "odds": -290, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:36:00Z" }, "event": "Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings", "id": "2026w43-nfl-prop-mccarthy-int-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "prop", "rank": 15, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. Displayed price falls within BozoBoyz band, but the model advantage is thin and not robust to uncertainty. This is a price-band research candidate only; no calibrated independent confirmation, final QB check or executable book quote. These two McCarthy props share game/player risk.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "J.J. McCarthy under 1.5 interceptions", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:36:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF Week7 player-prop screen, provider Oct23 10:36AM EDT; read14:40UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/player-props?weekAbbr=7" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PFF displayed prop snapshot; underlying executable book not verified", "line": 0.5, "odds": -211, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:36:00Z" }, "event": "Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings", "id": "2026w43-nfl-prop-mccarthy-td-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "prop", "rank": 16, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. Displayed price falls within BozoBoyz band, but the model advantage is thin and not robust to uncertainty. This is a price-band research candidate only; no calibrated independent confirmation, final QB check or executable book quote. These two McCarthy props share game/player risk.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "J.J. McCarthy over 0.5 passing touchdowns", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:36:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF Week7 player-prop screen, provider Oct23 10:36AM EDT; read14:40UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/player-props?weekAbbr=7" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PFF displayed prop snapshot; underlying executable book not verified", "line": 0.5, "odds": -325, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:36:00Z" }, "event": "Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions", "id": "2026w43-nfl-prop-gibbs-atd", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:25:00Z", "market": "prop", "rank": 17, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. Price is inside BozoBoyz band, but high hit probability is not value. Current model does not support a positive-value claim at -325. Retain as a hold, not a green or a confidently negative-EV red; exact book, final availability and calibration still needed.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Jahmyr Gibbs anytime touchdown", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "PFF props; displayed update Oct21 10:36AM EDT", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/player-props?weekAbbr=7" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:36:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF Week7 player-prop screen, provider Oct23 10:36AM EDT; read14:40UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/player-props?weekAbbr=7" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "Circa via SportsCapping secondary snapshot", "line": 52.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-21T14:37:00Z" }, "event": "Rice at Florida Atlantic", "id": "2026w43-cfb-rice-fau-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 18, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. No cleared bet or proven EV. Quotes are observed secondary snapshots, not executable offers; refresh exact book price, starters/injuries and game-window weather. Main lines near -110 are not Bozo-eligible at the displayed price; no alternate price is inferred. Alternatives on the same game are correlated, not independent parlay legs. Both public projections are about 54.5. An old under thesis against 58.5 is no longer supported at 52.5. This saved row is already the over, not the old under referenced in research; no direction reversal is being claimed. Prior snapshot: Over 52.5 at -118 observed 2026-10-20T14:39:00Z.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 52.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.sportscapping.com/college-football-odds.html" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Current public SP+ Week8 observation", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "DRatings current public projection observation", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.952 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 37.5, "odds": -105, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans", "id": "2026w43-nfl-cle-ten-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 19, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. Prior over is not supported by a robust PFF value signal at this price. Secondary total remains 37.5. No positive-EV claim.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Over 37.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.9 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 50, "odds": -111, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons", "id": "2026w43-nfl-sf-atl-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 20, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. PFF under direction is weak, ETR slower pace is supportive context only. Current total is 50 versus old 49.5. Roof and final availability remain unresolved.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Under 50", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.909 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 49, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens", "id": "2026w43-nfl-cin-bal-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 21, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. Old total 51 is stale. Current secondary total 49; PFF has no strong over case. Lamar’s unresolved ankle status makes the total sensitive. No robust under probability or price established.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Under 49", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.952 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 43, "odds": -105, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "New York Giants at Houston Texans", "id": "2026w43-nfl-nyg-hou-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 22, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. PFF leans over; secondary total is 43. This number difference matters, and neither is an executable account quote. Final injury/QB and roof checks incomplete.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Over 43", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -10.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Texas Tech at Cincinnati", "id": "2026w43-cfb-tt-cin-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 23, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Texas Tech -10.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Texas Tech -10.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 40.5, "odds": -105, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Miami-OH at Central Michigan", "id": "2026w43-cfb-m-oh-cmu-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T17:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 24, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 40.5 at -105 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 40.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "odds": -185, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Boston College at Georgia Tech", "id": "2026w43-cfb-bc-gt-moneyline-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 25, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Georgia Tech moneyline at -185 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Model win estimates are above this quote’s break-even where marked supportive; this is not calibrated EV or a recommendation. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Georgia Tech moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 49.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Boston College at Georgia Tech", "id": "2026w43-cfb-bc-gt-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 26, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. EVENING: prior positive third-source support no longer positive at current displayed terms. Research hold only. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 49.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 49.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -3.5, "odds": -107, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Ole Miss at Texas", "id": "2026w43-cfb-miss-tex-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 27, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Texas -3.5 at -107 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. Colin Simmons reportedly has a high-ankle sprain and is expected to miss Ole Miss, with week-to-week recovery. This is reported expected absence, not a verified final school out designation. His possible loss affects the pass-rush baseline. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: Austin campus-adjacent Saturday forecast mostly sunny, SE 5-10 mph gusting 20. No Saturday rain/storm signal. No exact evening kickoff forecast verified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Texas -3.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 4.5, "odds": -108, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "North Dakota State at New Mexico", "id": "2026w43-cfb-ndsu-unm-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T02:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 28, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. EVENING RECONCILIATION: third-source support weakened materially. Do not carry forward the earlier strength assessment. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. North Dakota State +4.5 at -108 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 10:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "North Dakota State +4.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.925 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 54.5, "odds": -108, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Army at Tulsa", "id": "2026w43-cfb-army-tlsa-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T00:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 29, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. Old under53.5 is stale. SP+ rounded scores do not support a strong under case versus current54.5. Conflict hold, not a play. RETIRED 2026-10-24T14:42:08Z: saved scheduled kickoff has passed; no result grading. Maintenance only: current authenticated PFF/ETR access and price refresh unavailable. All prior research, quotes and source timestamps retained; no new recommendations.", "screened_at": "2026-10-24T14:42:08Z", "selection": "Under 54.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:41:00Z", "name": "Current Week8 SP+ grid, read Oct23 14:41UTC; provider update time unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 50.5, "odds": -106, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "LSU at Auburn", "id": "2026w43-cfb-lsu-aub-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 30, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Under 50.5 at -106 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings does not support this side at this quote; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Under 50.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "odds": -310, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "West Virginia at TCU", "id": "2026w43-cfb-wvu-tcu-moneyline-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:00:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 31, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. TCU moneyline at -310 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings does not support this side at this quote; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Model win estimates are above this quote’s break-even where marked supportive; this is not calibrated EV or a recommendation. No material item independently verified for this event. Not screened for current injury/QB status in this ledger. Unknown, not clear. Weather: Fort Worth Saturday mostly sunny, SSE 5-10 mph gusting 25. No Saturday rain forecast. City grid, not TCU stadium; modest gusts warrant a later update but are not a verified major hazard. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "TCU moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 56.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "West Virginia at TCU", "id": "2026w43-cfb-wvu-tcu-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 32, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Under 56.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings does not support this side at this quote; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. No material item independently verified for this event. Not screened for current injury/QB status in this ledger. Unknown, not clear. Weather: Fort Worth Saturday mostly sunny, SSE 5-10 mph gusting 25. No Saturday rain forecast. City grid, not TCU stadium; modest gusts warrant a later update but are not a verified major hazard. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Under 56.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -2.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Miami-OH at Central Michigan", "id": "2026w43-cfb-m-oh-cmu-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T17:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 33, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Miami-OH -2.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings does not support this side at this quote; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Miami-OH -2.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 4.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Hawaii at Northern Illinois", "id": "2026w43-cfb-haw-niu-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 34, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. EVENING RECONCILIATION: the newly accessible comparison disagrees with this side. Keep as a conflict hold, not corroborated evidence. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Northern Illinois +4.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ does not support this side at this quote; DRatings agrees directionally; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Northern Illinois +4.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 47.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Hawaii at Northern Illinois", "id": "2026w43-cfb-haw-niu-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 35, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Under 47.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ does not support this side at this quote; DRatings agrees directionally; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Under 47.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 49.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Virginia Tech at Clemson", "id": "2026w43-cfb-vt-clem-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 36, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Under 49.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings does not support this side at this quote; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Under 49.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "odds": -325, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Iowa State at Arizona", "id": "2026w43-cfb-isu-ariz-moneyline-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:30:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 37, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Arizona moneyline at -325 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings does not support this side at this quote; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Model win estimates are above this quote’s break-even where marked supportive; this is not calibrated EV or a recommendation. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Arizona moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 49.5, "odds": -108, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "USC at Wisconsin", "id": "2026w43-cfb-usc-wis-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 38, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Under 49.5 at -108 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ does not support this side at this quote; DRatings agrees directionally; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. No material item independently verified for this event. Not screened for current injury/QB status in this ledger. Unknown, not clear. Weather: Madison Saturday partly sunny. No material rain/storm signal identified; exact kickoff wind detail unverified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Under 49.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 60.5, "odds": -105, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Utah State at Texas State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-usu-txst-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 39, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Under 60.5 at -105 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings does not support this side at this quote; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Under 60.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 6.5, "odds": -105, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Houston at Utah", "id": "2026w43-cfb-hou-utah-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T02:15:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 40, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Houston +6.5 at -105 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ does not support this side at this quote; DRatings agrees directionally; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. No material item independently verified for this event. Not screened for current injury/QB status in this ledger. Unknown, not clear. Weather: Salt Lake city forecast places showers/thunder Thursday-Friday, then mostly sunny Saturday and mostly clear Saturday night. Exact stadium-elevation grid not verified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Houston +6.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 49.5, "odds": -105, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Massachusetts at Connecticut", "id": "2026w43-cfb-mass-conn-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-23T23:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 41, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. SCHEDULE HOLD: evening comparison lists 6 PM ET while the morning packet says 7 PM ET. Verify the official kickoff before use. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 49.5 at -105 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Fri Oct 23, 7:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay. RETIRED 2026-10-24T14:42:08Z: saved scheduled kickoff has passed; no result grading. Maintenance only: current authenticated PFF/ETR access and price refresh unavailable. All prior research, quotes and source timestamps retained; no new recommendations.", "screened_at": "2026-10-24T14:42:08Z", "selection": "Over 49.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 1.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Army at Tulsa", "id": "2026w43-cfb-army-tlsa-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T00:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 42, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Army +1.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Fri Oct 23, 8:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay. RETIRED 2026-10-24T14:42:08Z: saved scheduled kickoff has passed; no result grading. Maintenance only: current authenticated PFF/ETR access and price refresh unavailable. All prior research, quotes and source timestamps retained; no new recommendations.", "screened_at": "2026-10-24T14:42:08Z", "selection": "Army +1.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "odds": -205, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Air Force at Wyoming", "id": "2026w43-cfb-af-wyo-moneyline-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T01:00:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 43, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Air Force moneyline at -205 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Fri Oct 23, 9:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Model win estimates are above this quote’s break-even where marked supportive; this is not calibrated EV or a recommendation. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay. RETIRED 2026-10-24T14:42:08Z: saved scheduled kickoff has passed; no result grading. Maintenance only: current authenticated PFF/ETR access and price refresh unavailable. All prior research, quotes and source timestamps retained; no new recommendations.", "screened_at": "2026-10-24T14:42:08Z", "selection": "Air Force moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -19.5, "odds": -108, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "California at SMU", "id": "2026w43-cfb-cal-smu-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 44, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. SMU -19.5 at -108 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. No material item independently verified for this event. Not screened for current injury/QB status in this ledger. Unknown, not clear. Weather: Dallas Saturday mostly sunny, SSE 5-10 mph gusting 20. No current material rain/storm signal. City grid, not SMU stadium; do not blanket-apply WPC regional western-Texas rain risk. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "SMU -19.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 50.5, "odds": -118, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Pittsburgh at Miami-FL", "id": "2026w43-cfb-pitt-mia-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 45, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 50.5 at -118 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. Heintschel ACL injury is season-ending, not questionable. Geriner is the replacement baseline; do not count this Oct. 5 news as a fresh Week 8 injury. Confirmed earlier-season quarterback baseline verified against current matchup. Weather: Strong South Florida regional wind/rain watch. Nearby Miramar forecasts Saturday NE 16-22 mph gusting 36 with 70% showers/possible thunder. Miami AFD forecasts possible weekend gusts 30-40 mph, especially coast; WPC has southeast Florida Saturday excessive-rainfall Slight Risk. Exact Hard Rock/Miami Gardens stadium grid could not be reliably retrieved; these are not stadium-specific or kickoff-hour values. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 50.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 56.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Texas Tech at Cincinnati", "id": "2026w43-cfb-tt-cin-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 46, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 56.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 56.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 45.5, "odds": -108, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Western Michigan at Toledo", "id": "2026w43-cfb-wmu-tol-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 47, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 45.5 at -108 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 45.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -2.5, "odds": -130, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Akron at Kent State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-akr-kent-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T17:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 48, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Kent State -2.5 at -130 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Kent State -2.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 46.5, "odds": -108, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Akron at Kent State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-akr-kent-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T17:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 49, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 46.5 at -108 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 46.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -2.5, "odds": -129, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Baylor at Kansas", "id": "2026w43-cfb-bay-ku-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T17:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 50, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Baylor -2.5 at -129 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. No material item independently verified for this event. Not screened for current injury/QB status in this ledger. Unknown, not clear. Weather: Lawrence Saturday mostly sunny; south 5-10 mph gusting 20. No current Saturday heavy-rain/storm signal. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Baylor -2.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -3.5, "odds": -120, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Boston College at Georgia Tech", "id": "2026w43-cfb-bc-gt-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 51, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Georgia Tech -3.5 at -120 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Georgia Tech -3.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 44.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Bowling Green at Buffalo", "id": "2026w43-cfb-bgsu-buff-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 52, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 44.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 44.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 44.5, "odds": -115, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Michigan State at UCLA", "id": "2026w43-cfb-msu-ucla-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 53, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 44.5 at -115 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. Bob Chesney confirmed Oct. 19 that Nico Iamaleava needs knee surgery and is out for the season. Ty Dieffenbach already made his first FBS start against Wisconsin Oct. 17. Use the replacement-QB baseline, not a fresh change from healthy Nico this weekend. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: No venue/game-window weather forecast was verified for this current event in this research. National/regional outlook alone is not a venue-level all-clear. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 44.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 2.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "North Texas at Navy", "id": "2026w43-cfb-unt-navy-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 54, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Navy +2.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Navy +2.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 51.5, "odds": -118, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Sacramento State at Ball State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-sac-ball-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 55, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Under 51.5 at -118 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Under 51.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 50.5, "odds": -115, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Tennessee at South Carolina", "id": "2026w43-cfb-tenn-scar-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 56, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 50.5 at -115 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 50.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 50.5, "odds": -108, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Texas A&M at Alabama", "id": "2026w43-cfb-txam-bama-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 57, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 50.5 at -108 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. Ryan Coleman-Williams remained uncertain for Texas A&M per DeBoer's Monday comments; a season-ending claim is not supported. Racin Delgatty and Terrance Green were week-to-week; Zabien Brown was being evaluated and E.J. Crowell was unlikely to practice early in the week. This is a material availability cluster, not confirmed absences for all listed players. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: No venue/game-window weather forecast was verified for this current event in this research. National/regional outlook alone is not a venue-level all-clear. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 50.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 48.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Eastern Michigan at Ohio", "id": "2026w43-cfb-emu-ohio-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T20:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 58, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 48.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 48.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 12.5, "odds": -112, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech", "id": "2026w43-cfb-odu-lat-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T21:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 59, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Old Dominion +12.5 at -112 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Old Dominion +12.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 46.5, "odds": -108, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech", "id": "2026w43-cfb-odu-lat-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T21:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 60, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 46.5 at -108 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 46.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 51.5, "odds": -102, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Boise State at Washington State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-bsu-wsu-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T22:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 61, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 51.5 at -102 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 51.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 56.5, "odds": -119, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Colorado at Oklahoma State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-colo-okst-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 62, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Under 56.5 at -119 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. No material item independently verified for this event. Not screened for current injury/QB status in this ledger. Unknown, not clear. Weather: Stillwater Saturday partly sunny; 20% shower chance begins only after 01:00 Saturday night. No current Saturday game-window heavy-rain signal established. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Under 56.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 2.5, "odds": -112, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Georgia State at Arkansas State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-gast-arst-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 63, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Arkansas State +2.5 at -112 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Arkansas State +2.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 58.5, "odds": -118, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Georgia State at Arkansas State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-gast-arst-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 64, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 58.5 at -118 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 58.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "odds": -162, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Ole Miss at Texas", "id": "2026w43-cfb-miss-tex-moneyline-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:30:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 65, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Texas moneyline at -162 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Model win estimates are above this quote’s break-even where marked supportive; this is not calibrated EV or a recommendation. Colin Simmons reportedly has a high-ankle sprain and is expected to miss Ole Miss, with week-to-week recovery. This is reported expected absence, not a verified final school out designation. His possible loss affects the pass-rush baseline. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: Austin campus-adjacent Saturday forecast mostly sunny, SE 5-10 mph gusting 20. No Saturday rain/storm signal. No exact evening kickoff forecast verified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Texas moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -2.5, "odds": -132, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "USC at Wisconsin", "id": "2026w43-cfb-usc-wis-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 66, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. USC -2.5 at -132 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. No material item independently verified for this event. Not screened for current injury/QB status in this ledger. Unknown, not clear. Weather: Madison Saturday partly sunny. No material rain/storm signal identified; exact kickoff wind detail unverified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "USC -2.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -12.5, "odds": -112, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Utah State at Texas State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-usu-txst-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 67, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Texas State -12.5 at -112 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Texas State -12.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 10.5, "odds": -105, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Vanderbilt at Kentucky", "id": "2026w43-cfb-van-uk-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 68, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Vanderbilt +10.5 at -105 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Vanderbilt +10.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 51.5, "odds": -115, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Vanderbilt at Kentucky", "id": "2026w43-cfb-van-uk-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 69, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 51.5 at -115 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 51.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 41.5, "odds": -108, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "North Dakota State at New Mexico", "id": "2026w43-cfb-ndsu-unm-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T02:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 70, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 41.5 at -108 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 10:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 41.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 56.5, "odds": -115, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Houston at Utah", "id": "2026w43-cfb-hou-utah-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T02:15:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 71, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 56.5 at -115 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 10:15 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. No material item independently verified for this event. Not screened for current injury/QB status in this ledger. Unknown, not clear. Weather: Salt Lake city forecast places showers/thunder Thursday-Friday, then mostly sunny Saturday and mostly clear Saturday night. Exact stadium-elevation grid not verified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 56.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -7.5, "odds": -105, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Indiana at Michigan", "id": "2026w43-cfb-ind-mich-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 72, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Indiana -7.5 at -105 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB HOLD: Tommy Carr replaced Bryce Underwood for the second half against Penn State. On Oct. 19 Kyle Whittingham declined to name the Indiana starter, saying a plan existed. This is a personnel/competition uncertainty, not a verified Underwood injury. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: Ann Arbor Saturday sunny. No material rain/storm signal identified; exact kickoff wind detail unverified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Indiana -7.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 41.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Indiana at Michigan", "id": "2026w43-cfb-ind-mich-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 73, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 41.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB HOLD: Tommy Carr replaced Bryce Underwood for the second half against Penn State. On Oct. 19 Kyle Whittingham declined to name the Indiana starter, saying a plan existed. This is a personnel/competition uncertainty, not a verified Underwood injury. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: Ann Arbor Saturday sunny. No material rain/storm signal identified; exact kickoff wind detail unverified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 41.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -8.5, "odds": -112, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Oregon at Illinois", "id": "2026w43-cfb-ore-ill-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 74, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Oregon -8.5 at -112 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB HOLD: Dante Moore missed the Nebraska game and Oregon says his status going forward remains uncertain. Brock Thomas started Nebraska; Dylan Raiola entered in the fourth quarter. No Illinois starter declaration verified. Do not label Raiola confirmed QB1 or Moore definitively out this week. Katin Houser will miss extended time after breaking his hand Oct. 10. Michael Clayton II relieved him; Illinois enters this matchup with a changed quarterback baseline. This is not merely a questionable listing for Houser. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: Champaign Saturday mostly sunny. No material rain/storm signal identified; exact kickoff wind detail unverified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Oregon -8.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 50.5, "odds": -112, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Oregon at Illinois", "id": "2026w43-cfb-ore-ill-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 75, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 50.5 at -112 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB HOLD: Dante Moore missed the Nebraska game and Oregon says his status going forward remains uncertain. Brock Thomas started Nebraska; Dylan Raiola entered in the fourth quarter. No Illinois starter declaration verified. Do not label Raiola confirmed QB1 or Moore definitively out this week. Katin Houser will miss extended time after breaking his hand Oct. 10. Michael Clayton II relieved him; Illinois enters this matchup with a changed quarterback baseline. This is not merely a questionable listing for Houser. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: Champaign Saturday mostly sunny. No material rain/storm signal identified; exact kickoff wind detail unverified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 50.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "odds": -258, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "BYU at UCF", "id": "2026w43-cfb-byu-ucf-moneyline-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 76, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. BYU moneyline at -258 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Model win estimates are above this quote’s break-even where marked supportive; this is not calibrated EV or a recommendation. QB HOLD: Alonza Barnett III is progressing but Scott Frost had not decided or cleared his return on Oct. 19. Frost specifically required adequate mobility and ability to protect himself. Keyone Jenkins is the recent replacement. Barnett returning is a scenario, not a confirmed upgrade. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: Orlando city Saturday NE 15-25 mph gusting 35; 30% showers after 14:00. Saturday night NE 15-20 gusting 30. Nearby Oviedo older forecast corroborates regional Saturday gusts 35. Exact UCF stadium grid/game-hour impact not verified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "BYU moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -6.5, "odds": -115, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "BYU at UCF", "id": "2026w43-cfb-byu-ucf-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 77, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. BYU -6.5 at -115 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB HOLD: Alonza Barnett III is progressing but Scott Frost had not decided or cleared his return on Oct. 19. Frost specifically required adequate mobility and ability to protect himself. Keyone Jenkins is the recent replacement. Barnett returning is a scenario, not a confirmed upgrade. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: Orlando city Saturday NE 15-25 mph gusting 35; 30% showers after 14:00. Saturday night NE 15-20 gusting 30. Nearby Oviedo older forecast corroborates regional Saturday gusts 35. Exact UCF stadium grid/game-hour impact not verified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "BYU -6.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 43.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "BYU at UCF", "id": "2026w43-cfb-byu-ucf-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 78, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. EVENING: prior positive third-source support no longer positive at current displayed terms. Research hold only. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 43.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB HOLD: Alonza Barnett III is progressing but Scott Frost had not decided or cleared his return on Oct. 19. Frost specifically required adequate mobility and ability to protect himself. Keyone Jenkins is the recent replacement. Barnett returning is a scenario, not a confirmed upgrade. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: Orlando city Saturday NE 15-25 mph gusting 35; 30% showers after 14:00. Saturday night NE 15-20 gusting 30. Nearby Oviedo older forecast corroborates regional Saturday gusts 35. Exact UCF stadium grid/game-hour impact not verified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 43.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -6.5, "odds": -124, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Iowa at Minnesota", "id": "2026w43-cfb-iowa-minn-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 79, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Iowa -6.5 at -124 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB HOLD: Hank Brown started the first five games, then missed Washington; Jeremy Hecklinski started that game. Tim Lester said Oct. 13 that Brown was back throwing but not fully practicing and both quarterbacks could take meaningful second-half-season snaps. Oct. 19 notes do not settle this week's starter. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: Lesser wind/showers watch: Minneapolis Saturday south near 15 mph gusting 25, 30% showers after 13:00; 40% Saturday night. NWS regional discussion expects generally light frontal rainfall, most locations under 0.25 inch. Not a severe/heavy-rain flag. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Iowa -6.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 4.5, "odds": -118, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Oklahoma at Mississippi State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-okla-mst-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 80, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Mississippi State +4.5 at -118 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB HOLD: Jeff Lebby described Kamario Taylor as day-to-day on Oct. 19, with recovery still incomplete. Taylor missed LSU; Parker Puckett made his first start. The matchup QB situation remains unresolved; the earlier note had a team-label inconsistency, so do not infer a confirmed starter or availability. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: No venue/game-window weather forecast was verified for this current event in this research. National/regional outlook alone is not a venue-level all-clear. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Mississippi State +4.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 44.5, "odds": -112, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Oklahoma at Mississippi State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-okla-mst-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 81, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 44.5 at -112 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB HOLD: Jeff Lebby described Kamario Taylor as day-to-day on Oct. 19, with recovery still incomplete. Taylor missed LSU; Parker Puckett made his first start. The matchup QB situation remains unresolved; the earlier note had a team-label inconsistency, so do not infer a confirmed starter or availability. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: No venue/game-window weather forecast was verified for this current event in this research. National/regional outlook alone is not a venue-level all-clear. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 44.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 56.5, "odds": -105, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Kansas State at Arizona State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-ksu-asu-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T19:45:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 82, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Under 56.5 at -105 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 3:45 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Mean-score direction is not EV. No material item independently verified for this event. Not screened for current injury/QB status in this ledger. Unknown, not clear. Weather: Tempe Oct 19 forecast has Saturday sunny with wind near 5 mph, Saturday night mostly clear. SPC regional isolated severe-storm discussion does not establish a Tempe game threat. Forecast predates Oct 20 national outlook; recheck timing. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Under 56.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "odds": -410, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "UL-Lafayette at Southern Miss", "id": "2026w43-cfb-ull-usm-moneyline-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T21:00:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 83, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. UL-Lafayette moneyline at -410 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Model win estimates are above this quote’s break-even where marked supportive; this is not calibrated EV or a recommendation. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "UL-Lafayette moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 52.5, "odds": -112, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "UL-Lafayette at Southern Miss", "id": "2026w43-cfb-ull-usm-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T21:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 84, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 52.5 at -112 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 52.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "odds": -105, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "San Diego State at Colorado State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-sdsu-csu-moneyline-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T22:30:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 85, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Colorado State moneyline at -105 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Model win estimates are above this quote’s break-even where marked supportive; this is not calibrated EV or a recommendation. QB HOLD: Jayden Denegal left the Fresno State game; Stone Saunders replaced him. Sean Lewis called Denegal day-to-day on Oct. 19 and said further testing was planned. His availability is not resolved, and an exact injury diagnosis was not established by the official transcript. Jim Mora named Hauss Hejny starter against San Diego State after his hamstring-related absence, but explicitly conditioned playing on physical readiness. Jackson Farrar started the previous three games. This is a potential return with a game-day readiness condition. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: No venue/game-window weather forecast was verified for this current event in this research. National/regional outlook alone is not a venue-level all-clear. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Colorado State moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 1.5, "odds": -115, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "San Diego State at Colorado State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-sdsu-csu-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T22:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 86, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Colorado State +1.5 at -115 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB HOLD: Jayden Denegal left the Fresno State game; Stone Saunders replaced him. Sean Lewis called Denegal day-to-day on Oct. 19 and said further testing was planned. His availability is not resolved, and an exact injury diagnosis was not established by the official transcript. Jim Mora named Hauss Hejny starter against San Diego State after his hamstring-related absence, but explicitly conditioned playing on physical readiness. Jackson Farrar started the previous three games. This is a potential return with a game-day readiness condition. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: No venue/game-window weather forecast was verified for this current event in this research. National/regional outlook alone is not a venue-level all-clear. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Colorado State +1.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 63.5, "odds": -112, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "San Diego State at Colorado State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-sdsu-csu-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T22:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 87, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Under 63.5 at -112 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 6:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB HOLD: Jayden Denegal left the Fresno State game; Stone Saunders replaced him. Sean Lewis called Denegal day-to-day on Oct. 19 and said further testing was planned. His availability is not resolved, and an exact injury diagnosis was not established by the official transcript. Jim Mora named Hauss Hejny starter against San Diego State after his hamstring-related absence, but explicitly conditioned playing on physical readiness. Jackson Farrar started the previous three games. This is a potential return with a game-day readiness condition. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: No venue/game-window weather forecast was verified for this current event in this research. National/regional outlook alone is not a venue-level all-clear. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Under 63.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -7.5, "odds": -112, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Syracuse at North Carolina", "id": "2026w43-cfb-syr-unc-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 88, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. North Carolina -7.5 at -112 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB HOLD: Syracuse officially describes an injury-disrupted quarterback room with three different starters. Malachi Nelson played the Louisville game except for one Danny Lauter snap. Steve Angeli and Amari Odom's Week 8 return status was not established; do not use the erroneous name Aaron Odom or assume Lauter is current QB1. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: No venue/game-window weather forecast was verified for this current event in this research. National/regional outlook alone is not a venue-level all-clear. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "North Carolina -7.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 46.5, "odds": -112, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Syracuse at North Carolina", "id": "2026w43-cfb-syr-unc-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T23:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 89, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 46.5 at -112 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB HOLD: Syracuse officially describes an injury-disrupted quarterback room with three different starters. Malachi Nelson played the Louisville game except for one Danny Lauter snap. Steve Angeli and Amari Odom's Week 8 return status was not established; do not use the erroneous name Aaron Odom or assume Lauter is current QB1. Other player availability not fully verified. Weather: No venue/game-window weather forecast was verified for this current event in this research. National/regional outlook alone is not a venue-level all-clear. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 46.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "odds": -142, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "UTSA at Tulane", "id": "2026w43-cfb-utsa-tul-moneyline-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T00:00:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 90, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. UTSA moneyline at -142 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 8:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; Morning third-source check superseded; no automatic price transfer/clearance. Model win estimates are above this quote’s break-even where marked supportive; this is not calibrated EV or a recommendation. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "UTSA moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -2.5, "odds": -112, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "UTSA at Tulane", "id": "2026w43-cfb-utsa-tul-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T00:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 91, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. UTSA -2.5 at -112 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 8:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "UTSA -2.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 51.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "UTSA at Tulane", "id": "2026w43-cfb-utsa-tul-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T00:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 92, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Over 51.5 at -110 DraftKings, observed via Covers Oct 20 10:39 ET, not a direct account/executable quote. Kickoff Sat Oct 24, 8:00 PM ET; Covers/SP+ agree. SP+ agrees directionally; DRatings agrees directionally; authenticated Evening source reconciliation does not independently establish executable value. Mean-score direction is not EV. QB identities, material injuries and game-window weather/roof status not independently cleared for this matchup. Unknown is not a clean bill of health. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Over 51.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "odds": -180, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints (Paris, neutral site)", "id": "2026w43-nfl-pit-no-moneyline-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T13:30:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 93, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Pittsburgh Steelers moneyline at -180 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model win estimate exceeds the quote’s break-even, but calibration is unverified and probability is not value. Model QB labels: Aaron Rodgers / Tyler Shough. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. Pittman and Wilson remain on injured reserve, unavailable for Week 7. Nonthrowing-hand issue did not prevent Week 6 participation; coach said he could do everything. No newly verified starting-QB change. Left Week 6 with a knee injury; Week 7 status unverified. Still on IR in Monday league update; Paris travel does not verify activation. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Neutral-site Saint-Denis Sunday forecast unverified: accessible Meteo-France text ends Friday. Friday local gusts of 85 km/h are not Sunday game evidence. Do not treat the Saints home designation as an indoor New Orleans game. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Pittsburgh Steelers moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "line": -3.5, "odds": -102, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints (Paris, neutral site)", "id": "2026w43-nfl-pit-no-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T13:30:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 94, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 at -102 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model mean-score direction favors this side; it is not cover probability or EV and small gaps may be noise. Model QB labels: Aaron Rodgers / Tyler Shough. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. Pittman and Wilson remain on injured reserve, unavailable for Week 7. Nonthrowing-hand issue did not prevent Week 6 participation; coach said he could do everything. No newly verified starting-QB change. Left Week 6 with a knee injury; Week 7 status unverified. Still on IR in Monday league update; Paris travel does not verify activation. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Neutral-site Saint-Denis Sunday forecast unverified: accessible Meteo-France text ends Friday. Friday local gusts of 85 km/h are not Sunday game evidence. Do not treat the Saints home designation as an indoor New Orleans game. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-25T14:42:50.489Z", "selection": "Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "odds": -130, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans", "id": "2026w43-nfl-cle-ten-moneyline-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 95, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Cleveland Browns moneyline at -130 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model win estimate exceeds the quote’s break-even, but calibration is unverified and probability is not value. Model QB labels: Deshaun Watson / Cam Ward. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. Left Sunday for concussion evaluation; no Week 7 clearance verified. Week 6 ankle injury; Week 7 status unverified. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Sunday sunny/mostly sunny with no rain signal in the verified daily forecast. Extended wind detail is incomplete; this does not establish zero wind or a kickoff-hour all-clear. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z", "selection": "Cleveland Browns moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "line": -1.5, "odds": -115, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans", "id": "2026w43-nfl-cle-ten-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 96, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Cleveland Browns -1.5 at -115 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model mean-score direction favors this side; it is not cover probability or EV and small gaps may be noise. Model QB labels: Deshaun Watson / Cam Ward. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. Left Sunday for concussion evaluation; no Week 7 clearance verified. Week 6 ankle injury; Week 7 status unverified. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Sunday sunny/mostly sunny with no rain signal in the verified daily forecast. Extended wind detail is incomplete; this does not establish zero wind or a kickoff-hour all-clear. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z", "selection": "Cleveland Browns -1.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.934 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 41.5, "odds": -107, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings", "id": "2026w43-nfl-ind-min-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 97, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. PFF over signal is thin; secondary total 41.5. Indoor game removes outdoor-weather exposure, not player/injury uncertainty.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Over 41.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "line": 4.5, "odds": -102, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Miami Dolphins at New York Jets", "id": "2026w43-nfl-mia-nyj-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 98, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Miami Dolphins +4.5 at -102 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model mean-score direction favors this side; it is not cover probability or EV and small gaps may be noise. Model QB labels: Malik Willis / Geno Smith. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. Coach described no-throwing bye practice as rest and expected normal work, not a new confirmed QB injury absence. Setback before previous game; Wednesday reassessment pending. Week 6 thigh injury; Week 7 status unverified. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Sunday sunny/mostly sunny with no rain signal in the verified daily forecast. Extended wind detail is incomplete; this does not establish zero wind or a kickoff-hour all-clear. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z", "selection": "Miami Dolphins +4.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "odds": -192, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons", "id": "2026w43-nfl-sf-atl-moneyline-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 99, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. San Francisco 49ers moneyline at -192 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model win estimate exceeds the quote’s break-even, but calibration is unverified and probability is not value. Model QB labels: Brock Purdy / Michael Penix. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. Achilles soreness recurred Monday; coach hopeful for Week 7, not cleared. Both were ruled out for Week 6 (hamstring; knee/calf respectively). Do not roll those labels forward as Week 7 final designations. Positive neck-test news after Sunday injury, but no Week 7 clearance verified. Week 6 arm injury; Week 7 status unverified. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Indoor/retractable-roof matchup was not weather-screened. Roof operation/status and venue-specific weather exposure were not verified in this research; no no-hazard inference. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z", "selection": "San Francisco 49ers moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "odds": -238, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals", "id": "2026w43-nfl-den-ari-moneyline-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:05:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 100, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Denver Broncos moneyline at -238 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model win estimate exceeds the quote’s break-even, but calibration is unverified and probability is not value. Model QB labels: Bo Nix / Jacoby Brissett. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. Missed Week 6 with ankle injury; current official team account confirms prior absence but not Week 7 status. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Indoor/retractable-roof matchup was not weather-screened. Roof operation/status and venue-specific weather exposure were not verified in this research; no no-hazard inference. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z", "selection": "Denver Broncos moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "line": -4.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals", "id": "2026w43-nfl-den-ari-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:05:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 101, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Denver Broncos -4.5 at -110 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model mean-score direction favors this side; it is not cover probability or EV and small gaps may be noise. Model QB labels: Bo Nix / Jacoby Brissett. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. Missed Week 6 with ankle injury; current official team account confirms prior absence but not Week 7 status. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Indoor/retractable-roof matchup was not weather-screened. Roof operation/status and venue-specific weather exposure were not verified in this research; no no-hazard inference. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z", "selection": "Denver Broncos -4.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.961 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 43, "odds": -104, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals", "id": "2026w43-nfl-den-ari-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:05:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 102, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. PFF offers no robust total edge; secondary total 43 differs from PFF 43.5. Roof status and final personnel unverified.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Over 43", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "odds": -166, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions", "id": "2026w43-nfl-gb-det-moneyline-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:25:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 103, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Detroit Lions moneyline at -166 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model win estimate exceeds the quote’s break-even, but calibration is unverified and probability is not value. Model QB labels: Jordan Love / Jared Goff. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. Eligible after exempt list; full Wednesday practice planned, but game status and workload remain TBD. ACL recovery: no practice return this week. Returned to practice, targeting Sunday. Branch full snap load not expected; final activation/clearance not established. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Indoor/retractable-roof matchup was not weather-screened. Roof operation/status and venue-specific weather exposure were not verified in this research; no no-hazard inference. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z", "selection": "Detroit Lions moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "line": -3, "odds": -105, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions", "id": "2026w43-nfl-gb-det-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:25:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 104, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Detroit Lions -3 at -105 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model mean-score direction favors this side; it is not cover probability or EV and small gaps may be noise. Model QB labels: Jordan Love / Jared Goff. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. Eligible after exempt list; full Wednesday practice planned, but game status and workload remain TBD. ACL recovery: no practice return this week. Returned to practice, targeting Sunday. Branch full snap load not expected; final activation/clearance not established. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Indoor/retractable-roof matchup was not weather-screened. Roof operation/status and venue-specific weather exposure were not verified in this research; no no-hazard inference. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z", "selection": "Detroit Lions -3", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.943 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 53.5, "odds": -106, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions", "id": "2026w43-nfl-gb-det-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:25:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 105, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. PFF under signal is thin and ETR describes favorable offensive pace. Conflict hold. Fixed indoor venue; final personnel still unresolved.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Under 53.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "odds": -225, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders", "id": "2026w43-nfl-lar-lv-moneyline-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:25:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 106, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Los Angeles Rams moneyline at -225 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model win estimate exceeds the quote’s break-even, but calibration is unverified and probability is not value. Model QB labels: Matthew Stafford / Kirk Cousins. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. Grupe ACL and Ford ruptured triceps end seasons; Adams ruptured hamstring projected 6–10 weeks; Turner groin strain expected to miss weeks, likely IR. Groin improving; game status to be determined later in week. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Indoor/retractable-roof matchup was not weather-screened. Roof operation/status and venue-specific weather exposure were not verified in this research; no no-hazard inference. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z", "selection": "Los Angeles Rams moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "line": -4.5, "odds": -105, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders", "id": "2026w43-nfl-lar-lv-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:25:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 107, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Los Angeles Rams -4.5 at -105 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model mean-score direction favors this side; it is not cover probability or EV and small gaps may be noise. Model QB labels: Matthew Stafford / Kirk Cousins. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. Grupe ACL and Ford ruptured triceps end seasons; Adams ruptured hamstring projected 6–10 weeks; Turner groin strain expected to miss weeks, likely IR. Groin improving; game status to be determined later in week. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Indoor/retractable-roof matchup was not weather-screened. Roof operation/status and venue-specific weather exposure were not verified in this research; no no-hazard inference. Not weather-screened HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z", "selection": "Los Angeles Rams -4.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.9 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 48.5, "odds": -111, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders", "id": "2026w43-nfl-lar-lv-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T20:25:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 108, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. No robust PFF under value signal, and ETR describes favorable offensive pace. Conflict hold. Fixed indoor venue, final personnel unresolved.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Under 48.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "odds": -135, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks", "id": "2026w43-nfl-kc-sea-moneyline-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-26T00:20:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 109, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Seattle Seahawks moneyline at -135 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model win estimate exceeds the quote’s break-even, but calibration is unverified and probability is not value. Model QB labels: Patrick Mahomes / Sam Darnold. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. Left Sunday with concussion; Week 7 clearance unverified. Bradford practiced Monday and could return with good week. Charbonnet ACL recovery could permit first 2026 appearance, not confirmed. Shoulder injury expected to require prolonged absence; IR decision not final in Monday account. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Sunday and Sunday-night rain chance. NWS stresses low weekend confidence: leading front timing is Saturday night/Sunday morning, with drying Monday. Rain timing at kickoff and material wind hazard are unverified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z", "selection": "Seattle Seahawks moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "line": -2.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks", "id": "2026w43-nfl-kc-sea-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-26T00:20:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 110, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Seattle Seahawks -2.5 at -110 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model mean-score direction favors this side; it is not cover probability or EV and small gaps may be noise. Model QB labels: Patrick Mahomes / Sam Darnold. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. Left Sunday with concussion; Week 7 clearance unverified. Bradford practiced Monday and could return with good week. Charbonnet ACL recovery could permit first 2026 appearance, not confirmed. Shoulder injury expected to require prolonged absence; IR decision not final in Monday account. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Sunday and Sunday-night rain chance. NWS stresses low weekend confidence: leading front timing is Saturday night/Sunday morning, with drying Monday. Rain timing at kickoff and material wind hazard are unverified. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z", "selection": "Seattle Seahawks -2.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.9 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 42.5, "odds": -111, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks", "id": "2026w43-nfl-kc-sea-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-26T00:20:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 111, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. PFF over signal is modest, not calibrated cross-model consensus. Seattle rain is possible in a daily forecast; game-window wind/rain is not cleared.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Over 42.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.961 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": -10.5, "odds": -104, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "New York Giants at Houston Texans", "id": "2026w43-nfl-nyg-hou-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 112, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. DOWNGRADED historical Houston side: PFF favors the opposite side, Giants +10.5. nfelo is approximately at the market. Retained as a conflict hold, not a recommendation. Roof and final injury/QB status unverified.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Houston Texans -10.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "odds": -192, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers", "id": "2026w43-nfl-tb-car-moneyline-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 113, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Carolina Panthers moneyline at -192 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model win estimate exceeds the quote’s break-even, but calibration is unverified and probability is not value. Model QB labels: Jalon Daniels / Bryce Young. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. QB HOLD: Mayfield throwing-thumb dislocation: first practice expected Wednesday, grip and passing still need evaluation. Team preparing both quarterbacks. No Sunday starter confirmed. Moton returned and played every offensive snap Sunday. Freeling knee return still needs a physical-readiness check. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Sunday sunny/mostly sunny with no rain signal in the verified daily forecast. Extended wind detail is incomplete; this does not establish zero wind or a kickoff-hour all-clear. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z", "selection": "Carolina Panthers moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "line": -3.5, "odds": -108, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers", "id": "2026w43-nfl-tb-car-spread-home", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T17:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 114, "reason": "HISTORICAL HOLD: no Oct23 revalidation; old quotes/news follow. CARRY-FORWARD HOLD, not freshly verified. Reviewed23:45UTC. Book/model/news/weather observations retain their morning timestamps; not live rechecks. YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD. Carolina Panthers -3.5 at -108 DraftKings Network, observed Oct 20 10:48 ET, not account/location executable. Kickoff Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET; official NFL schedule/DK/model checked. DRatings single-model mean-score direction favors this side; it is not cover probability or EV and small gaps may be noise. Model QB labels: Jalon Daniels / Bryce Young. Labels are assumptions, not verified final starter status. QB HOLD: Mayfield throwing-thumb dislocation: first practice expected Wednesday, grip and passing still need evaluation. Team preparing both quarterbacks. No Sunday starter confirmed. Moton returned and played every offensive snap Sunday. Freeling knee return still needs a physical-readiness check. Screened official team/league Monday updates and Week 6 injury reports; Tuesday snapshot, not final Week 7 injury report. Weather: Sunday sunny/mostly sunny with no rain signal in the verified daily forecast. Extended wind detail is incomplete; this does not establish zero wind or a kickoff-hour all-clear. Exact game-hour weather unverified. HOLD: price, QB/injury, weather and EV not fully cleared. Props accessible; none cleared/added. Correlated alternatives, not a parlay.", "screened_at": "2026-10-20T23:45:00Z", "selection": "Carolina Panthers -3.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/4" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot; decimal 1.925 converted/rounded; not executable", "line": 44, "odds": -108, "quoted_at": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z" }, "event": "Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles", "id": "2026w43-nfl-dal-phi-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-27T00:15:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 115, "reason": "YELLOW / RESEARCH HOLD, not a cleared or executable bet. BozoBoyz requires -200 to -500; no verified alternate ladder, and a main-line edge cannot be transferred to an alternate price. Model means are not cover probabilities or guaranteed EV. Final starters/inactives and kickoff-hour weather/roof status must still be checked unless explicitly stated. Same-game alternatives are correlated, not independent legs. ETR pace/offense context is upward; PFF total signal is near neutral. Secondary total 44 differs. Monday final availability and kickoff-hour weather remain unresolved.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Over 44", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/upcoming/5" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:37:00Z", "name": "Authenticated PFF game screen, read Oct23 14:37UTC; provider refresh time not shown; original synthesis only", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:39:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct22 Snaps and Pace, authenticated article read Oct23 14:39UTC; original synthesis", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/thormans-snaps-and-pace-week-7-7/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T15:14:00Z", "name": "nfelo current Week7 screen rechecked Oct23 15:14UTC; model update time not shown", "url": "https://www.nfeloapp.com/games/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-23T14:15:00Z", "name": "PinnOdds secondary Pinnacle snapshot Oct23 14:15UTC, rechecked 15:14UTC; not affiliated with Pinnacle, not executable", "url": "https://pinnodds.com/pinnacle-odds/nfl" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "hold", "quote_state": "Started / archived" }, { "base": { "book": "Circa via SportsCapping secondary snapshot", "line": -10, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-21T14:37:00Z" }, "event": "Liberty at Kennesaw State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-lib-kenn-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-22T23:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 116, "reason": "RETIRED Oct23 15:18UTC: scheduled kickoff passed; not an active research candidate and not result grading. Original quote and source timestamps retained. Full previous research remains unchanged in the private menu.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Liberty -10", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.sportscapping.com/college-football-odds.html" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Current public SP+ Week8 observation", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "DRatings current public projection observation", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "Circa via SportsCapping secondary snapshot", "line": 45, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-21T14:37:00Z" }, "event": "New Mexico State at Sam Houston", "id": "2026w43-cfb-nmsu-shsu-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-22T00:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 117, "reason": "RETIRED Oct23 15:18UTC: scheduled kickoff passed; not an active research candidate and not result grading. Original quote and source timestamps retained. Full previous research remains unchanged in the private menu.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Over 45", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.sportscapping.com/college-football-odds.html" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Current public SP+ Week8 observation", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "DRatings current public projection observation", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DRatings unnamed-book quote; book not verified", "odds": -425, "quoted_at": "2026-10-21T14:37:00Z" }, "event": "James Madison at Appalachian State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-jmu-app-moneyline-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-22T23:00:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 118, "reason": "RETIRED Oct23 15:18UTC: scheduled kickoff passed; not an active research candidate and not result grading. Original quote and source timestamps retained. Full previous research remains unchanged in the private menu.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "James Madison moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/upcoming/2" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Current public SP+ Week8 observation", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/edit?gid=323442805" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "DRatings current public projection observation", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 49.5, "odds": -105, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Liberty at Kennesaw State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-lib-kenn-total-over", "kickoff": "2026-10-22T23:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 119, "reason": "RETIRED Oct23 15:18UTC: scheduled kickoff passed; not an active research candidate and not result grading. Original quote and source timestamps retained. Full previous research remains unchanged in the private menu.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Over 49.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.sportscapping.com/college-football-odds.html" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "PFF consensus snapshot; not executable", "line": 50.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-21T14:34:00Z" }, "event": "New England Patriots at Chicago Bears", "id": "2026w43-nfl-ne-chi-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-23T00:15:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 120, "reason": "RETIRED Oct23 15:18UTC: scheduled kickoff passed; not an active research candidate and not result grading. Original quote and source timestamps retained. Full previous research remains unchanged in the private menu.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Under 50.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "Oct21 research observation; provider update time not shown unless stated", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/best-game-bets" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:38:40Z", "name": "ETR Oct20 matchup; original synthesis only", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/evan-silvas-matchups-patriots-at-bears-2/" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "PFF displayed suggested-price snapshot; book not independently verified", "line": 6.5, "odds": -103, "quoted_at": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z" }, "event": "New England Patriots at Chicago Bears", "id": "2026w43-nfl-prop-henderson-rush-att", "kickoff": "2026-10-23T00:15:00Z", "market": "prop", "rank": 121, "reason": "RETIRED Oct23 15:18UTC: scheduled kickoff passed; not an active research candidate and not result grading. Original quote and source timestamps retained. Full previous research remains unchanged in the private menu.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "TreVeyon Henderson over 6.5 rushing attempts", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "PFF props; displayed update Oct21 10:36AM EDT", "url": "https://www.pff.com/betting/player-props?weekAbbr=7" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-21T14:40:00Z", "name": "ETR Oct20 workload context", "url": "https://establishtherun.com/evan-silvas-matchups-patriots-at-bears-2/" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": -10.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "James Madison at Appalachian State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-jmu-app-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-22T23:00:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 122, "reason": "RETIRED Oct23 15:18UTC: scheduled kickoff passed; not an active research candidate and not result grading. Original quote and source timestamps retained. Full previous research remains unchanged in the private menu.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "James Madison -10.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 56.5, "odds": -110, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "James Madison at Appalachian State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-jmu-app-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-22T23:00:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 123, "reason": "RETIRED Oct23 15:18UTC: scheduled kickoff passed; not an active research candidate and not result grading. Original quote and source timestamps retained. Full previous research remains unchanged in the private menu.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Under 56.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "odds": -395, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "Liberty at Kennesaw State", "id": "2026w43-cfb-lib-kenn-moneyline-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-22T23:00:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 124, "reason": "RETIRED Oct23 15:18UTC: scheduled kickoff passed; not an active research candidate and not result grading. Original quote and source timestamps retained. Full previous research remains unchanged in the private menu.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Liberty moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "odds": -148, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "New Mexico State at Sam Houston", "id": "2026w43-cfb-nmsu-shsu-moneyline-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-22T00:00:00Z", "market": "moneyline", "rank": 125, "reason": "RETIRED Oct23 15:18UTC: scheduled kickoff passed; not an active research candidate and not result grading. Original quote and source timestamps retained. Full previous research remains unchanged in the private menu.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "New Mexico State moneyline", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings via Covers (not executable)", "line": 54.5, "odds": -108, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z" }, "event": "East Carolina at Memphis", "id": "2026w43-cfb-ecu-mem-total-under", "kickoff": "2026-10-22T23:30:00Z", "market": "total", "rank": 126, "reason": "RETIRED Oct23 15:18UTC: scheduled kickoff passed; not an active research candidate and not result grading. Original quote and source timestamps retained. Full previous research remains unchanged in the private menu.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "Under 54.5", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "DraftKings-attributed snapshot via Covers; not executable", "url": "https://www.covers.com/sport/football/ncaaf/odds" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:39:00Z", "name": "Public SP+ Week8; exact model refresh unknown", "url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vwoVl-Dxy0es87Z9I1RTvFzr72Lb1fAkREfbLxbK-eg/gviz/tq?tqx=out:csv&sheet=FBS%20Week%208" } ], "sport": "cfb", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" }, { "base": { "book": "DraftKings Network (not executable)", "line": 3, "odds": -118, "quoted_at": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z" }, "event": "New England Patriots at Chicago Bears", "id": "2026w43-nfl-ne-chi-spread-away", "kickoff": "2026-10-23T00:15:00Z", "market": "spread", "rank": 127, "reason": "RETIRED Oct23 15:18UTC: scheduled kickoff passed; not an active research candidate and not result grading. Original quote and source timestamps retained. Full previous research remains unchanged in the private menu.", "screened_at": "2026-10-23T15:18:00Z", "selection": "New England Patriots +3", "sources": [ { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:48:07Z", "name": "DraftKings Network public snapshot; not executable", "url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/moneyline-total-spread/" }, { "as_of": "2026-10-20T14:40:46Z", "name": "DRatings directional screen; refresh unknown", "url": "https://www.dratings.com/predictor/nfl-football-predictions/" } ], "sport": "nfl", "status": "scratch", "quote_state": "Scratched" } ], "published_weeks": [ { "week": "2026-10-26", "title": "Bozo Menu · Oct 29 NFL/CFB research refresh · exact-price validation pending", "revision": 4, "published_at": "2026-10-29T14:50:25.376Z" }, { "week": "2026-10-19", "title": "Bozo Menu · Oct25 maintenance only · no price/PFF/ETR refresh", "revision": 5, "published_at": "2026-10-25T14:44:31.529Z" }, { "week": "2026-10-12", "title": "Bozo Menu · Oct 13 · 92 yellows · model agreement + labeled NFL", "revision": 6, "published_at": "2026-10-13T17:14:04.746Z" }, { "week": "2026-10-05", "title": "The Bozo Menu · Oct 5 expanded scan · 29 new holds · no cleared shortlist", "revision": 3, "published_at": "2026-10-05T15:04:51.808Z" } ], "snapshot": { "checked_at": "2026-10-31T08:26:40.327Z", "source": "https://toto.jkapcar4.workers.dev/bozo/menu.json?week=2026-10-19", "notice": "Static copy checked 2026-10-31T08:26:40.327Z. Refresh is attempted hourly; delays or failures can leave this copy behind the publisher. Compare the week, revision and source publication time. These are saved research observations, not live odds or available bets. Holds and scratches are not active recommendations." } }